Vol 3/Issue 1 – WINTER 2014
Global
outlook 2014
asset class:
volatility
china’s
bold move
screens
on esG
. Welcome
to the NeW edItIoN
of stoXX Pulse
meet stoXX
at a conFerence
»
» Mar. 26, shanghai, China
Ruben Feldman, manager, Market
Development, STOXX, speaks on
“Managing Risk through Indexation”
on Mar. 26.
Alain Picard, head of product
management, Business & Market
Development, SIX AG, speaks about
SMI indices, the specialties of the
Swiss ETF market and the advantage
of listing ETFs in Switzerland.
Mar. 25-26, London, UK
UK EDHEC RIsK Days,
EURopE RUbEN FELDMaN
CHINa INDExINg & ETF CoNFERENCE
.
As STOXX expands into China, we bring
you an interview with Julian Tsung-Sheng
Liu, president and chief executive officer
of Yuanta Securities Investment Trust Co.,
an asset manager based in Taiwan.
Liu offers his views on the Shanghai Free
Trade Zone, which opened in September,
2013, and represents the boldest move yet
by China to open up its currency and its
economy to foreign investors.
HaRTMUT gRaF
Ceo, stoXX limited
dear readers,
I hope all of you had a good holiday
season, and I wish you a successful 2014.
Speaking of success, I would like to talk
about the STOXX Pulse newsletter.
We published our first issue in the fall of
2012, with about a thousand subscribers.
Our aim was to offer news and views on
indexing and investing themes to clients.
This issue, the sixth, goes out to more than
8,000 subscribers, highlighting the growth
of this publication.
In this issue, we bring you an outlook for
2014 from Andreas Utermann, the global
chief investment officer at Allianz Global
Investors. We are delighted that he has
taken the time to offer his perspective
to our readers.
Volatility has been established as an asset
class for more a decade, and investors are
increasingly recognizing the importance
of this asset class. For this issue, we talked
to a few clients who use VSTOXX products
to get their views on volatility in general
and “volatility tools” that are available
to investors.
STOXX introduced the iSTOXX Global
ESG Select 100 Index in December, 2013.
The index offers investors exposure
to sustainable companies with the lowest
volatility and the highest dividends.
We also talked to an equity derivatives
structurer at J.P. Morgan to get his
perspective on applying screens to
a sustainability index and what that
means for investors.
I hope you enjoy this issue.
For comments
and/or suggestions, please contact the
editor Rajiv Sekhri at rajiv.sekhri@stoxx.com
Regards,
Hartmut Graf
CEO, STOXX Limited
. ‘ TO nOT TAkE rISk IS ThE bIGGEST rISk An InvESTOr CAn TAkE’ In 2014
‘TO nOT TAkE
rISk IS ThE
bIGGEST rISk
An InvESTOr
CAn TAkE’
In 2014
4
aNDREas UTERMaNN
Allianz Global Investors
. sToxx Pulse – WINteR 2014
Even though we are seeing what is
arguably one of the loosest monetary
conditions in history, many countries and
regions have yet to reach pre-crisis output
levels. There is also low, and in many
cases, falling inflation rates along with
high unemployment. Many policy makers,
such as the European Central bank (ECb),
don’t see inflation as the biggest risk,
but rather deflation, as seen in the ECb’s
recent rate cut.
STOXX Pulse asked Andreas Utermann,
the Global CIO of Allianz Global Investors,
to write a commentary for this issue on
a global investment outlook for 2014.
ALLIAnZ GLOBAL
InvESTOrS CIO SAYS
‘STOCkS ArE ThE
AnSWEr’ ThIS YEAr
Father Time may have delivered a new
year, but don’t expect central banks to cut
any monetary umbilical cords anytime
soon. We are still in a post-financial crisis
environment.
Loose monetary policy by
central banks, led by the Fed, will likely
continue for much longer than most
anticipate. In our view, loose monetary
policy will remain the key driver of the
global financial markets in 2014.
As we were saying in 2013, to not take risk
is the biggest risk an investor can take.
For us, the continuation of financial
repression dynamics that we have
experienced over the last few years is
a call for investors to gain more exposure
to risk assets, equities in particular.
We believe investors should use market
weakness or corrections as buying
opportunities. In our opinion, stocks offer
investors the most attractive long-term
returns in 2014.
In many respects, stocks
are the answer for delivering needed
capital returns. Equities, unlike
government bonds, are less likely to
be impacted by unsustainable levels
of sovereign debt and will benefit more
from a recovery of the global economy.
For the first time since the onset of the
global financial crisis, we see a moderate
global cyclical recovery. The global
economy is indeed recovering, but the
economic recovery has come about
largely because of quantitative easing
(QE) by the Fed and other central banks.
Before central banks begin to tighten
earnestly, they will first need to see
several quarters of at- or above-trend
growth and lower levels of unemployment
coupled with rising inflation expectations
and evidence that global debt levels are
shrinking in real terms.
We are optimistic
about global growth in 2014 though
we don’t see the conditions for a change
in global central bank policy to happen
until at least 2015.
Let us now take a look at regional
markets.
us
The major question is, should investors
fear rising interest rates in the US this
year? Our answer is that we do not see
a rise in interest rates in the short term.
For one, we believe the Fed — and this
applies to central banks globally — will
willingly stay behind the curve in terms
of the timing and the magnitude of
5
. ‘ TO nOT TAkE rISk IS ThE bIGGEST rISk An InvESTOr CAn TAkE’ In 2014
brics (brazil, russia, india and china)
and emerGinG markets
europe
Crossing the Atlantic over to Europe,
we finally find growth after years of crisis.
Europe had staggered from one debt
crisis to the next but saw relative stability
in 2013. We believe this trend will
continue and will help to support
European markets in 2014.
interest rate hikes. Inflation expectations
remain subdued in the US and very well
could remain so throughout 2014.
Two, the Fed would rather err on the
side of inflation than risk deflating asset
prices by applying the monetary brakes
too soon.
Investors should be aware that the Fed
will likely be very cautious in applying
tighter monetary policy. We expect the
Fed to carefully gauge market sentiment
before implementing any policies and
those policies should surprise asset
markets to the upside.
Risk assets will once again drive returns
in the US in 2014 as the low-interest rate
environment continues.
6
Ireland has just returned to the capital
markets, exiting the existing external
support mechanisms, and Portugal is
also planning to return to the capital
markets this year.
Both countries continue
to implement fiscal and structural
reforms, and Greece and Spain as well,
but it will be a long, difficult road to
recovery. It is here we find the biggest risk
in the Eurozone. because structural
reforms are often painful and unpopular,
there is the threat of a political backlash
that could have significant consequences
for the Eurozone.
That said, Greece, the weakest country
economically, is now seen returning
to 0.6% growth this year and growing
2.9% in 2015, according to the winter
2013 forecast by the European
Commission.
Even though larger
economies, such as France and Italy,
are struggling to implement reforms
to shrink their debt burdens, we believe
the Eurozone is on the path to recovery
and there are positive impulses in the
overall Eurozone economy backing our
optimism.
After a prolonged period of weaker
economic growth in the BRICs and
emerging markets, there are signs that
a turnaround is underway, with China
and Poland especially well positioned
to benefit from the recovery we’re seeing
in developed markets. China is
transitioning under its new leadership
in a positive direction, moving from
“Made in China” to “Made for China.”
We believe carefully selected emerging
market stocks offer investors the prospect
of attractive returns. Though some
of these stocks are no longer cheap,
an investor may want to consider buying
shares of companies in developed
markets that are well-positioned
to benefit from growth in emerging
markets.
Another area to consider is exposure
to emerging market currencies and debt.
Here you will find opportunities to invest
in countries with positive demographic
trends and without the debt burden of
many countries with developed markets.
Japan
The recovery in Japan is simply
unsustainable.
The Japanese central
bank’s expansive monetary policy, termed
“Abenomics,” has only limited prospects
for long-term success. Japan’s central
bank is trying to fight deflation and
sluggish growth by weakening the yen.
This has helped in the short term to raise
equity markets, but what needs to be
addressed in Japan goes much deeper
and involves breaking down cemented
structures before we would feel
comfortable in saying that the country
is on its way to sustainable long-term
growth.
Investors may see their shares of
Japanese companies rise as the yen
weakens, but they better keep on their
toes, because as soon as the
expansionary policy is reduced, we see
the yen rising again and Japanese
government bond yields once again
sinking. We feel current share prices
in Japan are optimistically high.«
.
STOXX pulsE – WINTER 2014
7
. vOLATILITY AS An ASSET CLASS
AS An ASSET
CLASS
8
. sToxx Pulse – WINteR 2014
of mid-term futures when the volatility
forward curve is in contango.
VSTOXX AnD
DYnAMIC vSTOXX
Volatility has become an important tool
for investors to diversify traditional equity
portfolios and for taking outright views on
the direction of equity markets. STOXX
offers several indices to help investors
benefit from volatility as an asset class.
The EUrO STOXX 50 volatility Index
(vSTOXX), for example, measures the
implied variance across all options of
a given time to expiry. The vSTOXX family
includes many indices, including the
VSTOXX Short-Term Futures Index, which
measures return from a rolling long
position in first and second month EUrEX
vSTOXX futures contracts. The EUrO
STOXX 50 Volatility Mid-Term Futures
Index replicates a constant five-month
forward, one-month implied volatility.
STOXX Pulse talked to three experts
to get their views on volatility as an asset
class and volatility products available
in the market.
Abhinandan Deb is head of European
equity derivatives research at bank of
America Merrill Lynch Global Research.
Prior to joining BofA Merrill Lynch in 2010,
he was a senior equity derivatives
research analyst at Barclays Capital.
he holds a master’s degree in Advanced
Computing from Imperial College London
and bachelors’ degrees in computing and
in physics from Oxford University and
St Stephen’s College, University of Delhi.
The Dynamic VSTOXX Index is a
combination of two indices, the VSTOXX
Short-Term Futures and Mid-Term
Futures Indices.
The rationale behind
dynamic allocation is to exploit in a timely
manner the superior performance
of short-term futures when the volatility
forward curve is in backwardation and
John-Mark Piampiano is a portfolio
manager at Pine River Capital
Management since 2010. Before joining
Pine River, Piampiano was a principal
at Engineered Portfolio Partners.
From 2002 to 2009, he worked as
senior portfolio manager hbk
Investments in Dallas, where he was
responsible for the global volatility
business including portfolio trading,
risk management and staffing. he has
also worked as an equities derivative
trader at KBC Financial Products in
new York and as a trader at hess Energy
Trading Co.
Piampiano received a
bachelor of science degree in economics
and biology from the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology in 1999.
JoHN-MaRK pIaMpIaNo
Pine River Capital Management
abHINaNDaN DEb
Bank of America Merrill lynch
9
. AS An ASSET CLASS
our investors eXpect
us to search the Globe
For ineXpensive hedGes
and relative value
trades in the volatility
space.
John-mark piampiano
VSTOXX AnD
DYnAMIC vSTOXX
Volatility has become an important tool
for investors to diversify traditional equity
portfolios and for taking outright views on
the direction of equity markets. STOXX
offers several indices to help investors
benefit from volatility as an asset class.
The EUrO STOXX 50 volatility Index
(vSTOXX), for example, measures the
implied variance across all options of
a given time to expiry. The vSTOXX family
includes many indices, including the
VSTOXX Short-Term Futures Index, which
measures return from a rolling long
position in first and second month EUrEX
vSTOXX futures contracts. The EUrO
STOXX 50 Volatility Mid-Term Futures
Index replicates a constant five-month
forward, one-month implied volatility.
The Dynamic VSTOXX Index is a
combination of two indices, the VSTOXX
Short-Term Futures and Mid-Term
Futures Indices.
The rationale behind
dynamic allocation is to exploit in a timely
manner the superior performance
of short-term futures when the volatility
forward curve is in backwardation and
of mid-term futures when the volatility
forward curve is in contango.
STOXX Pulse talked to three experts
to get their views on volatility as an asset
class and volatility products available
in the market.
Abhinandan Deb is head of European
equity derivatives research at bank of
America Merrill Lynch Global Research.
Prior to joining BofA Merrill Lynch in 2010,
he was a senior equity derivatives
research analyst at Barclays Capital.
he holds a master’s degree in Advanced
Computing from Imperial College London
and bachelors’ degrees in computing and
in physics from Oxford University and
St Stephen’s College, University of Delhi.
John-Mark Piampiano is a portfolio
manager at Pine River Capital
Management since 2010. Before joining
Pine River, Piampiano was a principal
at Engineered Portfolio Partners.
From 2002 to 2009, he worked as
senior portfolio manager hbk
Investments in Dallas, where he was
responsible for the global volatility
business including portfolio trading,
risk management and staffing. he has
also worked as an equities derivative
trader at KBC Financial Products in
new York and as a trader at hess Energy
Trading Co.
Piampiano received a
bachelor of science degree in economics
and biology from the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology in 1999.
What sort oF interest are you seeinG
amonG your customers in products
that help FiGht volatility?
deb: The volatility regime is changing.
While fewer investors are as keyed up
on fighting tail risk as they were during
the height of the European sovereign
crisis, we’re seeing rapidly growing interest
and trading activity in volatility products
from a wide variety of clients in diverse
geographies. Selling volatility has been
a winner in 2013 and this hasn’t been lost
on most investors. Consequently, volatility
put strategies have been in strong
demand.
Relative value volatility has also
picked up and our hedge fund clients
were active in forward variance spreads;
with volatilities generally low to sell
outright and costly to buy and hold
outright, relative value becomes a
natural play.
piampiano: Our investors expect us to
search the globe for inexpensive hedges
and relative value trades in the volatility
space. Index products provide a
“benchmark” in each geographic region
since they represent the most liquid suite
of products and provide a basis for
comparison for the price of other option
products in that region.
10
. STOXX pulsE – WINTER 2014
Cyprus, Turkey and Israel. He is also
responsible for the sales activities of
Eurex vSTOXX Derivatives. before
joining Eurex, Markus worked as a
senior equity derivatives and fixed
income derivatives trader at Citibank
in Germany and Switzerland for almost
a decade.
MaRKUs-aLExaNDER FLEsCH
eurex Zurich AG
complex is the reduced liquidity relative
to options on EUrO STOXX 50 or other
major European equity indices.
in your opinion, What kind oF product
or products are the best tools
to fight volatility in the market?
Which vstoXX indeX or indices do you
use and What are the pros and cons
of this product?
deb: I tend to follow the VSTOXX futures
curve. While it is still far less liquid than
the VIX, there are a few reasons why
investor interest in trading VSTOXX
has grown:
» Relative value opportunities arise due
to the difference in steepness of the
two futures curves; the VSTOXX curve
is less impacted by ETP flows than
VIX is.
» European risk is better hedged with
VSTOXX than VIX.
» Diversification: like any asset, there is
scope for regional diversification and
investors will look more seriously at
vSTOXX once volumes/liquidity grow
sufficiently for trading costs to reduce.
piampiano: We trade VSTOXX futures
and options in both a hedging and
relative value context.
VSTOXX derivatives
give us exposure to market implied
volatility without any direct exposure
to the underlying cash index (EUrO
STOXX 50), in contrast to EUrO STOXX
50 put or call options, which lose their
convexity profile if we move away from
our strike price. This makes the VSTOXX
derivatives unique among listed European
volatility products in that they provide
us with this “strikeless” exposure.
Our primary concern with the vSTOXX
deb: Generally, volatility products are well
suited to hedge risk-off events, given
outsized moves in volatility versus large
moves in risk assets. The key always is
how to manage long volatility exposure,
and we have worked to deliver our clients
volatility option based hedges that also
have superior carry profiles, indeed with
the potential to carry positively.
Few if
any other asset classes can offer such
payoffs.
piampiano: There is no product which
provides the best hedge 100% of the
time. Each product has advantages and
disadvantages both with respect to the
nature of the convexity profile and with
the price relative to other hedges.
Our investors expect us to make a careful
analysis of the relative merits of all the
potential hedges in the market to ensure
the hedge we offer represents the
cheapest possible convexity profile
at any given time to protect each of
our portfolios.
can you tell us Why the vstoXX and
dynamic vstoXX indices are popular
amonG investors?
Flesch: VSTOXX is becoming
increasingly popular amongst
institutional investors, even though
2013 was a year in which overall
volatility levels were suppressed.
A growing number of clients have
discovered volatility as an asset class
and value "pure" volatility trading
in comparison to trading a "proxy"
of volatility with straddles on the
underlying index market, which is
subject to transaction costs from
dynamic delta management. With the
VSTOXX itself and a wide range of
dynamic vSTOXX Indices, Europe is
catching up with US market
development.
In the US, volatility
products have been more mainstream
for many years and are also actively
used by retail investors.
With our listed European volatility
derivatives, clients can gain exposure
more efficiently than in the past, when
Markus-Alexander Flesch has been an
executive director at Eurex Zurich AG
since 2003 and is responsible for the
derivative business for sell-side and
buy-side clients in Switzerland, Italy,
11
. ChInA’S “FInAnCIAL STYLE bIG
ChINA’s
“fINANCIAl
style BIG
BANG”
12
. sToxx Pulse – WINteR 2014
What does the chinese Government
need to do, especially With reGard
to foreign exchange and customs
reGulations, to ensure that this
liberalization proGram enables
interested investors and the country
to beneFit?
I see this move as China’s commitment
to economic and financial change.
This is a kind of Chinese style financial
big bang, similar to what happened in
1986 in the UK and in 1993 in Japan.
JULIaN TsUNg-sHENg LIU
yuanta securities Investment trust Co
ThE ShAnGhAI FrEE
TrADE ZOnE
China launched the Shanghai Free Trade
Zone on Sep. 29, 2013, a move hailed by
many analysts and media as the boldest
step yet by the country to liberalize rules
that govern finance, currency, investment,
trade and interest rates.
The plan of the SFTZ is to open up to
foreign competition in the zone and use
it as a testing laboratory for reforms,
including a convertible yuan and
liberalized interest rates. More than
1,400 companies had registered in the
SFTZ within two months of its launch,
the Financial Times reported in
november.
Reuters reported in December that
Charles Schwab had traveled to Shanghai
to discuss opening an office in the free
trade zone. "The next step is to open
an office in the new free trade zone in
Shanghai," Schwab was quoted as saying
by reuters.
"The rules and regulations are
not completely clear."
Some analysts say that the SFTZ does
not sound appealing to foreign investors
because the political will behind the
project seems lacking. In addition, more
clarity regarding customs and foreign
exchange regulations in the free zone
need to be clarified.
STOXX Pulse spoke with Julian TsungSheng Liu, president and chief executive
of Yuanta Securities Investment Trust Co.,
an asset manager headquartered in
Taipei, to get his views on what this move
means for China. Liu visited the SFTZ in
2013.
Yuanta Securities is a subsidiary
of Yuanta Financial holding, and also has
representative offices in Shenzhen and
Shanghai. Yuanta SITC has 10 billion US
dollars of assets under management.
In terms of the forex control, we will see
a lot of relaxation of currency control from
the Central Bank of China. The first move
would be trying to cap the weight for
renminbi internationalization.
We see that
a lot of offshore centers started by Hong
Kong and Taiwan and Singapore and
London are coming into play. We see that
renminbi is heavily controled by China as
it tries to stabilize its currency movement,
its international trade and its economic
performance. But I think now China
believes the timing is good to remove
all trading bans for the currency.
In this new zone, China plans a
mechanism for two-way movement –
in and out – for renminbi
internationalization and liberalization.
At the same time, we are seeing a lot
of new measures toward interest rates,
lending rates and deposit rates.
Wealthmanagement wise, we see that banks
like Citibank from the US and DbS from
Singapore want to have a presence and
exposure in the SFTZ.
Meanwhile, in terms of customs control,
I think there will be special treatment
for the SFTZ. For example, automakers
will enjoy many tax reductions.
13
. ChInA’S “FInAnCIAL STYLE bIG
For right now in Shenzhen, the Chinese
government allows a 49% ownership for
a joint venture in the mutual fund and
securities industry. There are more than
80 mutual fund companies currently
domiciled in China. In the future, the
intention of the government is to allow
more than 50% foreign ownership, but,
do remember, the government also does
not want to jeopardize local industry.
As of right now, it is not clear whether
you can own 100% of your company in
the SFTZ. But things will become clearer
over time.
do you think the sFtz poses a threat
to hong kong?
I was at the SFTZ in mid-november,
and it is a very small area, just
11 kilometers.
I think it is very symbolic.
I think the banking, manufacturing
and logistics industries will benefit from
such openness.
hoW lonG do you think it Will take
beFore the sFtz becomes Fully
Functional and solves its teethinG
problems?
That is easier said than done. This is just
the launch. There will be trial and error
as China tests the waters.
I think stage
one will take one or two years. Our
anticipation for now is that it will take
three to four years to establish all the
necessary infrastructure and also take
another two or three years after that to
finalize. So in terms of the time horizon,
I think the SFTZ will become the engine
for mainland China by 2020 in terms
of liberalization and deregulation.
That said, I think in five years from now,
we will begin to see a lot of the measures
taking effect.
14
I think there will be more synergy than
competition between Hong Kong and
Shanghai.
Or, more likely, co-competition,
which is a mix of cooperation and
competition. There are no major political
barriers between Hong Kong and
mainland China, compared to the barriers
that exist between mainland China and
Taiwan. I think Hong Kong and Shanghai
can play different roles, because I think
the target of the mainland China
government is to set up Shanghai to
become the international financial center,
while Hong Kong is the financial center
of Asia.
Also, in terms of the structure of the
economy, Hong Kong is a city economy,
while mainland China is a continental
economy.
Hong Kong was also occupied
by a service industry, while mainland
China has a lot of trading, import and
export industry. However, Hong Kong
does have a more mature economy,
a better platform for accounting, laws,
etc., so I think Hong Kong can be
leveraged by Shanghai.
does yuanta have any plans to move
into this Free trade zone?
We have a mutual fund joint venture
with China resources Group in Shenzhen.
Shenzhen is a special economic zone too.
In the SFTZ we will get another tax break
of 10% but we are well established in
Shenzhen and right now we have no
plans to open an office in Shanghai.
Just a last question about hoW Well
versed you think asian investors are
With diFFerent products in the etp
space?
Asian investors have a good knowledge
base about ETPs, ETFs and also different
strategies, such as low volatility.
For example, Taiwanese pension funds
are keen to invest in global low volatility
products.
In East Asia such as Japan and korea,
I think investors are fast movers and have
greater acceptance for innovative and
new financial products, while I think that
in Hong Kong and Singapore investors
have a good variety of ETD products
available.
And many big steps in the investment
sector are being taken by governments
in Asia. Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand
just entered an agreement to sign the
Collective Investment Scheme (CIS),
which is a three-country mutual fund
passport.
It is very, very similar to UCITs
in Europe. So funds that are domiciled
in Singapore can be easily redistributed
to Thailand or Malaysia. This is bound
to change the mutual fund landscape
of Southeast Asia.
In the same way,
the Greater China market also needs
to be consolidated.
Meanwhile, mainland China has
encouraged financial innovation in recent
years. In 2013, China had a fixed income
ETF, it had a gold ETF and cross-border
ETF. So China remains a big market with
endless possibilities.«
.
sToxx pulsE WINTER
STOXX Pulse – WINteR 2014
15
. PLACInG SCrEEnS On SUSTAInAbILITY
PLACInG SCrEEnS
On SUSTAInAbILITY
SELECTInG ThE bEST: ESG FIrMS WITh ThE LOWEST vOLATILITY AnD hIGhEST DIvIDEnDS
isToxx global
Esg select 100
sToxx global
Esg Leaders
sToxx
global 1800
7.3%
10.6%
5.7%
volatility (annualized)1
14.5%
17.5%
15.7%
Maximum drawdown
50.2%
52.8%
53.7%
Sharpe ratio1
0.43
0.55
0.31
Gross dividend yield
4.4%
3.6%
3.0%
Performance (annualized)
gUILLaUME FLaMaRIoN
J.P. Morgan
STOXX Ltd. introduced the iSTOXX ESG
Select 100 Index in December, 2013.
The index selects 100 stocks with the
lowest volatility and highest dividends
from the universe of the STOXX Global
ESG Leaders Index.
STOXX Ltd. talked to Guillaume
Flamarion, a London-based equity
derivatives structurer at J.P.
Morgan,
to ask him about applying screens
to a sustainability index and what that
means for investors.
Flamarion joined J.P. Morgan in October,
2011. He has more than 7 years of
experience in equity solutions structuring.
he graduated from the Ecole des Mines
de Paris in 2006.
16
isToxx gLobaL Esg sELECT 100 sHoWs LoWER voLaTILITy aND HIgHER DIvIDEND
THaN bENCHMaRKs
300
200
100
0
Sep 2004
Sep 2006
iSTOXX Global ESG Select 100 (EUr Gr)
Sep 2008
Sep 2010
Sep 2012
STOXX Global ESG Leaders (EUr Gr)
STOXX Global 1800 (EUr Gr)
1) EOnIA rate used as proxy for riskless returns.
Gross dividend yield calculated from Dec. 11, 2012 to Dec. 11, 2013
Source: STOXX daily data from Sep.
20, 2004 to Dec. 9, 2012. For iSTOXX Global ESG Select, data is backtested
until nov.
21, 2013. For STOXX ESG Leaders, data is backcasted until Apr. 2011
.
STOXX pulsE – WINTER 2014
don’t esG and sustainable indices
already have companies that pay
relatively hiGh dividends and Whose
shares display relatively loWer
volatility? or is that Just an
assumption, and hence the need to
apply these screens to an esG indeX?
What is the beneFit oF applyinG screens
For loW volatility and hiGh dividends
on a sustainability indeX?
I would like to emphasize that first
of all, an ESG index tracks the returns
of a basket of sustainable stocks.
Companies that implement strict controls
on Environmental, Social and Governance
(ESG) standards are usually better
positioned to deliver consistent
performance in the long term.
This ESG filter is mainly a qualitative
factor which can be combined with
more quantitative gauges, like low
volatility and high dividends.
Investing in low volatility stocks has been
very popular among investors recently.
Usually, high volatility stocks are relatively
overpriced as mutual fund managers,
who might have limitations on the use
of leverage, are tilting towards high
volatility stocks to generate performance.
Moreover, stocks with low historical
volatility, exhibit historically superior
risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ratio).
Companies that pay high dividends
are generally seen as stable, generating
consistent earnings and returns in the
long term. A high dividend yield can
indicate undervaluation of the stock
,
because the stock s dividend is high
relative to its price. Moreover, in a low
interest rate environment, high dividend
stocks can provide consistent income
to investors.
Stocks from the ESG universe are
generally stable companies which
could be seen as already displaying
lower volatility and paying relatively high
dividends. The ESG filters are mainly
non-financial qualitative criteria which
can be balanced efficiently with two
financial quantitative gauges – low
volatility and high dividends.
Theoretically, orthogonal (independent)
factors would form a complete and
diversified set of investments.
In practice,
it is difficult to associate completely
independent factors. The three levels
of selection within the index achieve their
objective of complementing each other
efficiently: qualitative and quantitative,
quality and stability, potential growth
and regular income. however, investors
must not forget that while this selection
process exhibits efficiencies in theory,
there is no guarantee that the iSTOXX
Global ESG Select 100 Index will
necessarily outperform its benchmark.
this esg filter is mainly
a qualitative Factor
Which can be combined
with more quantitative
GauGes, like loW
volatility and hiGh
dividends.
Guillaume Flamarion
launches have gathered considerable
assets, and today most index providers
have flagship low volatility and select
dividend indices.
However the
combination of both is still rare.
As explained, low volatility and select
dividends are two complementary factors
within an index like the iSTOXX Global
ESG Select 100 Index. This concept could
be extended to STOXX indices other than
ESG, for example on benchmark indices
(EUrO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 50,
STOXX Europe 600), thematic indices
(STOXX Strong Quality index family),
or sector indices. It is important
to remember that there is no guarantee
that quantitative factors will always
enhance performance.«
In a nutshell, the iSTOXX Global ESG
Select 100 Index intends to combine
these three complementary factors:
quality (ESG filter), low risk (low historical
volatility) and value (high dividend).
can the perFormance oF broad or
other types oF indices be enhanced
by applying screens to these indices?
hoW?
The demand for low volatility and high
dividend strategies has grown
significantly over the past few years due
to strong risk-adjusted performance and
increased investors’ appetite for smarter
equity exposure.
In fact, recent ETF
17
. FEATUrED InDICES
feAtuRed
INdICes
sToxx global 1800
52-WEEK pERFoRMaNCE
3-yEaR pERFoRMaNCE
STOXX Global 1800
STOXX Global 1800 Minimum Variance
STOXX Global 1800 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
STOXX Global Select Dividend 100*
20.1%
12.5%
8.2%
9.3%
34.0%
38.2%
32.5%
24.7%
STOXX Global Maximum Dividend 40*
18.4%
21.5%
STOXX Europe 600
STOXX Europe 600 Minimum variance
STOXX Europe 600 Minimum variance Unconstrained
STOXX Europe Select Dividend 30*
STOXX Europe Maximum Dividend 40
19.1%
16.8%
16.1%
12.1%
26.8%
29.9%
37.5%
35.0%
11.0%
34.4%
STOXX Europe 600 Equal Weight
STOXX Europe Low risk Weighted 100
22.5%
17.1%
31.6%
43.6%
19.0%
14.3%
16.7%
19.4%
19.9%
19.7%
22.1%
31.9%
43.1%
13.1%
22.2%
24.2%
12.9%
4.8%
2.3%
1.0%
10.3%
-4.7%
2.3%
12.5%
17.0%
15.1%
27.9%
16.2%
20.7%
10.3%
-11.3%
-11.6%
-16.0%
-19.2%
-2.3%
-7.0%
-8.9%
17.7%
4.6%
17.2%
sToxx Europe 600
EURo sToxx 50
EUrO STOXX 50
EUrO STOXX Minimum variance
EUrO STOXX Minimum variance Unconstrained
EUrO STOXX Select Dividend 30
EUrO STOXX 50 Equal Weight
EUrO STOXX 50 Low risk Weighted
sToxx asia/pacific 600
STOXX Asia/Pacific 600
STOXX Asia/Pacific 600 Minimum Variance
STOXX Asia/Pacific 600 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
STOXX Asia/Pacific Select Dividend 30*
STOXX Asia/Pacific Maximum Dividend 40*
STOXX ASEAn-Five Select Dividend
STOXX East Asia 80
sToxx China a 50
STOXX China A 50
STOXX China A 50 Equal Weight
sToxx australia 150
STOXX Australia 150
STOXX Australia 150 Minimum Variance
STOXX Australia 150 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
18
. STOXX pulsE – WINTER 2014
sToxx North america 600
52-WEEK pERFoRMaNCE
3-yEaR pERFoRMaNCE
22.8%
17.1%
15.2%
12.1%
11.1%
43.9%
46.7%
50.0%
48.1%
31.6%
25.3%
18.9%
17.1%
44.9%
47.5%
54.6%
-0.8%
0.5%
0.1%
-2.8%
22.0%
26.6%
STOXX north America 600
STOXX north America 600 Minimum Variance
STOXX north America 600 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
STOXX north America Maximum Dividend 40*
STOXX north America Select Dividend 40*
sToxx Usa 900
STOXX USA 900
STOXX USA 900 Minimum Variance
STOXX USA 900 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
sToxx Canada 240
STOXX Canada 240
STOXX Canada 240 Minimum Variance
STOXX Canada 240 Minimum Variance Unconstrained
All indices are in EUr Gross return versions, except the ones marked with *, which are in EUr net return versions
Source: STOXX data as of Jan. 13, 2014
sToxx asEaN-FIvE sELECT DIvIDEND 50 sHaRpLy oUTpERFoRMs THE sToxx asIa ToTaL
MaRKET INDEx
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Mar '04
Mar '05
Mar '06
Mar '07
Mar '08
Mar '09
STOXX ASEAn-Five Select Dividend 50 (EUr Gr)
Mar '10
Mar '11
Mar '12
Mar '13
STOXX Asia TMI (EUr Gr)
Source: STOXX daily data from Mar. 22, 2004 to Jan. 10, 2014.
19
.
CoNTaCTs
Vol 3/Issue 1 – WINTER 2014
Printed in January 2014
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