Villere & Co.
Fourth Quarter 2016
MUTUAL FUNDS COMMENTARY
Seeking Good Stocks – Our Ongoing Commitment
The fourth quarter saw the stunning election of Donald
Trump as president followed by a very Brexit-like short-term
market decline and recovery.
Villere portfolio managers have been fielding questions
from the media and investors alike: how do we think this
administration will affect the market in general and our
portfolios in particular? We believe it is too soon to make
any predictions with confidence; perhaps more importantly,
though,Villere’s approach to security selection does not
depend on interpreting daily economic and political events.
Our analysis instead requires us to comprehensively screen
companies, products and management teams.
What worked in the quarter for the equity component of
the Villere Funds?
•
Flowers Foods. Our top-performing stock for the quarter
was Flowers Foods, which landed on its feet after the
company settled its class action lawsuit with its distributors
who alleged that as employees they were entitled to full
benefits. The second largest baker in the U.S., Flowers
rebounded from its disappointing performance during the
period. While management did a good job running the
business, expanding into new segments and trimming costs,
we remain wary of the tough competition we’re seeing in
the bakery segment.
Villere Balanced Fund Performance (%)
12/31/2016
Expense Ratio: 0.89%
Total Return
Inception 9/30/1999¹
Average Annualized
Cumulative
Quarter
1 Year
5 Year
10 Year
Villere Balanced Fund
-1.24
9.99
7.79
6.41
7.69
258.85
Lipper Balanced Fund Index
0.68
7.20
8.32
5.01
5.13
137.09
S&P 500 Index
3.82
11.96
14.66
6.95
5.29
143.16
Villere Equity Fund Performance (%)
12/31/2016
Since Inception
1
Expense Ratio: Gross 1.11%; Net 1.17%*
Total Return
Since Inception
1
Inception 5/31/20132
Average Annualized
Cumulative
2
Since Inception
2
Quarter
1 Year
5 Year
10 Year
Since Inception
Villere Equity Fund
-1.91
10.49
N/A
N/A
1.64
6.03
Lipper Mid Cap Growth Fund Index
0.68
6.27
N/A
N/A
8.62
34.51
S&P 500 Index
3.82
11.96
N/A
N/A
11.57
48.08
Performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results.
The investment
return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or
less than their original cost. Current performance of the Funds may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Current
performance data to the most recent month end may be obtained by visiting www.villere.com.
Investment performance for Villere Equity Fund reflects fee waivers in effect.
In the absence of such waivers, total returns would
be reduced. The Fund imposes a 2.00% redemption fee on shares held for less than 60 days.
*The advisor has contractually agreed to reduce its fees and/or pay the Fund’s expense through December 31, 2016.
(504) 525-0808
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©2016 Villere & Co.
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First Hawaiian. Hawaii’s oldest bank was also a stellar
performer for the Villere Equity Fund. While we were
unable to buy it for the Villere Balanced Fund at the
price we wanted, we especially like the bank’s market
leadership within the strong Hawaiian market and the
management team’s focus on credit and risk mitigation.
Financial Engines. This company offers personalized,
workplace financial guidance to the employees of
hundreds of Fortune 500 companies.
The company rose
23.93% for the period as investors anticipated that the
firm’s growth would track with the broader, upward
market. Financial Engines’ business model is attractive:
The firm has positioned itself to receive a potential
rising revenue stream as accounts grow over time in
exchange for offering predominately automated, lowcost fee-based advice to clients.
What Didn’t Work?
•
•
•
3D Systems. The biggest performance detractor for the
period was 3D Systems, which still struggles to realize
the industrial application potential of its 3D technology.
However, we believe shares declined through the period
primarily as a result of tax-loss selling rather than anything
specific to the company’s performance.
Meanwhile, we
will watch for the margin improvements expected from
recently hired CEO Vyomesh Joshi who previously led
Hewlett-Packard’s printing unit, and has surrounded
himself with three other key hires from HP.
Gulfport Energy. Another laggard was natural gas driller
Gulfport Energy. We attribute this to an uncharacteristic
mishandling of an acquisition by the management team.
After Gulfport announced a $1.85 billion acquisition
of acreage in the “SCOOP” Basin in Oklahoma, the
company announced a dilutive equity offering to fund
the acquisition.
Based on their prior success in the Utica
Basin, we are predisposed to give them the benefit of the
doubt and assume the new acreage will be productive.
That said, the poor handling of the acquisition drove
down the stock’s share price and led to the resignation of
Gulfport’s CFO at year-end.
2U. Shares of 2U, an online postgraduate education
provider, dropped during the quarter in spite of solid
results. Given its rapid growth (revenue is expected to
increase by 30% in 2017), shares have been somewhat
volatile.
However, we expect the company to be cash
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flow positive in 2017 as it potentially reaps the benefits of
its maturing (and profitable) graduate programs. Originally
purchased for Villere Equity Fund, we continue to believe
in its potential and added a 2U position to Villere Balanced
Fund as well at the beginning of the quarter.
Other Actions
Longtime holding BE Aerospace announced that it is being
acquired by Rockwell Collins for cash and stock. The transaction
price will represent a 22.5% premium to the company’s share
price and is expected to close in the first half of this year.
In the beginning of the quarter, the acquisition of Epiq Systems
closed, thus closing out that position in both funds and ending
the activist chapter of Villere & Company’s history.
As we’ve
stated we did not and do not intend to become activist investors,
but maintain our right and duty to maximize value for our
clients. We were pleased that the Epiq story ended in a profit for
our investors.
What worked for Villere and its investors more than 100 years
ago still works today: the pursuit of attractive companies that we
believe demonstrate attractive financial metrics and good earnings
potential. One caveat: As a result of what has been labeled the
“Trump rally,” we currently find ourselves holding more cash
than usual – We will deploy this into additional opportunities as
they arise for our investors.
Living in Interesting Times
The long-term implications of Brexit were considered so
compelling by Pension & Investments magazine; they recently
named it “The economic story of the year,”1 upstaging the U.S.
election, the Department of Labor Fiduciary Rule and low
interest rates.
In 2008, New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof wrote
“With the financial markets in disarray, I keep hearing people
refer to the supposed Chinese curse: ‘May you live in interesting
times.’” In 2017, the global markets seem calmer than today’s
political institutions.
Looking back at 2016, our style of long-term investing got us
through some difficult times.
After the first 28 days of trading,
the S&P 500 was down 10.54% in what was the worst start to a
year ever. The second worst was all the way back in 1948 when
the S&P 500 fell 9.48%.
We are telling clients what we’ve always told them- “hold tight.”
A change in administration doesn’t translate to a change in
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©2016 Villere & Co.
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investment philosophy. We believe that good stocks can always be
found and that there is still value in strong companies regardless
of who is in the White House.2
We do not anticipate radical changes in our holdings as a result.
We believe the good companies we hold will do well in different
environments. Those are the stocks we seek and what we’ve been
able to find over the years – consistent, well-managed companies
who dominate their niche that we believe can deliver good value
to our clients. (Read more in our Q&A with George Young,
Portfolio Manager)
That’s why the team at Villere sticks to its knitting on your behalf
to attempt to find companies with low debt and strong cash flow
that dominate their niche market, yet are slightly out-of-favor
and undervalued.
For a thoughtful manager, “interesting times” can be the best times.
Villere Balanced Fund
Designed for investors seeking a blend of primarily small and
mid-cap stocks as well as bonds,Villere & Company launched
its Balanced Fund in 1999.
Since its inception, as you can see in
the accompanying table, the Fund has easily outpaced the Lipper
Balanced Fund Index.
As of December 31, the Fund returned -1.24% for the quarter,
trailing its benchmark, the Lipper Balanced Index, which
returned 0.68%.
Concerning our fixed income allocation, we are holding close
to our minimum bond allocation as we believe that with interest
rates near historical lows, bond prices seem to have nowhere
to go but down. Consistent with that view, our bond portfolio
currently has a duration of just over three and a half years. Our
bond allocation is primarily designed to help temper potential
downside portfolio risk.
That said, 12% of the bond portfolio is
below investment grade bonds-these are mainly situations where
we know the company and management team from our equity
research. We generally prefer to buy a bond when issued and
hold it to maturity.
Villere Equity Fund Top Contributors & Detractors
Portfolio
Weight (%)
Return
Financial Engines, Inc.
4.95
23.93
Flowers Foods, Inc.
2.93
33.44
B/E Aerospace, Inc.
5.21
16.92
First Hawaiian, Inc.
2.08
30.46
Kearney Financial Corp.
3.76
14.40
Portfolio
Weight (%)
Return
3D Systems Corp.
4.61
-25.96
Gulfport Energy Corp.
3.63
-23.40
TASER International, Inc.
5.71
-15.27
2U, Inc.
3.37
-21.26
LKQ Corp.
4.77
-13.56
Top Performers — Equity
9/30/2016-12/31/2016
Bottom Performers — Equity
9/30/2016-12/31/2016
Fund holdings are subject to change and should not be considered a
recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Villere Balanced Fund Top Contributors & Detractors
Portfolio
Weight (%)
Return
Financial Engines, Inc.
5.69
23.93
Kearney Financial Corp.
4.82
14.40
B/E Aerospace, Inc.
4.16
16.92
Pool Corporation
3.40
10.75
Flowers Foods, Inc.
1.15
33.44
Portfolio
Weight (%)
Return
3D Systems Corp.
4.09
-25.96
TASER International, Inc.
6.78
-15.27
Gulfport Energy Corp.
2.58
-23.40
LKQ Corp.
3.71
-13.56
Luminex Corp.
3.29
-10.96
Top Performers — Balanced
9/30/2016-12/31/2016
Bottom Performers — Balanced
9/30/2016-12/31/2016
Fund holdings are subject to change and should not be considered a
recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Villere Equity Fund
The Villere Equity Fund was launched in 2013 to meet the
needs of investors who wanted an equity portfolio similar
to the Balanced Fund but without the bonds. Emphasizing
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©2016 Villere & Co.
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Villere & Co.
Page 4
opportunities for the growth potential found in small- to mid-sized
companies, the Fund is grounded in the same disciplined approach
Villere & Co. has been applying to its investments for more than
a century.
As of December 31, the Fund returned -1.91% for the quarter,
lagging its benchmarks, the Lipper Mid-Cap Growth Fund Index
and the S&P 500 which returned 0.68% and 3.82% respectively.
Generally speaking, the stocks held in the Villere Equity Fund will
tend to be similar (but not identical) to the equity portion of the
Villere Balanced Fund. Individual stock weightings will also differ
between the two funds.
Summary
For Portfolio Manager Sandy Villere III, he believes one of the
best places to find value lies in the small-to-midcap space. “There
are a lot of inefficiencies in smaller cap stocks, which is where we
specialize,” he said recently.
Sandy was invited by MarketWatch
late last year to discuss a small-cap selection that reflected the
Villere approach. He provided an intriguing example of a mid-cap
semiconductor company, Skyworks Solutions, Inc., that met our
criteria and we believe is poised to benefit from projected sales in
smart phones. (You are invited to read the full discussion here.)
The Villere passion for identifying value was also in full view
on Market Call’s MoneyLife program last October when Sandy
discussed investment methodology and shared some of his insights
about the equity market.
Both of Villere’s funds tilt toward
somewhat out-of-favor small-caps with modest debt and plenty
of cash flow, whose prices look reasonable relative to their growth
potential. (You can read more about it here.)
During the fourth quarter, we lost our brother, uncle, father, partner,
and most importantly friend, George G.Villere, to a long battle
with cancer. While George had dialed back his involvement on the
investment side of our business over the past decade, we are deeply
saddened and miss his optimism and spirit daily.
Villere will maintain its core, long-term discipline as we continue
to look past the distractions of the 24/7 news cycle and day-today market volatility with the goal of providing our investors with
attractive portfolio strategies for meeting their long-term goals.
As always, we look forward to your calls and questions.
Feel free to
talk to us any time. Also, don’t forget to visit us at www.villere.com
for informative fact sheets, colorful downloads and other materials.
Thank you for your confidence in the Villere Funds.
St. Denis J.Villere, George V.Young,
St.
Denis J.Villere III, Lamar G.Villere, CFA
(504) 525-0808
www.villere.com
©2016 Villere & Co.
. Villere & Co.
Page 5
Important Information
Pension & Investments http://www.pionline.com/article/20161226/
PRINT/312269977/brexit-trump-victory-cap-unexpected-year
1
Q&A with George Young, Portfolio Manager http://www.villere.com/media/
pdfs/QA5.pdf
2
A mutual fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and
expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The
statutory and summary prospectuses contain this and other
important information about the investment company, and
may be obtained by calling 866-209-1129 or visiting www.
villere.com. Read carefully before investing.
Mutual fund investing involves risk; loss of principal is possible.
Investments in smaller and medium sized companies involve
additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility
than large cap companies. The Balanced Fund will invest in debt
securities.
Investments in debt securities typically decrease in value
when interest rates rise. This risk is usually greater for longer-term
debt securities. Investments in lower rated and non-rated securities
present a great risk of loss to principal and interest than higher rated
securities.
The Equity Fund may invest in foreign securities. Foreign
investments involve additional risks, including currency fluctuation,
political and economic instability, lack of liquidity and differing
legal and accounting standards. These risks are magnified in
emerging markets.
The Equity Fund’s ability to invest in initial public
offerings (IPOs) involves a higher degree of risk than more seasoned
companies.
All holdings in the portfolio are subject to change without
notice and may or may not represent current or future portfolio
composition. The mention of specific securities is not intended as a
recommendation or an offer of a particular security, nor is it intended
to be a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.
Cash flow is the net amount of cash and cash-equivalents moving
into and out of a business.
Duration, expressed as a number of years, is a measure of the
sensitivity of the price (the value of principal) of a fixed-income
investment to a change in interest rates.
Indexes:
Lipper Balanced Index and the Lipper Mid Cap Growth Fund Index are
equally weighted performance index of the largest qualifying funds
in their respective Lipper Categories. Each Lipper average represents a
universe of Funds with similar investment objectives.
S&P 500 is an unmanaged index which is widely regarded as the
standard for measuring large-cap U.S.
stock market performance.
The stock index does not incur expenses and is not available for
investment.
The Villere Funds are distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC.
Earnings growth is not representative of the fund’s future
performance.
The opinions expressed above are those of St. Denis J. Villere,
George V.
Young, St. Denis J. Villere III, and Lamar G.
Villere and are
subject to change, are not guaranteed and should not be considered
recommendations to buy or sell any security.
The Top 10 holdings in the funds as of 12/31/2016 were:
Villere Balanced Fund:
Financial Engines, Inc. (FNGN)
Taser International, Inc. (TASR)
Howard Hughes Corp. (HHC)
Kearny Financial Corp. (KRNY)
B/E Aerospace, Inc.
(BEAV)
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS)
3D Systems Corp.
(DDD)
Pool Corp.
(POOL)
Apache Corp.
(APA)
Visa, Inc.
(V)
6.7%
6.0%
5.2%
5.0%
4.5%
4.2%
3.8%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
Villere Equity Fund:
Financial Engines, Inc. (FNGN)
Taser International, Inc. (TASR)
Luminex Corp.
(LMNX)
B/E Aerospace, Inc.
(BEAV)
Genesee & Wyoming, Inc. (GWR)
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS)
Apache Corp.
(APA)
LKQ Corp.
(LKQ)
Howard Hughes Corp.
(HHC)
Pool Corp.
(POOL)
(504) 525-0808
5.7%
5.6%
5.5%
5.5%
5.1%
4.7%
4.7%
4.5%
4.4%
4.4%
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