A Review by Seix Investment Advisors LLC
THIRD QUARTER 2016
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS:
LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
George Goudelias
Senior Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
•
In the wake of the Brexit vote, assurances of
liquidity by central banks contributed to a “risk-on”
environment that benefited the leveraged finance
market. A continued recovery in commodity prices also
supported performance in Metals & Mining, but in much
of the broader market, technical factors dominated.
•
The supply of leveraged loans was robust but
consisted largely of repricings, so net new supply was
limited. This, combined with strong demand, resulted in
more than 58% of the market trading above par.
•
Demand for high yield bonds has been strong
throughout the year, and yields finished the quarter
at a 15-month low.
•
Defaults, which have been largely confined to the
Energy and Metals & Mining sectors, declined again
in the third quarter, following a sharp drop in the
second quarter. Defaults may continue to drop, given
improvements in commodity prices.
Managing Director and Head of
Leveraged Finance,
Seix Investment Advisors
Vincent Flanagan, CFA
Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Senior High Yield Research Analyst –
Media and Technology,
Seix Investment Advisors
Michael Kirkpatrick
Senior Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Managing Director,
Seix Investment Advisors
James FitzPatrick, CFA
Portfolio Manager,
RidgeWorth Investments
Managing Director and Head of
Leveraged Finance Trading,
Seix Investment Advisors
RIDGEWORTH FUNDS
RidgeWorth Seix Floating Rate High Income
RidgeWorth Seix High Income
RidgeWorth Seix High Yield
The leveraged loan and high yield markets posted strong
returns in the third quarter, as central banks’ assurances
of liquidity in the wake of the Brexit vote gave rise to a
“risk-on” environment.
The market was largely driven by
technical factors, with demand outpacing net new supply.
As a result, more than 58% of leveraged loans traded
above their par value, a 16-month high, and yields on highyield bonds finished the quarter at 6.67%, a 15-month low.
.
THIRD QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 2
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS: LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index rose
0.46% during the quarter while the Credit Suisse
Leveraged Loan Index advanced by 3.10%. The
Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Index
advanced 5.55%.
Performance was strongest among
CCC-rated loans and bonds.
Fundamentals remain fairly strong, with weakness largely
confined to certain sectors. In Energy, Metals & Mining,
and parts of the Technology and Healthcare sectors,
financial results have been soft, but otherwise earnings
have been steady, particularly among media and gaming
companies.
LEVERAGED LOANS
Even though defaults totaled 2.46% on an issuerweighted basis, this is largely due to two sectors, Energy
and Metals & Mining. Excluding these two, defaults
are just 0.83% for the year, according to J.P.
Morgan.
Actually, the default scenario is benign, with zero defaults
recorded in the month of September alone.
Demand for leveraged loans in September was
particularly strong, and in fact, the quarter finished up
with nine consecutive weeks of mutual fund inflows, the
largest in 17 months, according to J.P. Morgan. Demand
from collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) was also
healthy, as issuance surged in September, hitting $12.7
billion, the highest in 15 months.
CLOs were active
throughout the quarter, and issuance amounted to more
than $27 billion, the best since second quarter 2015.
12.7
13.1
7.0
6.9
7.4
5.4
5.9
5.4
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
0
0.8
2
2.6
4
4.5
6
8.0
8.5
5.4
8
6.6
6.0
7.3
9.4
9.3
11.4
11.5
11.6
11.3
8.3
10
9.3
12
3.1
CLO ISSUANCE ($bn)
14
9.6
13.3
12.2
14.2
16
14.6
16.1
18
16.9
Exhibit 1: In September, Demand for CLOs Surged
Source: J.P. Morgan; S&P LCD as of 9/30/16.
Supply was robust, especially in September, when
institutional loan volumes totaled $57.3 billion, the
second-best month of the year. For the quarter, new
institutional loans came to approximately $131 billion, up
from just $59 billion a year earlier.
Much of the new issuance consisted of repricing and
refinancing activity, however, with limited amounts going
to net new supply.
This, combined with strong inflows,
created a favorable technical backdrop, and as a result,
more than 58% of the market traded above par at the
close of the quarter, according to J.P. Morgan.
RIDGEWORTH INSIGHTS: LEVERAGED LOAN AND HIGH YIELD
HIGH YIELD
Technical factors in the high yield market have been
largely robust. Year-to-date through September 30,
mutual fund inflows totaled $9.6 billion, nearly reversing
the $9.9 billion outflow during the same period in 2015.
Inflows remained positive in July and August, with July
seeing inflows of more than $5 billion.
But demand
turned slightly negative in September, and flows slipped
to -$105 million.
Totaling $78 billion, supply for the quarter was up versus
the same period in 2015, when issuance amounted to
$60 billion. Supply declined from second quarter’s $104
billion, however, and year-to-date, issuance totaled $233
billion, off 7% from the same period last year, according
to J.P. Morgan.
Fundamentals have deteriorated somewhat as overall
leverage ticked up.
However, improved commodity
prices have provided some relief to Metals & Mining and
Energy issuers which were among the quarter’s stronger
performers. More broadly, fundamentals have been
helped by the market’s low yields, which companies
exploited to issue new low-cost debt. This has helped
reduce interest costs and keep interest coverage ratios
under control.
.
THIRD QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 3
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Defaults, confined largely to the Energy and Metals
& Mining sectors, declined again during the quarter,
falling to $9.4 billion (including leveraged loans) from
$13.7 billion in the previous period. The issuer-weighted
default rate slipped to 4.61%, and although this is up from
a year ago, according to J.P. Morgan, it is off from 4.68%
in August. Excluding Energy and Metals & Mining, the
default rate was just 0.49%.
Default volume:
2010 quarterly avg = $5.0bn
2011 quarterly avg = $5.2bn
2012 quarterly avg = $5.6bn
2013 quarterly avg = $4.8bn
2014 quarterly avg = $17.5bn
-ex TXU and CZR = $4.0bn
2015 quarterly avg = $9.4bn
76.6
55.0
70.0
13.7
9.4
15.9
8.8
8.2
8.8
1.1
4.3
2.5
6.4
4.1
6.8
6.8
11.8
5.3
6.9
1.6
1.0
6.5
1.9
5.2
7.6
0.7
0.1
1.8
1.9
0.0
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
10.0
9.2
9.2
20.0
5.8
15.2
30.0
21.1
23.2
40.0
30.4
37.9
50.0
4.8
60.0
4.2
80.0
With the robust year-to-date recoveries in both high
yield and leveraged loans, spreads have dropped below
historic averages for the first time since mid-2015.
Although
leverage is trending up interest coverage continues to
be at a moderate level and, we believe, yields remain
attractive given the alternatives in the global credit
markets. The lingering effects of the sell-off in commodities
are projected to result in an increase
in defaults from less than 2% in 2015 to
Leveraged loans
6% and 5% in bonds and 3% and 2.75%
High yield bonds
for loans in 2016 and 2017, respectively.
Excluding Energy and Metals & Mining,
however, defaults are forecast to remain a
benign 2% for both asset classes. While
high yield is no longer as undervalued as
it was in the first quarter, we believe that
the sector will continue to benefit from
the global search for income and that
portfolios will earn their yield through the
end of the year.
40.2
Exhibit 2: Defaults Appear to Have Peaked
90.0
OUTLOOK
Source: J.P.
Morgan, as of 9/30/16.
Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged index of U.S.
bonds, which includes reinvestment of any earnings and is widely used to measure
the overall performance of the U.S. bond market.
Bloomberg Barclays U.S.
Corporate High Yield Bond Index is an unmanaged market
value weighted index that covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade
debt.
Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index is a market-weighted index that tracks the
performance of institutional leveraged loans.
Investors cannot invest directly in an index.
A Basis Point is equal to 0.01%.
Collateralized loan obligations are securities backed by a pool of debt, often lowrated corporate loans.
Credit Spreads are the difference between the yields of sector types and/or
maturity ranges.
Credit Ratings noted herein are calculated based on S&P, Moody’s and Fitch ratings.
Generally, ratings range from AAA, the highest quality rating, to D, the lowest,
with BBB and above being called investment grade securities. BB and below are
considered below investment grade securities. If the ratings from all three agencies
are available, securities will be assigned the median rating based on the numerical
equivalents.
If the ratings are available from only two of the agencies, the more
conservative of the ratings will be assigned to the security. If the rating is available
from only one agency, then that rating will be used. Ratings do not apply to a fund
or to a fund’s shares.
Ratings are subject to change.
Investment Risks:
Bonds offer a relatively stable level of income, although bond prices will fluctuate
providing the potential for principal gain or loss. Intermediate-term, higher-quality
bonds generally offer less risk than longer-term bonds and a lower rate of return.
Generally, a fund’s fixed income securities will decrease in value if interest rates
rise and vice versa. Although a fund’s yield may be higher than that of fixed
income funds that purchase higher-rated securities, the potentially higher yield
is a function of the greater risk of that fund’s underlying securities.
Floating rate
loans are typically senior and secured, in contrast to other below-investment grade
securities. However, there is no guarantee that the value of the collateral will not
decline, causing a loan to be substantially unsecured. Loans generally are subject
to restrictions on resale.
The value of the collateral securing a floating rate loan
can decline, be insufficient to meet the obligations of the borrower, or be difficult
to liquidate. Participation in certain types of loans may limit the ability of a fund to
enforce its rights and may involve assuming additional credit risks.
The views expressed by the funds’ managers are as of the quarter-end specified.
This information is general in nature, provided as general guidance on the subject
covered, and is not intended to be authoritative. It is subject to change without notice
as market conditions change, and is not intended to predict the performance of any
individual security, market sector, or RidgeWorth Fund.
All information contained
herein is believed to be correct, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Investors are
advised to consult with their investment professional about their specific financial
needs and goals before making any investment decision.
Before investing, investors should carefully read the
prospectus or summary prospectus and consider
the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and
expenses. Please call 888.784.3863 or visit ridgeworth.
com to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus,
which contains this and other information about the
funds.
©2016 RidgeWorth Investments.
All rights reserved. RidgeWorth Investments is
the trade name for RidgeWorth Capital Management LLC, an investment adviser
registered with the SEC and the adviser to the RidgeWorth Funds. RidgeWorth
Funds are distributed by RidgeWorth Distributors LLC, which is not affiliated with
the adviser.
Seix Investment Advisors LLC is a registered investment adviser with
the SEC and a member of the RidgeWorth Capital Management LLC network of
investment firms. All third party marks are the property of their respective owners.
.
THIRD QUARTER 2016 | PAGE 4
ridgeworth.com | 866.595.2470
3333 Piedmont Road, NE
Suite 1500
A
tlanta, GA 30305
ABOUT RIDGEWORTH INVESTMENTS
RidgeWorth Investments—a global investment management firm headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, with approximately $40.1 billion
in assets under management as of September 30, 2016—offers investors access to a select group of boutique investment managers
and subadvisers. RidgeWorth wholly owns three boutiques: Ceredex Value Advisors LLC, Seix Investment Advisors LLC and Silvant
Capital Management LLC, and holds a minority ownership in Zevenbergen Capital Investments LLC. WCM Investment Management and
Capital Innovations, LLC serve as subadvisers to the RidgeWorth Funds. Through these six investment managers, RidgeWorth offers a
wide variety of fixed income and equity disciplines, providing investment management services to a growing client base that includes
institutional, individual and high net worth investors.
For more information about RidgeWorth, its boutiques and its subadvisers, visit ridgeworth.com.
ABOUT SEIX INVESTMENT ADVISORS LLC
Seix Investment Advisors, one of RidgeWorth’s investment management boutiques, has exclusively focused on managing fixed income
assets since 1992.
Seix seeks to generate competitive absolute and relative risk-adjusted returns over the full market cycle through
a bottom-up focused, top-down aware process. Seix employs multi-dimensional approaches based on strict portfolio construction
methodology, sell disciplines and trading strategies with prudent risk management as a cornerstone.
For more information about Seix, visit seixadvisors.com.
RFRI-LLOAN-0916
.