A Review by Seix Investment Advisors LLC
SECOND QUARTER 2016
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS:
LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
George Goudelias
Senior Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
•
Despite a brief pause in the wake of the United
Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union,
otherwise known as Brexit, leveraged finance posted
the best returns in years. Data indicated the U.S.
economy is showing improvement, with a revised
first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) and robust
employment report late in the quarter.
•
Demand strengthened in the leveraged loan market,
driven largely by collateralized loan obligations
(CLOs), while new loan issuance went primarily to
repricing and refinancing transactions.
•
Fundamentals in most high yield sectors remain
strong. Defaults in the high yield market plummeted in
the second quarter.
Managing Director and Head of
Leveraged Finance,
Seix Investment Advisors
Vincent Flanagan, CFA
Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Senior High Yield Research Analyst –
Media and Technology,
Seix Investment Advisors
Michael Kirkpatrick
Senior Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Managing Director, Seix Investment
Advisors
James FitzPatrick, CFA
Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Managing Director and Head of
Leveraged Finance Trading,
Seix Investment Advisors
RIDGEWORTH FUNDS
RidgeWorth Seix Floating Rate High Income
RidgeWorth Seix High Income
RidgeWorth Seix High Yield
The leveraged loan and high yield markets posted
strong returns in the second quarter. After recovering
from the brief Brexit-related downturn, the CS Leveraged
Loan Index was up 2.86% for the quarter, while the
Barclays High Yield Index rose 5.52%.
This was the best
performance since third quarter 2012 for loans and fourth
quarter 2011 for bonds. Fundamentals remain strong, with
default rates declining sharply.
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SECOND QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 2
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS: LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
Approximately 33% of the market was priced at or above
par in May, though that faded to around 20% in June.
Still, this is up solidly from the previous quarter.
The primary driver of the leveraged finance market,
the U.S. economy, showed improvement in the second
quarter. First quarter GDP was revised to 1.1% in the
final estimate, up from the 0.5% published initially. The
Manufacturing sector remained in positive territory, and
job growth rebounded strongly in June from a weak
report in May.
HIGH YIELD
High yield bonds also posted a strong performance,
driven in part by the increase in the price of oil,
which rose a little more than 20% in the quarter.
Outperformance occurred primarily in the lower quality
credits.
Although there was some volatility during the
quarter, spreads tightened by approximately 80 basis
points (bps), an improvement over the first quarter in
which spreads remained roughly unchanged. Spread
tightening was led by CCCs, where the narrowing
amounted to roughly 400 bps.
LEVERAGED LOANS
Fundamentals remain relatively strong, and since the
loan market has little exposure to Europe, direct impact
from the Brexit vote has been minimal. Defaults are
expected to be 3% in 2016 on a par-weighted basis,
below the long-term average of 3.3%, according to J.P.
Morgan.
As for technical conditions, supply bounced
back and demand picked up, though an impact from the
Brexit vote was evident at the end of the quarter.
As for fundamentals, defaults for the total of high yield
bonds and leveraged loans were reduced by half during
the quarter. They fell from over $30 billion in the first
quarter to $13.4 billion in the second quarter. The overall
default rate was 3.56%, but when Energy and Metals &
Mining are excluded, defaults drop to about half a percent.
So, excluding these troubled sectors, defaults are still at
very low levels.
In June, only two companies defaulted,
marking the lowest number since October and the third
consecutive monthly decline, according to J.P. Morgan.
Issuance in the second quarter was strong, representing
a rebound from the first quarter. The institutional market
issued about $86 billion in the quarter, up from about
$41 billion in the first quarter, the largest amount since
third quarter 2014.
Adding in the pro-rata market,
total issuance came to about $119 billion, up from
approximately $91 billion in the first quarter.
Default volume:
2010 quarterly avg = $5.0bn
2011 quarterly avg = $5.2bn
2012 quarterly avg = $5.6bn
2013 quarterly avg = $4.8bn
2014 quarterly avg = $17.5bn
-ex TXU and CZR = $4.0bn
2015 quarterly avg = $9.4bn
76.6
55.0
70.0
4.2
13.4
15.9
8.8
8.8
1.1
4.3
2.5
6.4
4.1
6.8
6.8
11.8
5.3
5.8
1.9
5.2
6.9
1.6
1.0
6.5
0.0
1.9
0.7
10.0
9.2
9.2
7.6
20.0
15.2
30.0
21.1
23.2
40.0
30.4
37.9
50.0
8.2
60.0
Leveraged loans
High-yield bonds
4.8
80.0
40.2
90.0
0.1
1.8
On the demand side, while retail inflows
were essentially flat, demand from the
CLO portion of the market improved
sharply. CLO issuance jumped from
about $8 billion in the first quarter to
about $17.5 billion in the second. June
was particularly strong, with issuance of
approximately $6.6 billion.
Exhibit 1:1: Quarterly Default Volume
Exhibit Quarterly Default Volume
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
Overall, most of the new issuance in the
second quarter went to repricing and
refinancing transactions; so the amount
of new money in the market was modest,
and the size of the market remained
unchanged.
Source: J.P.
Morgan; July 1, 2016.
Source: J.P. Morgan; July 1, 2016.
Improved demand in April and May
led to higher prices while June saw prices fade toward
the end of the month in the wake of the Brexit vote.
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS: LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
While long-term debt in relation to earnings before
interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) has
increased over the past few quarters, when commodity-
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SECOND QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 3
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related industries are excluded, that ratio has been
in decline. And at 4.2x, it remains roughly in line with
recent years. Similarly, interest coverage for high yield
as a whole remains moderate at 4.52x. Excluding
commodities-related industries, the ratio is 4.84x.
We’re seeing pockets of value in Gaming and Aerospace
& Defense.
In the Energy sector, some pipeline
companies still represent value on a selective basis.
4.70
4.30
4.20
4.12
4.03
3.97
3.88
3.89
3.90
3.92
3.87
3.95
4.03
4.05
4.02
4.07
4.13
4.15
4.08
4.03
4.09
4.07
4.14
4.24
4.32
4.30
4.20
4.40
4.20
LTM DEBT/EBITDA
4.70
4.80
5.00
5.20
In high yield, we believe the market can do well in an
environment of 2% domestic economic growth. We
see value in companies with robust fundamentals and
Exhibit 2: Leverage in the High Yield Market Remains Modest
durable business models that can continue to generate
5.3
healthy cash flows and pay down debt. This would give
5.1
I Leverage
them more financial flexibility if times become more
Leverage Ex-Commodities
4.9
difficult.
We currently see value in homebuilders, which
4.7
are benefiting from ultra-low interest rates, defensive
companies, such as those in packaging, and issuers
4.5
with larger market capitalizations. As for the Energy
4.3
sector, although oil prices are expected to go higher,
4.1
this is already priced into the market. We believe overall
3.9
valuations, however, are not too rich.
72
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
3.7
3.5
Source: J.P.
Morgan; July 1, 2016.
OUTLOOK
In the leveraged loan market, we believe that valuations
are still fair and that yields are still attractive, given the
relatively senior position of loans in the capital structure.
Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index is an unmanaged market value
weighted index that covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade debt.
Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index is a market-weighted index that tracks the
performance of institutional leveraged loans.
Investors cannot invest directly in an index.
A Basis Point is equal to 0.01%.
Collateralized loan obligations are securities backed by a pool of debt, often lowrated corporate loans.
Credit Spreads are the difference between the yields of sector types and/or
maturity ranges.
Credit Ratings noted herein are calculated based on S&P, Moody’s and Fitch ratings.
Generally, ratings range from AAA, the highest quality rating, to D, the lowest,
with BBB and above being called investment grade securities. BB and below are
considered below investment grade securities.
If the ratings from all three agencies
are available, securities will be assigned the median rating based on the numerical
equivalents. If the ratings are available from only two of the agencies, the more
conservative of the ratings will be assigned to the security. If the rating is available
from only one agency, then that rating will be used.
Ratings do not apply to a fund
or to a fund’s shares. Ratings are subject to change.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the market value of all final goods and
services produced within a country in a given period. GDP per capita is often
considered an indicator of a country’s standard of living.
Investment Risks:
Bonds offer a relatively stable level of income, although bond prices will fluctuate
providing the potential for principal gain or loss.
Intermediate-term, higher-quality
bonds generally offer less risk than longer-term bonds and a lower rate of return.
Generally, a fund’s fixed income securities will decrease in value if interest rates
rise and vice versa. Although a fund’s yield may be higher than that of fixed
In our opinion, leveraged finance will continue to be
attractive in the coming months–in part because we
expect it to be driven by the U.S. economy–and remains
relatively insulated from turmoil in international markets.
In addition, in this unprecedented low-rate environment,
leveraged finance will remain appealing to investors in
search of yield.
income funds that purchase higher-rated securities, the potentially higher yield
is a function of the greater risk of that fund’s underlying securities.
Floating rate
loans are typically senior and secured, in contrast to other below-investment grade
securities. However, there is no guarantee that the value of the collateral will not
decline, causing a loan to be substantially unsecured. Loans generally are subject
to restrictions on resale.
The value of the collateral securing a floating rate loan
can decline, be insufficient to meet the obligations of the borrower, or be difficult
to liquidate. Participation in certain types of loans may limit the ability of a fund to
enforce its rights and may involve assuming additional credit risks.
The views expressed by the funds’ managers are as of the quarter-end specified.
This information is general in nature, provided as general guidance on the subject
covered, and is not intended to be authoritative. It is subject to change without notice
as market conditions change, and is not intended to predict the performance of any
individual security, market sector, or RidgeWorth Fund.
All information contained
herein is believed to be correct, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Investors are
advised to consult with their investment professional about their specific financial
needs and goals before making any investment decision.
Before investing, investors should carefully read the
prospectus or summary prospectus and consider the
fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses.
Please call 888.784.3863 or visit ridgeworth.com to obtain
a prospectus or summary prospectus, which contains this
and other information about the funds.
©2016 RidgeWorth Investments. All rights reserved.
RidgeWorth Investments is
the trade name for RidgeWorth Capital Management LLC, an investment adviser
registered with the SEC and the adviser to the RidgeWorth Funds. RidgeWorth
Funds are distributed by RidgeWorth Distributors LLC, which is not affiliated with
the adviser. Seix Investment Advisors LLC is a registered investment adviser with
the SEC and a member of the RidgeWorth Capital Management LLC network of
investment firms.
All third party marks are the property of their respective owners.
.
SECOND QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 4
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3333 Piedmont Road, NE
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A
tlanta, GA 30305
ABOUT RIDGEWORTH INVESTMENTS
RidgeWorth Investments—a global investment management firm headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia with approximately $37.0 billion
in assets under management as of June 30, 2016—offers investors access to a select group of boutique investment managers and
subadvisers. RidgeWorth wholly owns three boutiques: Ceredex Value Advisors LLC, Seix Investment Advisors LLC and Silvant Capital
Management LLC, and holds a minority ownership in Zevenbergen Capital Investments LLC. WCM Investment Management and Capital
Innovations, LLC serve as subadvisers to the RidgeWorth Funds. Through these six investment managers, RidgeWorth offers a wide variety
of fixed income and equity disciplines, providing investment management services to a growing client base that includes institutional,
individual and high net worth investors.
For more information about RidgeWorth, its boutiques and its subadvisers, visit ridgeworth.com.
ABOUT SEIX INVESTMENT ADVISORS LLC
Seix Investment Advisors, one of RidgeWorth’s investment management boutiques, has exclusively focused on managing fixed income
assets since 1992.
Seix seeks to generate competitive absolute and relative risk-adjusted returns over the full market cycle through
a bottom-up focused, top-down aware process. Seix employs multi-dimensional approaches based on strict portfolio construction
methodology, sell disciplines and trading strategies with prudent risk management as a cornerstone.
For more information about Seix, visit seixadvisors.com.
RFRI-LLOAN-0616
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