Amerivest Core
Mutual Fund Portfolios
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powered by Morningstar Investment Management LLC
Fourth Quarter 2015 Update
Market check-in
Analysis provided by Morningstar Investment Management LLC
Stocks rebounded in the 2015’s fourth quarter, but provided little reward for
the year as a whole. The S&P 500 recovered from a third-quarter correction
spawned by fears that China’s slowdown would significantly dampen global
growth. But despite the S&P 500’s 7.0% fourth-quarter gain, investors were
still left with a paltry 1.4% return for 2015. Small-cap stocks moved in a
similar fashion, but the Russell 2000 Index’s 3.6% fourth-quarter rebound
wasn’t enough to offset its third-quarter losses; the small-cap index thus
finished with a -4.4% return for 2015.
Foreign developed markets struggled as well.
The MSCI EAFE Index of
non-U.S. developed-market stocks slipped 0.8% over the year in U.S.
dollar terms. Japanese stocks finished the year strongly with the MSCI
Japan Index posting a 9.6% 12-month gain, fueled in part by aggressive
monetary easing by the Bank of Japan.
But Europe proved to be a less
attractive destination. The European Central Bank’s stimulus efforts kindled
only modest stock-market gains in local currency terms—and those were
erased for U.S. investors by the euro’s depreciation against the dollar.
Global
growth remained muted overall, prompting the International Monetary Fund
to ratchet down its 2015 GDP growth forecast in advanced economies to a
meager 2.0%.
Last year’s challenges in developed markets paled in comparison to those
faced by many emerging-market countries. Falling commodity prices
helped send Brazil and Russia into recession. Oil prices have sunk from
more than $100 per barrel to less than $40 in the past 18 months.
Indeed,
lower demand from China has caused prices to fall for many industrial
commodities, which has hit emerging markets the hardest. As a result, the
MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 14.9% in 2015.
Bond investors spent much of 2015 worried about the timing and severity
of interest-rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, but the Fed didn’t raise
the federal funds rate until December and the 0.25% increase was so well
telegraphed that bond markets yawned at the long-awaited change.
The
10-year Treasury yield finished 2015 at 2.27%, just 0.10 percentage points
higher than at the end of 2014. The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index
ended the year with a 0.6% gain, providing some stability to investor’s
portfolios.
The expectation of rising defaults in the energy sector hurt returns
for credit-sensitive bonds, causing the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield
Index to fall 4.5%
If you have any questions, please
contact a TD Ameritrade Investment
Consultant at your local branch, call an
Amerivest Specialist at 888-310-7921,
or visit tdameritrade.com.
Index Information: An index (such as the S&P 500 Index
or the MSCI EAFE Index) as referenced in this update
reflects the composite value of the index. Keep in mind:
• Indices are not actual investments.
Their
performance is not reduced by fees, such as those
you pay when trading/owning mutual funds. These
fees will decrease the performance of your portfolio.
An investment cannot be made in an index.
• The securities and allocations in your Amerivest
portfolio may not correspond with the securities in
the indices and therefore the performance of your
portfolio and the indices will differ.
• The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely
held stocks that represents about 75% of the total
U.S. equity market.
• The 90 Day U.S.
Treasury Bill is a short-term debt
obligation backed by the U.S. government. The
interest rate on the 90 Day U.S.
Treasury Bill is often
used as a risk-free rate, which is the minimum return
an investor expects for any investment because he or
she will not accept additional risk unless the potential
rate of return is greater than the risk-free rate.
• The Russell 3000 Index offers investors access
to the broad U.S. equity universe representing
approximately 98% of the U.S. market.
• The MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, Far
East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization
index that is designed to measure developed market
equity performance, excluding the U.S.
and Canada.
• The Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index
covers the USD-denominated, investment-grade,
fixed-rate, taxable bond market of SEC-registered
securities.
. Amerivest Core Mutual Fund Portfolios
powered by Morningstar Investment Managment LLC
Quarterly Update as of December 30, 2015
Market Performance
Snapshot
S&P 500
90 Day T-Bill
Russell 3000
MSCI EAFE
Barclays Ag
PREVIOUS QUARTER
7.04%
0.03%
6.27%
4.75%
-0.57%
YTD
1.38%
0.05%
0.48%
-0.39%
0.55%
1-YR
1.38%
0.05%
0.48%
-0.39%
0.55%
ANNUALIZED 3-YR
15.13%
0.05%
14.74%
5.46%
1.44%
Performance of U.S. Equity, Fixed Income, and
International Equity markets
CUMULATIVE 3-YR
52.59%
0.14%
51.05%
17.30%
4.39%
ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION
14.81%
0.08%
15.04%
8.32%
4.09%
CUMULATIVE SINCE INCEPTION
163.02%
0.59%
166.59%
74.97%
32.41%
The index returns are provided for reference only, and you can use them as a guide to see how your portfolio is
performing compared with the market in general. For more information, please see Index Information on cover page.
Target Allocation
Mutual Fund Conservative
Conservative
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
Large-Cap Growth
Domestic Large-Cap Value
Equities: 14%
Mid-Cap Growth
International Equities: 6%
Domestic Mid-Cap Value
Fixed Income: 69%
Small-Cap Growth
International Fixed Income: 7%
Small-Cap Value
Specialty:Micro-Cap
3%
Cash: 1% INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Developed Equity
NET RETURN
Developed Small-Cap Equity
FOURTH QUARTER
YTD
1YR
ANNUALIZED 3YR
1
CUMULATIVE 3YR
2
Emerging Market Equity
What helped:
î®
î®
î®
What hurt:
î®
0.49%
î®
-1.38%
î®
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
US Short-Term Bonds
Overweight to large-cap stocks over smaller-cap stocks
Strong performances from several U.S. large-cap equity managers
Exposure to emerging-markets bonds
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
Exposure to emerging-markets stocks
Exposure to high-yield bonds
Losses in the managed-futures strategy
-1.38%
US Long-Term Bonds
Mortgage-Backed Securities
1.74%
TIPS
ANNUALIZED SPI
1,3
CUMULATIVE SPI
2,3
5.33%
High-Yield Bonds
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
5.05%
Developed Bonds
41.16%
Emerging Market Bonds
SPECIALTY
Real Estate
Target Allocation
Mutual Fund Moderate
Moderate
Commodities
Managed Futures
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
CASH
Large-Cap Growth
Domestic Cash Value
Equities: 24%
Large-Cap
Mid-Cap Growth
International Equities: 10%
Domestic Mid-Cap Value
Fixed Income: 52%
Small-Cap Growth
International Fixed Income: 10%
Small-Cap Value
Specialty:Micro-Cap
3%
Cash: 1% INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Developed Equity
NET RETURN
Developed Small-Cap Equity
FOURTH QUARTER
Emerging Market Equity
1.30%
YTD
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
1YR
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
ANNUALIZED 3YR
1
CUMULATIVE 3YR
2
ANNUALIZED SPI
1,3
CUMULATIVE SPI
2,3
-1.95%
US Short-Term Bonds
-1.95%
What helped:
î®
î®
î®
Overweight to large-cap stocks over smaller-cap stocks
Strong performances from several U.S.
large-cap equity managers
Exposure to emerging-markets bonds
What hurt:
î®
î®
î®
E xposure to emerging-markets stocks
E xposure to high-yield bonds
Losses in the managed-futures strategy
US Long-Term Bonds
3.28%
Mortgage-Backed Securities
TIPS
10.18%
High-Yield Bonds
6.97%
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
Developed Bonds
60.25%
Emerging Market Bonds
SPECIALTY
Real Estate
Commodities
1. nnualized Return: The annual equivalent return of an investment, including interest and dividends. This can be used to help compare portfolios with different
A
Managed Futures
inception dates or to market indices.
2.
Cumulative Return: The aggregate amount that an investment has gained or lost, including interest and dividends paid, over a period of time.
CASH
3. Since Portfolio Inception (12/31/08) Cash
. e
INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
EmergingValue Equity
Mid-Cap Market
Developed Equity
Small-Cap Growth
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
Small-Cap Value
US Short-Term Bonds
Micro-Cap
Developed Small-Cap Equity
Emerging Market Equity
Chart Key
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
Developed Bonds
Emerging Market Bonds
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
Mid-Cap Growth
US Long-Term Bonds
Mid-Cap Value
TIPS
Small-Cap Value
High-Yield Bonds
CASH
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Small-Cap Growth
Commodities
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
Developed Bonds
US Short-Term Bonds
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
SPECIALTY
TIPS
Developed Small-Cap Equity
High-Yield Market Equity
Emerging Bonds
US Short-Term Bonds
Large-Cap Value
US Long-Term Bonds
INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Developed Equity
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
Large-Cap Growth
Real Estate
Managed Futures
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Morningstar Investment Management LLC
Cash
Emerging Market Bonds
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
Micro-Cap
US Long-Term Bonds
SPECIALTY
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Real Estate
TIPS
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Target Allocation
Developed Equity
Mutual Fund Moderate Growth
Developed Small-Cap Equity
Developed Bonds
Emerging Market Bonds
Moderate Growth SPECIALTY
Emerging Market Equity
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
Real Estate
Domestic Large-Cap Value
Equities: 32%
Commodities
Mid-Cap Growth
International Equities: 13%
Managed Futures
US Short-Term Bonds
Domestic Mid-Cap Value
Fixed Income: 42%
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
Small-Cap Growth
International Fixed Income: 9%
Small-Cap Value
CASH
US Long-Term Bonds
Specialty:Micro-Cap
3%
Cash
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Cash: 1% INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
TIPS
Large-Cap Growth
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
Commodities
High-Yield Bonds
Managed Futures
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
What helped:
î®
î®
î®
CASH
Developed Bonds
Overweight to large-cap
Cash
Emerging Market Bonds
stocks over smaller-cap stocks
Strong performances from several U.S. large-cap equity managers
SPECIALTY to emerging-markets bonds
Exposure
Real Estate
Commodities
Developed Equity
What hurt:
Managed Futures
Developed Small-Cap Equity
High-Yield Bonds
î®
NET RETURN
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
FOURTH QUARTER
Emerging Market Equity
1.90%
Developed Bonds
YTD
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
Emerging Market Bonds
US Short-Term Bonds
1YR
Exposure to emerging-markets stocks
in the managed-futures strategy
î® CASH
Losses
Cash
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
SPECIALTY
ANNUALIZED
Real Estate
3YR
1
Commodities
CUMULATIVE
3YR
2
Managed Futures
1,3
CASH
CUMULATIVE
2,3
Cash
-2.18%
US Long-Term Bonds
Mortgage-Backed Securities
TIPS
ANNUALIZED SPI
SPI
-2.18%
4.09%
High-Yield Bonds
12.79%
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
8.20%
Developed Bonds
73.64%
Emerging Market Bonds
SPECIALTY
Real Estate
Target Allocation
Mutual Fund Growth
Growth
Commodities
Managed Futures
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
CASH
Large-Cap Growth
Cash
Large-Cap Value
Domestic Equities: 44%
International Equities: 20%
Mid-Cap Growth
Domestic Mid-Cap Value
Fixed Income: 25%
Small-Cap Growth
International Fixed Income: 6%
Small-Cap Value
Specialty:Micro-Cap
4%
Cash: 1% INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Developed Equity
NET RETURN
Developed Small-Cap Equity
FOURTH QUARTER
What helped:
î®
î®
What hurt:
î®
î®
Emerging Market Equity
3.10%
YTD
Exposure to emerging-markets stocks
Losses in the managed-futures strategy
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
1YR
Overweight to large-cap stocks over smaller-cap stocks
Strong performances from several U.S. large-cap equity managers
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
ANNUALIZED 3YR
1
CUMULATIVE 3YR
2
ANNUALIZED SPI
1,3
CUMULATIVE SPI
2,3
Target Allocation
Mutual Fund Aggressive
Aggressive
-2.69%
US Short-Term Bonds
-2.69%
US Long-Term Bonds
5.75%
Mortgage-Backed Securities
TIPS
18.26%
High-Yield Bonds
9.73%
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
Developed Bonds
91.50%
Emerging Market Bonds
SPECIALTY
Real Estate
Commodities
Managed Futures
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
Large-Cap
Domestic CASH Growth
Equities: 55%
Large-Cap Value
Cash
International Equities: 25%
Mid-Cap Growth
Domestic Mid-Cap Value
Fixed Income: 11%
Small-Cap Growth
International Fixed Income: 3%
Small-Cap Value
Specialty:Micro-Cap
5%
Cash: 1% INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
Developed Equity
NET RETURN
Developed Small-Cap Equity
FOURTH QUARTER
YTD
1YR
ANNUALIZED 3YR
1
CUMULATIVE 3YR
2
Emerging Market Equity
3.70%
DOMESTIC FIXED INCOME
-3.16%
US Short-Term Bonds
US Intermediate-Term Bonds
-3.16%
US Long-Term Bonds
Mortgage-Backed Securities
TIPS
ANNUALIZED SPI
1,3
CUMULATIVE SPI
2,3
7.46%
High-Yield Bonds
24.10%
10.91%
INTERNATIONAL FIXED INCOME
Developed Bonds
106.38%
Emerging Market Bonds
SPECIALTY
Real Estate
Commodities
What helped:
î®
î®
Overweight to large-cap stocks over smaller-cap stocks
Strong performances from several U.S. large-cap equity managers
What hurt:
î®
î®
Exposure to emerging-markets stocks
Losses in the managed-futures strategys
.
Before investing in an Amerivest portfolio, be sure to carefully consider the underlying funds’ objectives, risks, charges,
and expenses. For a prospectus containing this and other important information about each fund, contact an Amerivest
Specialist at 888-310-7921. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
SECURITIES PRODUCTS
NOT FDIC INSURED
NO BANK GUARANTEE
MAY LOSE VALUE
Performance results represent actual performance and are based on asset-weighted total returns across all accounts fully invested in the respective models. The minimum
initial investment is $25,000.
The portfolios are reviewed and may be rebalanced by Amerivest on a quarterly basis. Performance results include the reinvestment of
dividends. Interest on cash balance is accrued daily and paid (at prevailing TD Ameritrade rate) to the account at the end of each month.
Maximum net annual advisory fees
of 1.00% (fees vary by amount invested; please refer to the ADV Part 2 for complete fee schedule) are paid in advance and are deducted from cash at the beginning of each
quarter. Results also include the deduction of the mutual fund expenses of the underlying funds, including 12b-1 fees, administrative costs, and other various operational
expenses. The returns calculated are net of advisory fees.
Net-of-fees performance results for each composite are rounded to the nearest 0.01%. Trade-date accounting
was utilized in the calculation of performance results for the period under review. No taxes are being considered.
TD Ameritrade charges no commissions for all eligible
transactions in TD Ameritrade Investing Accounts.
All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. There is no assurance that the investment process
will consistently lead to successful investing.
Asset allocation and diversification do not eliminate the risk of experiencing investment losses.
The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate, and an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.
Mutual funds are subject to market, exchange rate, political, credit, interest rate, and prepayment risks, which vary depending on the type of mutual fund. Funds that
invest in stocks of small-cap or mid-cap companies (companies with market capitalization below $10 billion) involve additional risks. The securities of these companies
may be more volatile and less liquid than the securities of larger companies.
Smaller companies typically have a higher risk of failure, and are not as well established
as larger blue-chip companies. Historically, smaller company stocks have experienced a greater degree of market volatility than the overall market average. Funds that
invest in international securities involve special additional risks.
These risks include, but are not limited to, currency risk, political risk, and risk associated with varying
accounting standards. Investment in emerging markets may accentuate these risks. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk.
As the prevailing level of bond interest rates
rise, the value of bonds already held in a portfolio declines. Funds that hold bonds are subject to declines and increases in value due to general changes in interest
rates. Funds that invest in lower-rated debt securities (commonly referred to as high-yield or junk bonds) involve additional risks because of the lower credit quality of the
securities in the portfolio.
Investors should be aware of the possible higher level of volatility and increased risk of default. Investors who invest a significant percentage
of their assets in a single holding may incur additional risks, including share price fluctuations, due to the increased concentration of investments.
Morningstar Investment Management LLC is a registered investment advisor and subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar Investment Management provides consulting
services to Amerivest Investment Management, LLC (“Amerivest”) by providing recommendations to Amerivest regarding asset allocation targets and selection of securities
appropriate for the Amerivest Portfolios; however, Amerivest retains the discretion to accept, modify, or reject Morningstar Investment Management’s recommendations.
Morningstar Investment Management selects securities for the Amerivest portfolios from the universe of investments made available through TD  Ameritrade.
In performing
its services, Morningstar Investment Management may engage the services of its affiliate, Morningstar Investment Services LLC, a registered investment advisor and
subsidiary of Morningstar Investment Management. Neither Morningstar Investment Management nor Morningstar Investment Services is acting in the capacity of
advisor to Amerivest’s clients. Asset Allocation target allocations are subject to change without notice.
Morningstar Investment Management establishes the allocations
using its proprietary asset classifications. If alternative classification methods are used, the allocations may not meet the asset allocation targets. The Morningstar name
and logo are registered marks of Morningstar, Inc.
Morningstar Investment Management is not affiliated with Amerivest or TD Ameritrade.
Amerivest Portfolios is an investment advisory service of Amerivest Investment Management, LLC, a registered investment advisor. Brokerage services provided by
TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. TD Ameritrade, Inc.
and Amerivest Investment Management, LLC are both wholly owned subsidiaries of TD Ameritrade
Holding Corporation. Amerivest is a trademark of TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. Amerivest provides nondiscretionary and discretionary advisory services for a fee.
Risks applicable to any portfolio are those associated with its underlying securities.
For more information, please see the Amerivest Disclosure Brochure (ADV Part 2)
https://www.tdameritrade.com/retail-en_us/resources/pdf/TDA4855.pdf.
TD  Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD  Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2016 TD  Ameritrade IP Company, Inc.
All rights reserved.
Used with permission.
TDA 2270 BR 02/16
.