May 2015
OUTLOOK
Asia Pacific
Opportunity Knocks:
Success in Restructuring
An Outlook on Turnaround and Restructuring
in Asia Pacific 2015
. Contents
Foreword 3
Executive Summary 4
Corporate Stress in Asia: A Look at 2015 6
Strike while the iron is hot: Proactive versus
reactive restructuring 7
Strategies For Success 8
The holistic turnaround 8
Strategy #1: M&A
10
Joined-up thinking: The challenges of integration
12
Strategy #2: Cash management
13
Strategy #3: Overhead optimization
15
Strategy #4: Revenue enhancement
17
Transforming For a Digital World
Applying technology across industries
A trend of growing importance
20
21
21
Restructuring Asia: Market Forecast
and Comparison
Country forecasts
Industry forecasts
Restructuring environment comparison
Challenges in 2015
22
22
22
23
24
Conclusion 25
Methodology 26
About Mergermarket
27
About AlixPartners
28
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Foreword
In addition to gauging respondents’ sentiments about trends
and market conditions across the Asia Pacific region, this year’s
survey asked respondents which restructuring strategies would
see the widest applications and which would present the most
difficulties, because certainly, regional differences between
countries give each its intricacies that call for a tailored approach
to restructuring.
Companies in the Asia Pacific region will be restructuring
in greater volume and at higher frequency in the next
12 months. That was the general sentiment of respondents
to AlixPartners’ third annual survey of restructuring and
turnaround activity in the advanced economies of Japan and
Australia and the various emerging markets in between.
The opinion is due in large part to macroeconomic uncertainty
globally and is exacerbated by a slowdown in the Chinese
economy—in the form of a downward shift in growth that
is reverberating across the region.
Our goal in this report—our third collaboration with
Mergermarket’s events and publications division Remark—
is to provide a snapshot of the available options for distressed
companies or those considering a restructuring.
Choosing the right approach when restructuring very
often makes the difference between a successful turnaround
and one whose tremendous amounts of invested corporate
time, resources, and value get lost. It’s challenging, though,
to decide which strategy—be it cash management,
corporate expansion, overhead optimization, or efforts
to enhance revenue—will deliver the desired results.
As always, we hope you find the report a valuable and insightful
read, and we’d welcome the chance to discuss with you in more
depth any of the issues raised.
Masahiko Fukasawa
Managing Director, Co-Head of Asia Business Unit
& Co-Japan Representative
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Executive Summary
The outlook: Anticipation of increasing distress
Some 93% of survey participants anticipate an increase
in corporate restructurings in the year ahead. That represents
a significant uptick from expectations in 2013 (66% of
respondents) and 2014 (70%). The sentiment was led by
unease from the slowdown in the Chinese economy, with
almost 40% of respondents saying that that downward shift
in growth would contribute to increased restructuring activity.
Strategy #1: Acquiring and divesting
For a company struggling for growth, an acquisition can provide
the impetus to reach new markets and explore new product
segments. That makes acquisition a popular tool, with 90%
of respondents saying acquisition would be a commonly used
tool for restructurings in the year ahead.
Conversely, when a
company is being impeded by a noncore unit or one that is
performing poorly, a divestiture might offer the best chance for
a successful turnaround. However, with only 43% of respondents
seeing it as a likely tactic during a restructuring, divestiture
remains a relatively unpopular choice in the Asian region.
Proactive restructuring still rare
Only 18% of respondents say they take a proactive approach
to restructuring—despite widespread realization that early action
can give corporate leaders greater control over the process.
Restructuring under financial pressures leaves fewer options
on the table and makes it more difficult to avoid bankruptcy.
Instead, the majority of respondents (69%) say restructuring
would commence only after the first signs of distress.
Strategy #2: Managing cash flow
The ability to accurately predict cash flow is the most
important skill when managing cash flow, according to 70%
of respondents. Finding quick resolution to issues between
debtor and creditor is seen as the second most-common
approach to cash management, an option selected by 62%
of respondents.
Additional, less popular, cash management
tactics include renegotiation of customer terms (53%) and
working-capital reductions (48%).
Country and industry forecasts
As in previous years, restructuring activity is expected to increase
in varying degrees across the Asia Pacific region. A prolonged
recession in Japan means that 97% of respondents anticipate
increased restructurings, with distress within the mining sector
contributing to downbeat sentiment in Australia and New
Zealand (93%). This is followed by South Korea (87%), Greater
China (85%), Southeast Asia (75%), and India (74%).
Top
industries likely to experience upticks in restructuring are financial
services (59%) and industrials (58%), followed by automobile
manufacturers (50%) and the real estate sector (35%).
Strategy #3: Overhead optimization
Cutting overhead costs is another important strategy for
improving a business’s cost competitiveness and growth
opportunities. Respondents say employee layoffs would be
most common (76%) under this approach, followed by scaling
back production (64%). In contrast, outsourcing is seen as
a much less likely option, chosen by just 34%.
Toolbox for restructuring: The strategies for success
Strategies that can be applied to cope with operational and
financial changes include mergers and acquisitions (M&A),
cash management, overhead optimization, and revenue
enhancement.
Within each overall strategy, respondents
pinpoint particular initiatives they say they believe offer the best
chance for a successful restructuring and those they believe
would be particularly challenging to implement in their markets.
Strategy #4: Enhancing revenue
Companies trying to develop and secure new sources of
revenue or to boost existing revenue streams will do so by
exploring new market segments in the year ahead, according
to 70% of respondents. Developing new products and
services will also be a useful tactic (56%), complemented
by pricing more effectively (51%) and negotiating business
partnerships (37%).
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Postmerger integration: Top challenge, secondary priority?
With acquisition rated as a particularly important tool for turning
around an underperforming company, getting the acquisition
process right is likely to be decisive in a large number of
restructuring situations during the year ahead. A poorly executed
integration can have a lasting, negative impact on the future
fortunes of a company. Whereas 30% of respondents said
postdeal processes represent the most challenging aspect of
a deal, 90% said that the most time and the most resources get
dedicated to the earlier stages of the transaction. Close to 25%
of respondents say postmerger integration deserves more
attention than it is being given.
The power of digital
Digital advances offer promising complements to traditional
restructuring practices and are ways for companies to gain
advantages over their market rivals.
However, digital
transformations have been slow to take root in Asia. A full 93%
of respondents report having heard of digital transformation,
but only 50% say it was part of their most recent restructuring.
For future turnarounds, 57% of respondents say digital
transformation will be a key factor, including 28% that see
it is as critical.
Asia’s restructuring and turnaround potential
Generally, respondents say the restructuring profession
has yet to establish a foothold in Asia comparable to that
in North America or Europe. Although regulatory and political
developments are paving the way for a smoother restructuring
process, 57% of respondents say the region is still less mature
than markets in the West.
Close to half of respondents also say
that executing a corporate restructuring in Asia is more difficult
than in North America and Europe.
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Corporate Stress in Asia: A Look at 2015
Corporate Asia may be in for another year of turbulence. According
to AlixPartners’ Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring, 93% of market
participants in this year’s survey anticipate that the number of corporate
restructurings and turnaround situations will increase in 2015 (figure 1).
That represents a significant increase over responses in our previous annual
surveys: in 2013, 66% of participants expected corporate restructurings
to increase, followed by 70% in 2014.
In addition to the impact of slowing growth rates, more than a
quarter of respondents say global macroeconomic uncertainties—
such as falling oil prices, Russia’s involvement in Ukraine, and
continued economic volatility in the Eurozone—would drive
restructurings in 2015 (figure 2). Alleviating debt or liquidity issues
is another primary concern among respondents this year, as are
regulatory or political developments and competitive pressures.
Slowing economic growth rates and mounting corporate
debt across the region are two of the main drivers of rising
distress in Asia Pacific. Those pressures are pushing
corporations to close facilities, divest unprofitable business
lines, and search for diversification in other industries through
mergers or acquisitions.
The ripple effect from the slowdown in the Chinese
economy is also being acutely felt regionally.
Almost 40%
of respondents say impact from China would contribute
to increased restructuring activity in the next 12 months.
Yet despite the largely negative outlook, companies need not
dread the prospects or the process of restructuring. Having
a finger on the pulse of the market and on developments in their
Figure 1: Expectations for restructuring/turnaround activity
in Asia Pacific in the next 12 months
Figure 2: Primary drivers of restructuring in Asia Pacific in the
next 12 months
3%
7%
8%
26%
8%
36%
15%
21%
57%
19%
Increase significantly
Increase slightly
Remain the same
6
Macroeconomic uncertainty
Debt or liquidity issues
Regulatory or political developments
Competitive pressures
Company-specific strategic
change/business plan
Corporate expansion via M&A
Industry-specific conditions/
industry consolidation
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Figure 4: To what extent does the late start of a corporate
restructuring affect the success rate of the overall reorganization?
Figure 3: When are restructurings most likely to commence
as part of corporate reorganizations in Asia Pacific in the next
12 months?
1%
13%
18%
37%
62%
69%
Not at all
To some extent
Significantly
When business is still healthy, as part of a proactive approach
At the first signs of stress (such as declining revenue, shrinking customer
base, cash flow difficulties, etc)
Once signs of serious distress emerge (financial crisis, legal actions, etc)
industries will help corporate leaders spot opportunities
to restructure their own businesses before value or market share
begins to erode. At the very least, acknowledging those signs
and taking action can prevent stress levels from rising.
of restructuring portfolio companies commence. Other
respondents say limited resources prevented them from taking
a proactive approach when there were no clear signs the
company or its position in the market were in jeopardy.
Strike while the iron is hot: Proactive versus
reactive restructuring
That’s despite respondents’ almost unanimous agreement that
starting late has an impact on the chances of success (figure 4).
And that includes 62% of those surveyed who say a late start
would have a significant impact because, as respondents note,
delays can have a ripple effect on the company’s continued health.
Indeed, minor problems at present could spiral out of control,
becoming major threats to the company’s continued operation.
Deciding when to pull the trigger can make the difference
between a successful turnaround and a company liquidation.
In an increasingly volatile market, that awareness is key.
However, only a small percentage of respondents (18%) say they
take a proactive approach to restructuring (figure 3). Early action
can give corporate leaders and turnaround professionals greater
control over the process, effectively keeping more doors open
as the restructuring unfolds.
Corporate restructuring launched
under the pressure of financial distress often lacks those options,
making it more difficult to avoid bankruptcy or liquidation.
The managing director of a hedge fund in Greater China illustrates
those points by saying, “A late start will definitely alter the
outcome and have a long-lasting impact on the business. It
increases the likelihood that compromises and internal cuts will be
required to rescue the company, leaving it a shell of its former self.”
Instead, the majority of respondents (69%) say preemptive
restructuring is both uncommon and unlikely and that such
efforts to transform a business will commence only after the
first signs of distress. The managing director of a privateequity firm in Greater China says that only after signs emerged,
such as negative cash flows or declining revenues, did talks
Along with starting in good time, determining exactly what to
restructure and knowing how to go about doing so are also critical
for a successful restructuring.
Here, taking a specific, tailored
approach helps increase the odds of success. In the next section,
we explore several strategic approaches that can assist companies
in navigating distress and that can yield the desired results.
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Strategies For Success
Foremost in the corporate recovery process are (1) the diagnosis of what
is negatively affecting the bottom line and (2) the development of solutions
to remedy the stress. Addressing those points requires managers to consider
the question: What type of restructuring is best suited for our company?
In elaborating on that point, a partner at a private-equity
firm in Greater China says, “All three are equally important,
and distressed firms are likely to need a number of internal
changes. Restructuring debt and capital structures would
improve balance, and replacing or complementing the
management could help provide new, innovative ideas
to improve operations and make the business profitable
once again.”
On one hand, if the company is facing financial difficulties,
then reducing overall debt will be the main objective. On the
other hand, a business unit that needs streamlining and
increased efficiency may call for operational changes.
And
poor leadership or corporate mismanagement may require
turnaround professionals to step in as restructuring managers.
However, in many situations, a restructuring plan will rely
on addressing all three areas—financial, operational, and
leadership—by way of a holistic approach.
Yet despite agreement that the holistic approach is the best
way of increasing the chances for a successful turnaround,
the holistic approach has yet to see widespread application
in the market. In terms of management changes, Asian
companies have been reluctant to bring in external advisors and
turnaround professionals except in the direst of circumstances.
And by that time, the level of distress may have reached a point
where the opportunity for recovery has been lost.
The holistic turnaround
Respondents agree that a holistic approach will see wider use
in the year ahead: more than a third of respondents say that
strengthening operational, financial, and leadership would
make companies in the Asia Pacific region more resilient and
less vulnerable to external shocks (figure 5).
Indeed, as corporations restructure in the year ahead, internal
managers are expected to wield the most influence in driving
the process. Respondents say that that responsibility will fall
on the board of directors (44%) and the CEO and other C-suite
executives (43%) (figure 6).
Meanwhile, lender-appointed chief
restructuring officers and other external advisors account for
only 1% each, which pinpoints the continued reluctance
to bring in outside assistance.
Figure 5: Across Asia Pacific, what will be distressed
companies’ primary focus during the next 12 months?
Debt/capital structure restructuring
37%
Operational restructuring
37%
Management/leadership changes
All three
Although changes in leadership are often required to jump-start
a restructuring or guide a corporate turnaround across the finish
line, respondents say that financial and operational restructurings
are more likely to be companies’ focus this year (both at 37%)
rather than enacting management changes (at 20%).
The main tactics for achieving operational and financial
changes can be grouped under four overarching strategies
(figure 7).
20%
Some 90% of respondents say M&A
would be one of the most likely forms
of restructuring in the year ahead.
39%
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
}} Mergers
and acquisitions (M&A) to complete
acquisitions or divestitures that will drive the corporate
growth agenda and expand operations
}} Overhead optimization to alleviate cost redundancies
across various internal corporate functions in order
to reduce the outflow of cash
}} Cash management to ensure a company’s financial
stability and solvency
}} Revenue enhancement to explore and develop new
products and services that would maximize profits
Figure 6: Who will hold the most influence in driving
corporate restructuring at companies in Asia Pacific in the next
12 months?
1%
11%
1%
44%
The initiatives that underlie these strategies can provide
the means to optimize operations, reduce debt, and improve
efficiency. For the next 12 months, making an acquisition
(90% of respondents) stands out as the anticipated restructuring
tool of choice, followed by employee layoffs (76%), cash flow
forecasting (70%), and exploring new markets (70%).
43%
Whether focusing on one of those strategies or managing
a cross-strategy turnaround, respondents say that those options
hold the keys to improving a company’s financial condition and
turning around a business that may not be operating to its
maximum potential. Each approach provides options to alter
the current course, reclaim lost market share, and, potentially,
create value.
Board of directors
CEO and other
C-Suite executive
Lender-appointed chief
restructuring officer
Middle management
Other external advisors
Figure 7: Which of the following restructuring/turnaround strategies will be applied most in the next 12 months?
M&A
Cash management
Overhead optimization
Revenue enhancement
90%
76%
70%
64%
70%
62%
53%
43%
56%
48%
51%
37%
34%
9
Negotiating business partnerships
Pricing more effectively
Exploring new market segments
Working capital reduction
Developing new products or services
Note: Yellow represents highest expectation within each of the four categories.
Respondents were allowed to choose more than one response.
Renegotiating terms of
payments and receivables
Resolving issues with
banks and creditors
Better forecasting cash flow
Outsourcing
Scaling back production
Employee layoffs
Divestiture
Acquisition of target company
0.0
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Strategy #1: M&A
Table 1: M&A (by respondent expectations)
The race to build a stronger, better organization amid a rising
tide of competition led respondents to select acquisitions as
their top choice when restructuring in the year ahead (table 1).
For a company struggling for growth, M&A can increase
exposure to new markets, add new product lines, or bolster
talent and therefore serve as a springboard for a resurgence
in performance. Conversely, divesting a noncore business
enables companies to offload distressed or nonperforming
assets so as to create a leaner, more efficient company
(figures 8 and 9).
90%
Acquisition of target company
43%
Divestiture
Acquisition of a target company
In the past 12 months, the level of acquisitions across Asia Pacific
reached new records as regional and international corporations
completed transactions as part of expansion and restructuring
agendas. In 2014, approximately 3,760 deals were completed,
an increase of 21% over the previous year, according to data
from Mergermarket. A large part of that activity was driven by
government-mandated industry consolidations, particularly in the
steel processing industry.
Increasingly, however, corporations
in Asia are using M&A as a way to break out of their local and
regional markets and into the global arena.
looking to M&A to rebrand themselves and their operations
in order to join the ranks of multinational corporations.
The views of a partner at a Japanese private-equity firm echo that
sentiment: “Acquiring a target company, especially a smaller one,
can add value to the parent company and act as a catalyst to
boost revenue, enter new market segments, and add talent and
expertise.” Such add-ons in turn can help transform a company’s
approach to doing business, potentially opening up new
avenues for growth that had been unavailable previously.
In Japan, corporations are following the acquisition trail in search
of new points for growth amid shrinking market shares as the
country’s population declines. Chinese corporations are likewise
Although for a struggling company the rewards from acquisitions
can be significant, a company must first make an honest
Figure 8: Anticipated use of M&A as a restructuring strategy, by geography
100%
100%
80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
Australia and New Zealand
Acquisition of target company
Greater China
India
Japan
Divestiture
10
South Korea
Southeast Asia
0%
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
assessment of its current financial and operational standing.
The costs in time and resources may put such a process out of
reach for companies suffering high levels of distress, as opposed
to those that are pursuing M&A under much less pressure.
Figure 9: Which of these approaches to M&A will be most
challenging in your primary region of focus?
47%
Australia and
New Zealand
Equally, the acquisition process has many inherent challenges.
Foremost among them is the selection of the right target
to acquire. In M&A, a “good-enough” fit can spell disaster.
Prospective acquirers must adhere to a strictly enforced selection
process to find a target that will create long-term value.
20%
31%
Greater China
13%
33%
India
Respondents also say that due diligence poses a significant
hurdle in completing a transaction, particularly during a
cross-border acquisition. As well as investigating the internal
operations of the target, an acquirer must become familiar
with the local legal and regulatory frameworks.
13%
43%
Japan
17%
The work done after a deal is signed is likely to be even more
intensive and is often underestimated, with time and resources
instead devoted to the early and midstages of the transaction.
See Joined-up thinking: The challenges of integration
on page 12 for more.
40%
South Korea
27%
22%
Southeast Asia
17%
Divestiture
When an organization’s overall performance is being hampered
by a noncore or underperforming unit, a divestiture may be
needed to get on with growth. Such divestiture could involve
the sale of manufacturing plants, business divisions, or entire
subsidiaries of the larger corporation.
As 43% of respondents
point out, divestiture plays an important role in the restructuring
of a corporate portfolio and would be a common approach
during a reorganization.
Acquisition of target company
Divestiture
A relatively low number of respondents say a divestiture would
be a particularly challenging part of any restructuring process.
Across Asia Pacific, the highest percentage of such respondents
is in South Korea, where the country’s chaebol (business
conglomerates) are often hesitant to divest assets—even those
that impede growth. The reason is the sense of loyalty the
chaebol have toward companies in their portfolios: one that
often dissuades parting with assets—even those that have
nothing to do with the core business.
Divestiture of a noncore or underperforming unit can put
funds to work to further other aspects of the restructuring
process, including growth initiatives. That point is emphasized
by the managing partner of a law firm in Greater China: “The
decision to sell a noncore or nonperforming asset is only one
part of a divestiture.
Before the sale is complete, business
leaders must also have a plan for how cash from the sale will
be used postdivestiture. Exploring new market segments
is one option, but a company must seriously consider how
proceeds can best be used to reposition itself as a leader
against the competition.”
Divesting an asset when the company is stable is usually only
a matter of finding a buyer and reaching an agreeable valuation.
However, that process gets compounded if the parent business
or the asset being sold is distressed or underperforming. In such
unfavorable conditions, yielding the best possible return from
the sale will be unlikely and valuations may be weak.
Once the asset is divested, a corporation can also refocus time
and resources on core operations.
Japanese electronics giant
Sony used that rationale when announcing plans to spin off its
audio and video division in early 2015—a move that will free Sony
to focus on higher-growth sectors—in the areas of movies, music,
video games, and image sensors.1
Even amid rising stress levels, a corporate divestment must be
executed following a well-defined strategy with clear objectives.
That includes having a price in mind for the asset being sold.
Following that course—even when divesting in unfavorable
circumstances—can help maximize a sale and contribute toward
the company’s recovery or redirected business strategy.
1 Eric Pfanner and Takashi Mokizuki, “Sony to spin off its audio and video business.” Wall Street Journal, February 18, 2015.
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Joined-up thinking: The challenges of integration
Poorly executed integrations often negatively affect
a company’s future fortunes. Nearly all respondents agree
that weaknesses during the postmerger integration stage
can have a major impact on the overall restructuring (figure
11). The reasons integrations fail are complex and varied, and
significant differences emerge between deals intraregional
within Asia and deals between an Asia-based acquirer and
a target located abroad (figure 12). Cultural issues, involving
both national differences and the corporate cultures of the
buyer and seller, stood out as the greatest obstacles to the
merging of business entities (at 73%), especially during a
cross-border, intraregional transaction.
The language barrier
can likewise stand in the way of what could otherwise be a
smooth integration.
Determining where to commit time and resources during
an acquisition will affect the amount of value created or
synergies realized. In our survey, participants say that time and
resources are usually dedicated largely to the early stages of
the transaction, with more than 90% saying the focus is on
activities completed before the deal is closed (figure 10).
Respondents suggest that the importance of deal sourcing
and due diligence means that those steps dominate the
process. But 30% of respondents say the most challenging
part of the transaction occurs once the deal is closed and
integration begins.
Given the complexities associated with
the merging of workforces, the integration of IT functions,
and the reallocation of resources, it’s necessary to designate
sufficient resources at this stage. That step requires the right
amount of time, proper attention, and genuine commitment
from management.
Overcoming obstacles and increasing the likelihood
of a successful integration require a comprehensive plan
be in place ahead of signing. The plan must clearly define
objectives and delegate responsibilities.
An experienced
integration team comprising management at the target
firm and professionals who oversee the transition is also
paramount to successfully merging two businesses—
a point several respondents remark on. During cross-border
acquisitions, utilizing local experts with ground-level
insights can prove invaluable for first-time buyers in
a new market.
Close to a quarter of respondents say postmerger integration
deserves more attention than it is given. Those respondents
hold that the resources allotted were insufficient to meet the
heavy demands of the process.
Postmerger integration can
be daunting, especially amid a wider restructuring that may
require management to handle multiple tasks at once. But
it is critical because a delayed or poorly planned integration
can erode value at both the target and parent companies.
Figure 10: During the acquisition process, which task is given the most time and resources, and which is most challenging
as it pertains to restructuring?
38%
30%
28%
25%
16%
16%
14%
8%
7%
5%
3%
Start
Setting the
strategy and right
management team
Given most time/resources
Deal sourcing
(ï¬nding the
right target)
10%
Due diligence
Negotiating price
and other conditions
Most challenging
12
Closing the deal
Postmerger
integration
Conclusion
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Strategy #2: Cash management
Cash management is likely to be a central component
in any restructuring process; the availability of cash can
often determine the options a company has for improving
underlying operations. Companies that generate or manage
cash supplies effectively are more likely to find solutions that
alleviate distress, with respondents pointing out the importance
of accurate forecasts alongside the resolution of issues with
banks and creditors as particularly key steps in this process.
Figure 11: What impact can a failed or weak PMI have
on the recently restructured organization?
1%
Better forecasting cash flow
The ability to create accurate cash flow forecasts stood out
in most territories across Asia Pacific as the most important
tactic when a company is looking to improve cash management
(figure 13). Some 70% of respondents say that creating those
projections and communicating effectively with lenders and
other investors would be major parts of restructuring processes
in the year ahead (table 2).
46%
53%
“Cash flow forecasting is important because it enables leaders
to plan the restructuring and examine the associated costs while
also gaining trust from creditors. Knowing exactly how much
cash is available also opens more options during the restructuring
process,” says the CEO of a Japanese investment bank.
Very negative impact
Negative impact
No impact
Given the macroenvironment and local and regional volatilities,
the difficulty of making projections was noted by respondents
in varying degrees across the region (figure 14).
This is true
for as much as 60% of respondents in India, where the
underlying economic environment is especially unpredictable
amid a deceleration in growth.
Figure 12: What are the key obstacles that have
an impact on PMI, by M&A deal type?
31%
Cultural differences
73%
29%
Language barriers
According to the director of investment at a Japanese
investment bank, “Cash flow forecasting is challenging
because market dynamics are shifting, and those shifts make
it incredibly difficult to make accurate projections. Similarly,
demographic changes are adding to the layers of complexity
in creating an appropriate financial model for the future of
the business.”
44%
42%
Lack of clear vision
37%
36%
Lack of leadership
31%
Lack of proper planning
Resolving issues with banks and creditors
Finding a quick resolution to issues between debtor and
creditor is seen as the second most-common approach to
cash management, an option selected by 62% of respondents.
As a partner at an Australian law firm points out, negotiating
with creditors to establish more-agreeable repayment terms
would be essential to financial restructuring in the year ahead.
According to that respondent, “Effectively managing
relationships with creditors will help clear the air and should
help overcome misconceptions or confusion about the health
of the company.”
43%
25%
31%
Lack of resources
21%
Intraregional
Interregional
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. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Table 2: Cash management (by respondent expectations)
Renegotiating customer terms
of payment and receivables
Better forecasting cash flow
70%
53%
Resolving issues with banks and creditors
Working-capital reductions
62%
48%
most challenging cash management tactic in most Asia
Pacific geographies.
A dialogue with creditors that is characterized by openness
and trust, wherein information is shared to assess a company’s
financial condition, can result in better results for both parties.
Creditors are more likely to realize a return on their investments,
and debtors can overcome short-term turbulence.
That perspective is echoed by the director of investment
at a Japanese investment bank: “Resolving issues with the
bank and creditors will be the most challenging because
of the regulatory environment and a strict credit regime,
which means there’s less opportunity to negotiate for a better
agreement or payment mode.”
The debtor-creditor relationship is one of the many intricacies
that differentiate restructuring in Asia from restructuring in
jurisdictions in North America and Europe. In the United
States, for example, reputable legal frameworks exist that
allow for a debtor-friendly restructuring. However, such
frameworks are much less prevalent in Asia Pacific, and
resolving issues with banks and creditors stood out as the
Renegotiating terms of repayments and receivables
Revisiting payment schemes with clients and customers
is another proven tactic for cash management. Requesting
Figure 13: Anticipated use of cash management as a restructuring strategy, by geography
100%
100%
80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
Australia and New Zealand
Greater China
Better forecasting cash flow
Resolving issues with banks and creditor
India
Japan
Renegotiating terms of payments and receivable
Working-capital reduction
14
South Korea
Southeast Asia
0%
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OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Figure 14: Which of these approaches to cash management will be most challenging in your primary region of focus?
73%
67%
67%
60%
49%
47%
40%
38%
58%
47%
41%
43%
40%
36%
37%
40%
47%
43%
40%
42%
39%
39%
27%
13%
Australia and New Zealand
Greater China
Renegotiating terms of payments and receivables
Better forecasting cash flow
India
Japan
South Korea
Southeast Asia
Resolving issues with banks and creditors
Working-capital reduction
company to boost performance. This can be done in a
relatively short amount of time and with relatively little effort,
which makes this is a valuable approach to cash management
for companies going through painful restructurings. However,
only 48% of respondents say that that initiative will be a key step
taken when addressing cash concerns during restructuring
in the year ahead. It may be because savings from workingcapital reductions often go overlooked due to an absence
of metrics to quantify those savings.
“Working-capital
reductions are challenging because management teams first
have to accurately assess where those costs are being incurred
in order to reduce them,” says the director of investment
at a Japanese bank.
early payment from customers or improving the consistency
of payments can give those companies strapped for cash
an advantage as they restructure, an opinion shared by 53%
of respondents.
“Renegotiating terms of payments and receivables will increase
flexibility,” suggests the chief investment officer at a hedge fund
in Greater China. “Asking customers to pay their bills on time
or early facilitates more options when investing in new businesses
and also helps in renegotiating payment terms with banks and
other creditors.”
Renegotiating terms of payment with a company’s customers
can also help a company recognize “best customers” from the
rest, in effect identifying those customers that are profitable
and able to pay on time and those that should be avoided.
This can be a particularly important if a company is facing
financial difficulties and must rely on those payments to meet
its debt or financial obligations. Similarly, setting new terms
can encourage customers to pay on time or repay existing
balances; inconsistent or late payments from customers can
be seen by creditors and lenders as a risk to the company’s
bottom line.
Strategy #3: Overhead optimization
Choosing the right approach to cut overhead costs is another
very important step toward improving a business’s cost
competitiveness and growth opportunities.
Although the exact
size and composition of overhead costs vary among industries
and although geographically specific hurdles sometimes pose
challenges, respondents identify several initiatives that will likely
be deployed in the year ahead (figure 15).
Employee layoffs
In our survey, 76% of respondents agree that employee layoffs
often represented the quickest and most likely option during
restructuring in times of distress (table 3). Although this is
never a popular tactic, employee layoffs offer the benefit of
reducing redundant positions and creating a leaner, more
effective workforce.
Working-capital reductions
Freeing up working capital—such as that directed toward
maintenance and managing inventory—lets a company quickly
generate value and cash flow. Cash that has been freed up by
reducing working capital can be applied to pay off debt and
attend to financial obligations.
It can also be reinvested in the
15
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Figure 15: Anticipated use of overhead optimization as a restructuring strategy, by geography
100%
100%
80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
Australia and New Zealand
Employee layoffs
Greater China
Scaling back production
India
Japan
South Korea
Southeast Asia
0%
Outsourcing
Although downsizing the current workforce has the potential
to make the organization more efficient and more competitive
from a cost perspective, a slash-and-burn approach to reducing
the size of the workforce could have a deleterious effect on
company performance. Possible negative consequences include
reductions in employee morale, selling efforts, and client
relationships, all of which could have a spillover effect on revenue.
Meanwhile, in knowledge-based companies, cutting staff can
result in a loss to the company’s competitive edge in innovation.
As such, respondents agreed that establishing a downsizing plan
proactively would be much more likely to reap overall benefits.
By reducing head count proactively, management can develop
an effective plan to retain top talent that will assist with the
company’s growth. In contrast, waiting until the company is
distressed can cause valued employees to jump ship, particularly
in the absence of an effective communications plan around any
downsizing program.
Table 3: Overhead optimization
(by respondent expectations)
It’s worth noting that mass layoffs are often prevented by
employment laws and labor unions across Asia Pacific. Those
employment laws and the overall complexity of human resources’
management of the downsizing of a workforce led respondents
to choose employee layoffs as one of the top challenges in
restructuring in the year ahead—most notably, in India and
Southeast Asia.
76%
Employee layoffs
64%
Scaling back production
Scaling back production
Scaling back production to limit overcapacity or prevent
excess inventory is recognized by 64% of respondents
as a likely optimization initiative for the year ahead, with
respondents suggesting that cutting output in line with
weakening demand and market developments is a necessary
part of restructuring (figure 16).
34%
Outsourcing
16
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OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
with such shutdowns. For companies in distress, a financial drain
at an inopportune moment could further accelerate an already
potentially steep downward spiral.
Cuts in production were notable parts of Japanese automakers’
restructurings when revising their China strategies in recent
years. Amid political tensions and shifts in demand, many
shuttered factory operations. Similar closures have also been
common in Asia’s steel industry, where overcapacity continues
to plague the sector.
Outsourcing
Although only 34% of respondents chose outsourcing
as a possible approach for the year ahead, those who did
praised its cost-effectiveness.
Allocating certain business
processes or units to external service providers places a
minimal burden on internal operations and carries low risk
relative to other approaches.
The managing director of a Southeast Asian private-equity
firm says that whereas scaling back production can save on
operational costs, disruption to normal production schedules
and operations can cause “unanticipated costs to accumulate.”
Equally, companies looking to downsize operations must
carefully select which production sites to close. Whether it’s
a far-reaching restructuring plan to shutter multiple facilities
or a more surgical approach to close an underperforming plant,
business leaders must also bear in mind the costs associated
Outsourcing business activities after a thorough analysis
of the potential business provider will help companies keep
costs under control and even assist with cutbacks and scaling
down production,” says the managing director of an Australian
hedge fund.
Still, business leaders should not act too hastily to outsource
operations without considering certain threats. Outsourcing
can create quality control issues when products or services
are designated to an external manufacturer or service
provider.
Hidden and unanticipated costs from vendor
selection and work handover can also arise. Likewise,
language barriers and incompatibilities between IT systems
can hinder the process at a time when a smooth transition
is vital for a successful restructuring.
Figure 16: Which of these approaches to overhead
optimization will be most challenging in your primary
region of focus?
33%
Australia and
New Zealand
40%
13%
41%
Strategy #4: Revenue enhancement
54%
Greater China
With economic growth rates declining across Asia Pacific,
companies that once enjoyed buoyant sales are now trying
to develop and secure new sources of revenue or to boost
current revenue streams to remain profitable. As companies
face the prospect of lower growth amid dwindling consumer
spending in China and across the region, many have had
to rethink their business strategies, with a focus on offering
the right products to take market share from competitors.
13%
53%
27%
India
7%
30%
50%
Japan
27%
Exploring new market segments
During a restructuring, a company is likely to focus on finding
the fastest way of generating additional revenue.
For distressed
companies, that focus usually involves reexamining current
product and service offerings, as opposed to developing new
ones. It can also involve selling the current lineup of offerings
to new classes of customers. In contrast, companies taking a
proactive approach can conduct a wider strategic review to
examine the possibility of new applications for existing products
and the development of derivative products.
40%
47%
South Korea
7%
47%
Southeast Asia
47%
33%
Employee layoffs
Scaling back production
Outsourcing
Regardless of the health of a business, 70% of respondents
say that most restructuring in terms of revenue enhancement
17
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OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Table 4: Revenue enhancement (by respondent expectations)
Exploring new market segments
Pricing more effectively
Developing new products and services
Negotiating business partnerships
70%
51%
56%
37%
market and attempt to gain entry to international markets
via outbound acquisitions.
in the year ahead would revolve around the exploration
of new market segments (table 4). Respondents in Greater
China say the exploration of new markets would be particularly
prevalent due to strong competition and depressed consumer
spending (figure 17). However, gaining entry to a new market
segment is also seen as the greatest challenge for respondents
from Greater China in terms of revenue enhancement strategies
in the year ahead (figure 18).
Developing new products and services
In our survey, 56% of respondents say that developing
new products and services would be the most likely way
of generating new revenue streams in the year ahead.
Expanding on those expectations, the director of a Chinese
sovereign wealth fund suggests that “Developing new products
and exploring new market segments will be the most-applied
strategy in our domestic market as well as the overall Asia Pacific
region, given the large number of opportunities and the fact that
In Japan, a declining population has led to a shrinking consumer
market, whereas increasing competition from domestic and
international corporations has led to market share decreases.
The result has seen Japanese corporates diversify within the
Figure 17: Anticipated use of revenue enhancement as a restructuring strategy, by geography
100%
100%
80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
Australia and New Zealand
Greater China
Exploring new market segments
Developing new products or services
India
Japan
Pricing more effectively
Negotiating business partnership
18
South Korea
Southeast Asia
0%
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Figure 18: Which of these approaches to revenue enhancement will be most challenging in your primary region of focus?
57%
56%
53%
53%
53%
49%
47%
47% 47%
41%
40%
38%
37%
33%
33% 33%
47% 47%
43%
33%
31%
27%
28%
20%
Australia and New Zealand
Greater China
Developing new products or services
Exploring new market segments
India
Japan
South Korea
Southeast Asia
Negotiating business partnerships
Pricing more effectively
it would do so at the expense of the company’s bottom line.
As the respondent from India notes, “Reducing prices tends
to favor customers and doesn’t always work in a business’s favor.
The risks tend to be high because customers can always change
their minds and buy a different product.”
many companies are considering exploiting synergies within
market segments and product classes.”
Respondents say that this tactic would most likely be applied in
Southeast Asia, given the rise of a burgeoning middle class with
changing tastes and growing demands for consumer goods.
However, given the diversity of that market, developing new
products and services is also seen as one of the most challenging
initiatives when restructuring to enhance revenue. As the
managing director of a Chinese private-equity firm says,
“Developing new products will be challenging because market
trends are highly unpredictable and it’s hard to tell what the
actual demand for a product or service will be.”
Negotiating business partnerships
Establishing new business partnerships or restructuring current
ones is seen by 37% of respondents as a likely strategy in the
year ahead. Although expected to occur relatively infrequently,
creating and reviewing partnerships can heavily affect a
company’s success when entering a new market or expanding
within an existing one.
Pricing more effectively
Pricing more effectively will be a significant part of restructuring
in the year ahead, according to 51% of respondents. That
strategy is most likely to be used in Australia and New Zealand
and India, where many respondents point to competitive
pressure to match or slash prices.
Across Asia Pacific, joint ventures are often necessities due
either to unfamiliarity with the target market or to governmentmandated matchups.
Although a large number of joint ventures
succeed in their intent, misaligned interests or lack of
understanding between the parties can cause the partnership
to flounder. Fixing the partnership structure is often the first move,
but if an agreement cannot be reached, those involved must
reconsider their positions in the relationship and turn to exit
strategies to mitigate risk and manage potential costs or losses
from the investment.
“Pricing more effectively will be an important strategy in our market as
opportunities in India shrink and domestic companies look for ways
of maintaining their competitive edge over other companies in their
market segments,” a partner at an Indian private-equity firm says.
Regionally, particularly in Asia Pacific’s emerging markets,
negotiating business partnerships is not seen as a significant
challenge to restructuring. However, in Japan and South Korea,
challenges are noted due to language barriers and cultural
differences that make such business tie-ups difficult to execute
and cumbersome to maintain.
Respondents in India also say that pricing will be the most
challenging revenue enhancement tactic in the year ahead.
Lowering prices could lead to a costly price war with competitors,
especially in an overcrowded market.
That could result in prices’
dipping so low that although a company would retain customers,
19
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Transforming For a Digital World
Companies that are adaptable, agile, and resilient are the ones likely to reap
the most business success. The strategies set forth in the previous section
can put companies on the right course, but companies that embrace modern
advances and adopt current business processes by incorporating digital
technology into their operations can see even better results.
The power of digital has become the great equalizer
in business. Companies that take advantage of digital advances,
especially in the increasingly competitive environment of Asia
Pacific in the fields of data management, mobile application,
analytics, and social media often reap the rewards of closer
customer engagement, improved performance, and
enhanced overall reach. Yet as respondents in our survey
point out, digital transformation has been slow to take root
in Asia.
A full 93% of respondents say they had heard of digital
transformation prior to taking this survey, but only 50%
say digital transformation was part of their most recent
corporate restructuring.
Figure 19: Which industries could benefit most from
digital transformation?
57%
Retail
50%
Financial services
33%
Airlines
32%
TMT
30%
Automotive
Industrial
What is digital transformation?
26%
24%
Hospitality
It is a dramatic change in the way a company
is configured—due to the adoption of new technologies
and new business models—so it can engage and deliver
to digital consumers.
16%
Shipping
13%
Real estate
9%
Pharmaceutical
Renewable energy
Respondents who had not implemented digital initiatives say
they lacked resources because the focus was on developing
other core areas of the business. However, many say that
although digital transformation was not a part of recent efforts,
it would be considered in future restructurings.
7%
Mining
Chemicals
Those who had rolled out digital transformation strategies
did so for a variety of reasons. The director of investing
at a Japanese bank says that when his firm wanted to compete
with larger firms, it used digital transformation as a steppingstone that would enhance a culture of excellence and position
his firm as a top participant in the market.
Reducing costs
is the main concern of the managing partner of a Chinese
hedge fund, who says his firm consolidated most of its
business units and developed new digital frameworks to
streamline operations while also extending online services
for clients.
4%
1%
That sentiment is echoed by the director of an Australian bank:
“We aimed at transforming physical data into digital data
to make it accessible across platforms and locations and
to improve outreach and client relationship management.”
Only 50% of respondents say digital
transformation was part of their most
recent corporate restructuring.
20
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Applying technology across industries
Figure 20: How important do you think digital transformation
will be to restructuring plans in the next 12 months?
All industries can upgrade existing technology in the move
toward a more digitized business, but respondents say several
sectors in particular stand to benefit the most from such
change (figure 19). Specifically, retail and financial services
are expected to see the most improvement or most value add
if digital technologies get incorporated into restructuring
or turnaround efforts.
15%
28%
In the retail space, respondents point to the growth
in e-commerce and the potential for digital transformation
to help retailers of all sizes scale their operations to capture larger
pieces of the consumer market. “Retail has been very active
in the e-commerce space—especially in consumer electronics,
apparel, home, and lifestyle—so digital transformations will
be extremely important for companies in that sector, because
they can establish closer relations with customers and increase
their shares in the market at relatively low cost,” says a director
at a South Korean bank.
57%
Critical
One of the key items
Neutral
In financial services, respondents say, the retail banking
segment will benefit the most from digital transformation
because consumers increasingly use digital services for making
online payments, for conducting transactions, and for doing
their personal banking. Several respondents note the importance
of improving the user experience in digital transformations and
restructuring.
Customer service can be enhanced significantly
by expanding digital services and capabilities. And establishing
a presence on social media and mobile platforms can make
it easier for customers to access products and services.
that are already struggling may not have the financial
capacity to implement digital change on an organizational
scale. When such constraints exist, digital restructuring is likely
to remain an afterthought, with businesses instead focused
on fixing core operations or managing their debt.
“Those
areas require improving first; then digital aspects can be
addressed,” suggests the managing director of a Chinese
private-equity firm.
A trend of growing importance
Looking ahead, the majority of respondents say digital
transformation opportunities will be involved in restructuring,
with 28% saying digital transformation will be a critical factor
and 57% saying it will be at least a key item (figure 20). As the
director of investment at a Japanese investment bank says,
“Digital transformation is critical because businesses will
compete not only for better opportunities but also for retention
of customers. Businesses will need to take an interest in
adapting to ongoing technological changes to develop
a greater scope for their products.”
Unless financing options are not available, investing
in technology usually presents no obstacle.
The true challenge
to digital transformation is in the transformation itself—that
is, rewriting internal rules and business models that may have
governed the workings of the company for years, if not decades.
Even though those strategies may hold the key to increasing
sources of revenue or improving customer relations, companies
21
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Restructuring Asia: Market Forecast and Comparison
For each jurisdiction in the Asia Pacific region, respondents predict varying
degrees of distress, with the number of restructurings expected to increase.
That prediction reflects a recognition that the restructuring and turnaround
market in Asia Pacific—although not yet at the level of that in North America
or Europe—is indeed maturing.
Country forecasts
Government-mandated industry consolidations and plummeting
consumption habits are driving restructurings in Greater China.
Private-equity firms that entered the Chinese market with highgrowth-investment theses are having to consider restructuring
portfolio companies amid the country’s economic slowdown.
As in previous years, restructuring activity is expected
to increase in Japan, with 97% of respondents expecting
an increase, up from 76% in 2014 (figure 21). The opinion stems
largely from the recession in the Japanese economy through
much of 2014, a slowdown that has yet to fully abate.
India is the only market in which the percentage of respondents
expecting an increase in restructuring activity fell from the
previous year. A turnaround in the Indian economy—the result
of monetary policy stimulus and economic reforms by Narendra
Modi’s government—has positioned the country to be one
of the best-performing emerging markets in 2015.
The end of the mining boom and its ripple effect on the overall
Australian economy are casting doubts in that market, a trend that
has seen respondent expectations anticipate an increasing need
for restructuring in the past few years (figure 22). The same was
likewise true in the emerging markets of Southeast Asia, where
the ripple effect from China’s slowdown is being felt across
industries.
In South Korea, currency fluctuations and the
strength of the South Korean won are currently major burdens
as developments that have seen respondents predicting
increasing restructuring activity in that country since 2014.
Industry forecasts
Similar to expectations in 2014, respondents say that rising
stress levels in the financial services and industrial sectors will
lead to further restructurings in the year ahead (figure 23).
Figure 21: What do you expect to happen to the level of restructuring activity within each of the following geographies in the
next 12 months?
37%
Japan
40%
ANZ
11%
India
Increase significantly
13%
44%
64%
13%
22%
27%
Increase slightly
7%
40%
41%
Greater China
3%
53%
47%
South Korea
Southeast Asia
60%
47%
Remain the same
22
27%
Decrease slightly
3%
3%
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Figure 22: Expected increases in restructuring activity across Asia Pacific
100%
100%
87%
75%
74%
60%
87%
85%
84%
74%
97%
93%
76%
73%
67%
54%
36%
29%
India
2013
Southeast Asia
2014
Greater China
South Korea
Australia and New Zealand
Japan
2015
Nonperforming loans continue to burden the region’s
banks, and lower oil prices and sinking demand in the
West have become challenges for industrial manufacturers.
The automotive sector is also anticipated to experience large
restructuring volumes as new competitors to the market
force their rivals to cut back production or change
operational strategies.
Figure 23: Which industries will see the most restructuring
activity across Asia Pacific in the year ahead?
59%
Financial services
58%
Industrial
Restructuring environment comparison
Automotive
Slowly but steadily, an openness toward corporate restructuring
is taking hold among Asia Pacific business leaders. The potential
impact such reorganization can have on a company is being
recognized, but the market’s overall maturity has yet to reach
a level on par with that in North America and Europe.
50%
Real estate
35%
Airlines
35%
32%
TMT
Although regulatory and political developments are paving
the way for a smoother restructuring process, 57% of
respondents say the region is still either slightly or significantly
less mature than markets in the West (figure 24). Respondents
point to lack of sophistication and lack of understanding of the
restructuring process.
31%
Retail
Shipping
Mining
For the most part, the region’s corporates lack “practical
exposure to the restructuring process, not to mention the
challenges inherent in a corporate turnaround,” suggests
the director of corporate development at a corporate and
commercial bank in Greater China. Continuing that thought,
a partner at a law firm in Greater China says, “Conducting
restructuring is more difficult in Asia Pacific because those
in management usually lack adequate knowledge and expertise
to run the process themselves.
As such, they rely mostly
on external agencies for support.”
29%
29%
25%
Hospitality
23%
Chemicals
Renewable energy
Pharmaceutical
23
18%
15%
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Another common thread among respondents is a lack
of financing in Asia Pacific compared with Western corporate
peers. However, participation by private-equity firms and
other investors has been increasing in Asia. According
to a partner at a law firm in Greater China, “These financiers
provide capital, expertise, and convenient terms at a time
when banks are reluctant to lend.”
Figure 26: Which of the following will pose the greatest
challenge to corporate restructuring over the next 12 months?
17%
Figure 24: How would you describe the restructuring
environment in Asia Pacific compared to North America
and EMEA?
Signiï¬cantly less mature
23%
18%
7%
22%
Slightly less mature
50%
20%
The same
22%
Creating accurate
financial forecast
Negotiating with creditors
(lenders other than banks)
Maintaining relationships
with lenders, suppliers
and customers
Slightly more mature
Signiï¬cantly more mature
17%
Complying with unique
and geography- specific laws
& regulations
Refinancing debt with banks
3%
For those reasons, a high number of respondents (47%) say
that executing a corporate restructuring in Asia is more difficult
than doing so in North America and Europe (figure 25).
Figure 25: How does executing restructuring in Asia Pacific
compare to similar activity in North America and EMEA?
Signiï¬cantly less difficult
The level of uncertainty in the market has made the
creation of accurate financial forecasts the top challenge
to restructuring activity in the year ahead (figure 26). Indeed,
the economic situations brewing in North America and Europe
(25% say those situations will have a significant impact on Asia
Pacific) and the slowdown in China (39% say it will have
a significant impact on the region) have contributed to that
sentiment.
Likewise, negotiating with creditors is expected
to prove challenging.
1%
27%
Less difficult
About the same
25%
More difficult
Signiï¬cantly more difficult
Challenges in 2015
44%
3%
24
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Conclusion
There is clearly no single right solution for restructuring or for trying
to emerge from distress. However, the options respondents name in our survey
paint an interesting picture of attitudes in Asia Pacific toward finding solutions
to alleviate financial and operational ailments.
In general, the responses suggest a growing sophistication
about the restructuring process, as exemplified by respondents’
choice of acquisition—a complex time- and resource-intensive
process—as the most popular route for restructuring. By way
of contrast, in previous years, respondent sentiment tilted toward
less-complicated procedures such as working-capital reductions
and the sale of an underperforming business.
}} Know
Equally, the acknowledgment of digital and its incorporation
into the restructuring process to transform a business
demonstrates an understanding of the full range of tools now
on offer to corporates undergoing reorganization. As respondents
noted, digitally transforming the business in tandem with one
of the four main strategies can hold the key to unlocking the
door to the next level in a company’s growth and development.
As the Asian restructuring market continues to mature, a rising
volume of activity is highly likely.
Even though our survey shows
that progress is being made in understanding the full range
of restructuring strategies and the role of turnaround
professionals, the Asia Pacific region still has considerable
scope for further development. AlixPartners looks forward
to following that progress and contributing to the advancement
of understanding of the role that restructuring can play
in building successful businesses.
when to call for help.
The complexity of a restructuring can leave even the
most-experienced and most-resilient corporate leaders
at a loss. Knowing when to bring in external support and
advice is vital to managing losses at a declining company
and ensuring the turnaround achieves the desired results
before further distress erodes corporate value.
Perhaps most important is a growing recognition of the
importance of timing for a successful corporate reorganization.
Although most companies are waiting until signs of distress are
apparent, there are signs that that approach is changing, with
market participants readily admitting that delay is very likely
to have a detrimental effect on the likelihood of success.
Our survey reveals several major findings corporate leaders
must consider.
}} Restructure
in good time.
Waiting until stress becomes apparent or worsens may not
leave sufficient time to prepare and execute an effective
turnaround strategy.
Instead, consider a proactive approach
that takes current market conditions and rivals’ activities
into consideration.
}} Consider which strategy is best for your organization.
The restructuring initiatives presented in our survey
provide a wide range of options, but a company’s business
leaders should develop a thorough internal analysis of the
company’s current strengths and weaknesses to determine
which approach is best. Likewise, to maximize results,
they should consider a cross-strategy attack that combines
elements of M&A, cash management, overhead
optimization, and revenue enhancement.
25
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
Methodology
All dollar symbols ($) refer to US dollars unless otherwise stated.
From November 2014 to January 2015, Remark, publishing
division of Mergermarket, surveyed 150 lawyers, banks, and fund
managers across Asia Pacific who had completed a turnaround
or a restructuring. There were 30 respondents from law firms,
24 from investment banks, 30 from corporate and commercial
banks, 39 from private-equity funds, 15 from hedge funds, 6 from
sovereign wealth funds, and 6 from government bodies and others.
Greater China in all references consists of mainland China, Taiwan,
Hong Kong, and Macao.
All data quoted is proprietary Mergermarket or AlixPartners data
unless otherwise stated.
Within the survey results and graphs, when figures add up to more
than 100%, respondents were allowed to choose more than one
answer. And when percents sum to more or less than 100, it is
because of rounding.
Respondent professional practice
Respondent base in Asia
10%
20%
26%
26%
10%
10%
10%
20%
20%
20%
24%
4%
Law firm
Hedge fund
Investment bank
Greater China
Japan
Southeast Asia
Sovereign wealth fund
Corporate and commercial bank
Private equity
26
Australia and New Zealand
India
South Korea
. OUTLOOK | Opportunity Knocks: Success in Restructuring
About Mergermarket
About Remark
Mergermarket is an unparalleled, independent mergers and
acquisitions (M&A) proprietary intelligence tool. Unlike any
other service of its kind, Mergermarket provides a complete
overview of the M&A market by offering both a forward-looking
intelligence database and a historical deals database, achieving
real revenues for Mergermarket clients.
Remark, the events and publications arm of the Mergermarket
Group, offers a range of publishing, research and events services
that enable clients to enhance their own profile, and to develop
new business opportunities with their target audience.
For more information please contact:
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Production, Remark Asia
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Brandon Taylor
Editor, Remark Asia
brandon.taylor@mergermarket.com
27
. FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT:
Masahiko Fukasawa
Managing Director, Co-Head of Asia Business Unit
& Co-Japan Representative
mfukasawa@alixpartners.com
+81 3 5533 4850
Mike Murphy
Managing Director & Leader of Asia-Pacific Restructuring
and Financial Advisory Services Practice
mmurphy@alixpartners.com
+852 2236 3500
Steve Maurer
Managing Director
smaurer@alixpartners.com
+86 21 6171 7584
Yung Chung
Managing Director & Korea Representative
ychung@alixpartners.com
+82 2 3782 4541
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