IRRCi Research Report
The Alignment Gap Between
Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
. The analysis, opinions and perspectives herein are the sole responsibility of the authors.
The copyright for this report is held by the IRRC Institute. The material in this report may be
reproduced and distributed without advanced permission, but only if attributed. If reproduced
substantially or entirely, it should include all copyright and trademark notices.
© Copyright 2014, Investor Responsibility Research Center Institute (IRRCi)
For more information, please contact:
Jon Lukomnik, Executive Director
Investor Responsibility Research Center Institute (IRRCi)
40 Wall Street, 28th Floor
New York, New York, 10005,
T: (+1) 646-512-5807
info@irrcinstitute.org
www.irrcinstitute.org
Report authors:
Mark Van Clieaf, Partner
Organizational Capital Partners
3001 North Rocky Point Dr. E, Suite 200
Tampa, Florida, 33607, United States of America
T: (+1) 813-600-5259
mark_vanclieaf@orgcapitalpartners.com
www.orgcapitalpartners.com
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Karel Leeflang, Partner
Organizational Capital Partners
14 Rue du Rhône
1204 Geneva, Switzerland
(+41) 76 512-2980
karel_leeflang@orgcapitalpartners.com
Twitter: @OC_Partners
Page 2
.
Table of Contents
Special acknowledgement ........................................................................................................................................................ 4
Introduction to the report ........................................................................................................................................................ 5
Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................................. 6
An opportunity for institutional investors............................................................................................................................
7
Chapter 1: Return on invested capital, economic performance and Say-on-Pay alignment ................................................... 8
1.1. Relevant finance and value creation principles ............................................................................................................
8
1.2. Understanding enterprise value ................................................................................................................................... 9
1.3.
A lens to review longer-term value creation ............................................................................................................... 10
Chapter 2: Research methodology ......................................................................................................................................... 12
Chapter 3: Analysis of economic performance, return on invested capital and Say-on-Pay voting ......................................
14
3.1 Value Quadrant Four: Value destroying performance and Say-on-Pay Voting ........................................................... 14
3.2 Value Quadrant Two: Value creating performance and Say-on-Pay Voting ............................................................... 17
3.3 Value Quadrant One: Value creation potential and Say-on-Pay Voting ......................................................................
19
3.4 Value Quadrant Three: Hidden value and Say-on-Pay Voting ..................................................................................... 21
3.5. Value quadrant analysis – a summary .......................................................................................................................
24
Chapter 4: Conclusions ........................................................................................................................................................... 25
4.1 ROIC, economic profit and Say-on-Pay voting ............................................................................................................. 25
4.2 The opportunity for longer term investors...................................................................................................................
27
Appendix ................................................................................................................................................................................ 28
Asset Owner and Asset Manager List ..................................................................................................................................... 29
Glossary – Key terms ..............................................................................................................................................................
30
List of tables and figures......................................................................................................................................................... 32
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 3
. Special acknowledgement
This is the second in a series of two reports on performance measurement, value creation, long-term
incentive plan design and pay-for-performance. The first report focused on performance
measurement, value creation, long-term incentive plan design, and pay for performance. This second
report focuses on Say-on-Pay proxy voting.
The research project was made possible by a research grant from the Investor Responsibility
Research Center Institute (IRRCi). IRRCi Executive Director Jon Lukomnik played a critical in defining
the project, offering feedback, and guiding the development of the work products.
The analysis and the related two reports in this series are unique as it is the first time that multiple
databases have been woven together to create integrated insights about:
1.
Economic performance and shareholder value
(Data source: Organizational Capital Partners and Shareholder Value Advisors)
2. Pay-for-performance alignment and long-term incentive plan design
(Data source: Incentive Lab and Shareholders Value Advisors)
3. Proxy voting for Say-on-Pay by institutional shareholders
(Data source: FundVotes).
The insights from this research and series of reports for IRRCi would not have been possible without
the analytical input, insights, collaborative teamwork of Steve O'Byrne, Shareholder Value Advisors;
Jack Zwingli, Incentive Lab; Jackie Cook, FundVotes; Tom Hillman, Credit Suisse HOLT; and members
of the team at Organizational Capital Partners: Mark Van Clieaf, Karel Leeflang, Marg Soden, Roland
Burgman, Kelly Boyden, Lori Mattes, Al Risdorfer.
We thank them all for their collaboration.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 4
. Introduction to the report
Early in 2014 the Investor Responsibility Research Center Institute (IRRCi) asked Organizational
Capital Partners to research the Standard & Poor’s 1500 companies relating to a question it had
developed. This question was:
“What is the relationship and level of alignment between company economic performance,
shareholder return and executive compensation?”
This seemingly simple question masked a highly complex piece of work to be performed. There are
various studies looking at parts of the question, but none that undertake a comparative analysis to
look at the level of alignment between:
1.
Company performance (strategy development, strategy execution, intrinsic value
creation) with a focus on economic profit and return on invested capital
2.
Shareholder return performance
3.
Executive compensation design and pay-for-performance alignment
4.
“Say-on-Pay” voting by institutional investors relative to economic performance
This research has required us to integrate the various databases that do exist in each of these three
separate areas. This resulted in a highly complex data set with no obvious connection points.
We
therefore had to introduce a number of measurement methods and analyses to contrast and
compare, so as to create real insight about the level of alignment.
To focus the analysis, the research has been divided into two reports. The first report focused on
longer-term value creation fundamentals and whether or not economic value creation is aligned with
executive compensation incentive design. The first report also focused on whether the existing
metrics and design of executive compensation plans are fit for purpose as key inputs to value
creation.
This second report focuses on how and to what extent institutional investors and proxy advisory firms
consider economic value creation in their analysis of executive compensation and pay-forperformance alignment testing for Say-on-Pay proxy voting.
The enclosed analysis in this second report will be of most value to institutional investors (including
chief investment officers, heads of corporate governance, equity analysts and proxy voting advisors)
as an enhanced basis for investment decision-making, performance analysis, and pay-forperformance alignment testing as inputs to Say-on-Pay proxy voting.
It may also be of use to corporate CFOs, investor relations officers, compensation committees and
corporate secretaries.
Increasingly institutional investors provide feedback on company performance
expectations to company management and Boards, and some do so through voting. Consequently,
the Say-on-Pay vote is a source of insight as to how investors are evaluating a company’s strategy,
business model and performance. By understanding Say-on-Pay voting patterns, and investor
motivations and behavior better, companies may be able to better interpret and manage interactions
with institutional investors.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 5
.
Executive Summary
Investors, directors and executive management share common interests when it comes to company
performance, shareholder return and economic value creation.
The first report in this series identified that return on invested capital (ROIC) and economic profit are
enhanced operating performance metrics with a high correlation to sustainable value creation and
shareholder returns. In applying these metrics to the companies of the S&P 1500 a surprising finding
emerges.
Forty-three percent (43%) of companies, over ten years of observations (2003- 2012), had a ROIC less
than their weighted average cost of capital and a cumulative economic loss over five-year rolling
performance periods. Investors, analysts, directors and executive management of these companies
should be concerned about these companies’ business strategy, financial and operating performance
and prospective future returns. As noted in the first report, 75% of the larger companies in the S&P
universe do not disclose balance sheet or capital efficiency metrics to measure executive
management effectiveness in deploying invested capital or alignment to long-term incentive plan
design, and so do not appear to have the tools to measure or manage creating economic profitability.
In the United States, Say-on-Pay is an advisory vote by shareholders on the executive compensation
design of named executive officers, including the CEO.
Institutional investors and proxy voting
advisory services may consider a broad range of factors in their overall Say-on-Pay voting decision.
This might include, for example, compensation policy, change in control provisions, internal pay
equity, use of performance metrics, performance analysis and pay-for-performance alignment. Some
institutional investors may also use the Say-on-Pay vote as a way to communicate their evaluation of
the company’s strategy, business model and performance. This report looks at how more than 100 of
the largest mutual fund families in the United States cast those votes.
In the aggregate, those fund
families control more than $11 trillion in global assets under management. In addition, the data set
included 11 of the largest North American pension funds with close to $2 trillion in assets under
management, as well as the voting recommendations of the two largest proxy advisory companies,
Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) and Glass Lewis. In theory, at least, these should be amongst
the most resourced and sophisticated Say-on-Pay voters and advisors.
Yet, the analysis in this report of Say-on-Pay votes for a S&P 1500 companies discovered no large Sayon-Pay voting differences (FOR vs.
AGAINST) for subsets of companies which created value versus
those that destroyed value over five years. Performance was measured using ROIC minus weighted
average cost of capital (economic profit) and relative TSR. The average Say-on-Pay support was 82%
for 32 low-performing and 84% for 32 high-performing companies across a sample of 128 S&P
companies.
Nor was there much difference in the median vote, at 90% for the low-performing and
96% for the high-performing companies. Neither was there a robust difference amongst the proxy
advisor recommendations. ISS recommended for 84% of the pay plans at the value destroying
companies and at 81% of the value creating companies.
Glass Lewis showed a slightly greater
difference, recommending for at 72% of the value destroying companies and 81% of the value
creating companies.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 6
. Those results suggest that creation of economic value is not currently a major factor in institutional
investor Say-on-Pay voting or in the recommendations of the two largest proxy advisors. This finding
is consistent with the findings of the first report, which suggested that competitive pay, rather than
performance, was the dominant driver of executive compensation, and that TSR, which is a measure
of alignment (co-movement of stock price [plus dividend] and executive compensation) rather than a
measure of value creation, is the most common metric in long term incentive compensation plans.
An opportunity for institutional investors
The use of value-based performance metrics such as ROIC and or economic profit as part of Say-onPay voting analysis would shift the focus of compensation programs from short-term alignment with
stock market movement to longer-term company economic performance.
Furthermore, asking for disclosure of balance sheet or capital efficiency metrics in company
performance reporting and inclusion of these measures in long term incentive plan design would
provide better insight into a company’s value creation ability. Doing so would enable institutional
investors and proxy voting advisors to enhance voting execution aligned to long-term value creation.
A performance and pay-for-performance analytical model that incorporates fundamental finance
precepts (i.e. ROIC greater than weighted average cost of capital) would also create a more direct line
of sight alignment between operating performance and long-term sustainable shareholder returns at
investee companies.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 7
.
Chapter 1: Return on invested capital, economic performance and
Say-on-Pay alignment
1.1. Relevant finance and value creation principles
The first IRRCi report in this series provided a set of principles and a framework for longer-term
performance evaluation of a company and value creation for shareholders. As a point of departure,
to create sustainable value requires that, over time, the value of the outputs of a company must
exceed the total value of the inputs. Therefore, to determine financial value creation a number of
principles are important:
ï‚·
The best measure of economic value creation is economic profit, i.e.
net operating profit minus a
capital charge for invested capital. Economic profit, unlike conventional profit, subtracts all input
costs (including capital) from output value to determine true value creation. Economic profit can
also be converted to return on invested capital (ROIC) as a measure of capital productivity and
fundamental value creation from operations for investors;
ï‚·
Economic profit is only positive when the return on invested capital is greater than the weighted
average cost of capital; thus executive management, board and investors need to measure and
monitor both ROIC and cost of capital to enable longer-term value creation for shareholders;
ï‚·
Sound business strategy choices sometimes call for sacrificing current economic profit in order to
increase future economic profit by an even greater amount.
In evaluating business strategy and
management performance, directors have to evaluate whether the required future increase in
economic profit is reasonably likely to occur;
ï‚·
Meaningful financial value creation is ideally measured over the longer term. For the purposes of
this report, we define this to mean a period of at least five years;
ï‚·
The market enterprise value of a public company has two components: the current value of
capital and economic profit and future value, i.e., the value of expected economic profit
improvement;
ï‚·
Understanding the current and future value components of total shareholder return can help
executive management and directors understand the requirements of, and threats to,
sustainable value creation, and thereby, do a better job evaluating business strategy and
performance.
Mathematically, the key formulas are:
ï‚·
Economic profit = Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) minus Capital Charge
ï‚·
Net Operating Profit After Tax = EBIT minus Cash Taxes Paid
ï‚·
Capital charge = Invested Capital times Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
ï‚·
Current value = Invested Capital plus the Present Value of Current Economic Profit
ï‚·
Future value = Market Enterprise Value minus Current Value = the Present Value of Future
Economic Profit Improvement
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 8
. These financial formulas jointly provide the building blocks to compare operating performance
between companies and to determine whether economic value is created and if this value creation is
sustainable.
For a full discussion of economic value creation and the implications of it, please see the first IRRCi
report, available at www.irrcinstitute.org.
Economic value creation analysis provides insight into real company performance over longer time
periods, and allows us to determine its alignment with both shareholder value creation (through
share price development), total compensation and long term incentive plan design for the most
senior executives. This, then, provides a further framework against which to test to what extent
Say-on-Pay proxy voting results are in alignment with foundational business strategy, finance and
longer-term value creation practices. Note that these fundamentals of value creation are
independent of traditional metrics of alignment with short-term stock price movement.
Most companies use capital market and operating measures of performance for both performance
measurement and compensation incentive plan design purposes. The most common measures of
market performance are total shareholder return (TSR) and relative TSR.
Other common measures of
operating performance are earnings and earnings per share (EPS) growth.
TSR is significantly affected by market and industry factors, and hence, is not a great measure of
management performance or business strategy success. While relative TSR provides a better
measure of management performance and business strategy success in that some exogenous factors
should affect peers as well as the specific company, it does not provide much insight about the
requirements for, and threats to, sustainable value creation.
In addition, relative TSR, as conventionally calculated, also assumes re-investment of all dividends,
and hence, doesn’t properly capture those situations where value is created by decreasing the level
of invested capital in the business. Earnings and EPS do not take into account the level of invested
capital, cost of capital or future value built into enterprise valuation.
So, for example, a company
could boost higher earnings and higher earnings per share following a value-destroying acquisition,
if that acquisition were paid for with debt that did not come due during the measurement period.
Yet TSR is the dominant performance metric for corporate LTIPs and well may be the dominant or
sole performance metric used by institutional investors and proxy advisory services in analyzing
Say-on-Pay voting and pay-for-performance alignment analysis.
1.2. Understanding enterprise value
The premise that enterprise value is a discounted cash flow valuation has important implications for
effective Say-on-Pay voting:
ï‚·
Enterprise value can be expressed as the sum of invested capital and the present value of future
economic profit. Economic profit is profit after a charge for all capital including equity capital.
ï‚·
Enterprise value is the sum of current value and future value.
Current value is the sum of
invested capital and the present value of current economic profit. For this report, we assume
that the present value of current economic profit is its perpetuity value, i.e., current economic
profit divided by weighted average cost of capital. Future value is the difference between market
enterprise value and current value.
It is also equal to the present value of expected future
economic profit improvement. Future value as a percentage of enterprise value for a ten-year
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 9
. period (2003 – 2012) for the S&P 1500 is 33% of EV at the median and 65% of EV at the 80th
percentile for the S&P 1500.
ï‚·
Investors can achieve a positive return on market value even when economic profit declines.
This doesn’t mean that positive economic profit and or return on invested capital is unimportant;
it just means that it is possible – and sometimes desirable – to sacrifice current economic profit
and return on capital for expectations of even greater economic profit improvement and return
on capital in the future.
ï‚·
A sustainable and viable business model must eventually provide consistent positive economic
profit and a Return on Invested Capital great than its cost of capital. Without a reasonable
expectation of positive economic profit, and a positive ROIC greater than WACC then no amount
of sales or earnings growth will create sustainable longer-term shareholder value.
In general, when a business model has a consistently negative performance spread (ROIC minus
WACC) over five years or longer, it signals that there is a potential business strategy, economic model
and/or strategic leadership problem. Conversely, a longer-term positive performance spread
indicates to a board and executive management team that it is providing effective stewardship of
invested capital which in return is driving the creation of sustainable value.
Value creation principles dictate that investors, directors and executive management should be very
concerned about a firm’s business strategy, financial and operating performance and prospective
return when that firm has a five-year cumulative economic loss which also means a net negative ROIC
(ROIC minus WACC) and/or a five-year economic profit decline over the performance period.
Future value is a significant contributor to enterprise and company valuation, yet is rarely isolated in
performance measurement design and executive compensation plan design. As a consequence it is
unlikely that the drivers of future value are being explicitly managed.
This means a material contributor of the expected value of the firm is about the future strategy,
innovation and growth beyond the next two to three years, but there is no direct alignment to
disclosed value-building metrics or executive incentive plan design for 85% of listed companies.
Consequently, this lack of (disclosed) performance metrics alignment (company valuation,
performance measurement design and long-term incentive design) creates a material risk for boards
and investors.
1.3.
A lens to review longer-term value creation
Investors, directors, and executive management would enable enhanced value creation and
shareholder alignment if they applied business value-based performance measurement fundamentals
in company performance management and planning, as well as in executive reward structures. While
there are numerous ways to interpret the changes in these metrics over time, one interpretation
would suggest that there are four key stages that align to this lifecycle (figure 1). The value quadrant
model is a simple way for analyzing and segmenting company performance based on two
performance metrics for evaluating value creation:
1.
Relative TSR (as a proxy for the change in future value)
2. Economic profit (or performance spread = ROIC minus WACC)
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 10
. Figure 1: Value creation life cycle and value quadrant performance metrics
Sustainability of longer-term value creation is all about the company’s ability to achieve economic
profit growth and positive return on invested capital over time. Overlaying capital returns on the
corresponding life cycle with future value changes and growth in ROIC, results in the following
performance cycle and value quadrants as seen in figure 2.
Figure 2: Value creation life cycle
Directors and executive management can enhance shareholder alignment by questioning the
desirability of continuing to invest in businesses that fail to earn their cost of capital, and develop a
plan to improve returns or exit the business. Directors and investors in creating this alignment would
insist on performance measures that:
ï‚·
Measure capital efficiency and economic value creation over time
ï‚·
Measure changes in future value
ï‚·
Measure value based on actual, not hypothetical, re-investment in the business
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 11
. Chapter 2: Research methodology
We screened the S&P 500 and S&P 400 companies for the 150 largest value creating and 150 largest
value-destroying companies, based on five-year cumulative economic profit (2008-2012) and fiveyear relative TSR (positive versus negative). Figure 3 below outlines the measurement framework
applied in the analysis. This group of high- and low-performance companies were further screened to
best represent companies across multiple industry sectors (using four-digit GICS codes) to identify a
sample 128 companies with 32 companies in each of the four value quadrants outlined.
Figure 3: Value quadrant performance metrics
Value
Quadrant
Performance Metrics
1
Positive Relative TSR and Negative Economic Profit
(ROIC lower than WACC)
2
Positive Relative TSR and Positive Economic Profit
(ROIC exceeds WACC)
3
Negative Relative TSR and Positive Economic Profit
(ROIC exceeds WACC)
4
Negative Relative TSR and Negative Economic Profit
(ROIC lower than WACC)
(This is the same value quadrant framework, and same set of companies, outlined in the first IRRCi
report)
Each of the selected 128 companies was compared to the FundVotes proxy voting database for
institutional investors and their Say-on-Pay proxy voting results. This database includes more than
100 of the largest mutual fund families representing over $11 trillion in global assets under
management.
The data set also included 11 of the larger North American pension funds with close to
$2 trillion in assets under management. A list of these funds is in the appendix. Organizational Capital
Partners also obtained the voting recommendations from ISS and Glass Lewis, the two largest proxy
advisory firms, and added those voting recommendations to the analysis.
Please note that the FundVotes analysis and effective average Say-on-Pay support vote “For” is not
the same as the aggregate total Say-on-Pay vote from all shareholders.
The aggregate vote total
includes votes from multiple types of shareholders, including both those sampled by FundVotes
(mutual funds and large pension funds) and those not included in the FundVotes database (e.g.
individuals, hedge funds, corporate insiders). In some cases there may not be a high correlation
between the FundVotes effective Say-on-Pay outcome and the actual outcome from all shareholders,
for idiosyncratic reasons. For example, in the case of Viacom, that company has multiple share
classes, and only “class A” shares are allowed to vote.
That share class is the less liquid, and most
funds choose to invest in the more liquid non-voting shares. As a result, only two funds in the
FundVotes database invested in the company and executed a Say-on-Pay vote with a combined
average support of 0% as both funds voted “against”.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 12
. In other cases, the institutional shareholders in the FundVotes database may make up a significant
portion of the shareholder base of a specific company. And, as these are amongst the largest
institutional investors, in theory, at least, these should be amongst the most resourced and
sophisticated Say-on-Pay voters.
Overall, this group of larger mutual funds and pension funds provides a relevant sample of how major
institutional investors with fiduciary obligations, analyzed the performance, compensation plans, pay
for performance alignment and voted their proxies for Say-on-Pay.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 13
. Chapter 3: Analysis of economic performance, return on invested capital
and Say-on-Pay voting
A detailed review of the 128 companies (divided into the four quadrants with 32 companies each)
that resulted from the screening process outlined in chapter two results in a surprising finding when
they are analyzed for economic performance, shareholder return, long term incentive plan design
and Say-on-Pay voting results.1 Simply put, there does not seem to be a material correlation between
economic performance and Say-on-Pay voting results.
3.1 Value Quadrant Four: Value destroying performance and Say-on-Pay Voting
The 32 value destroying companies in value quadrant four were all identified as having a negative
return on invested capital over the last five years (2008-2012) when compared to their respective
industry sector cost of capital and were analyzed as generating some of the larger five-year
cumulative economic losses in the S&P 500 and 400. They also had negative relative TSR over five
years. The performance statistics for the 32 sample companies includes:
ï‚·
Median return on invested capital of 5% (below cost of capital);
ï‚·
Cumulative five-year economic loss of over $502 billion;
ï‚·
24 of a sample of 32 companies collectively generated a greater economic loss ($62 billion) in
2012 than in 2008; their economic performance worsened over five years;
ï‚·
Five-year relative total TSR of negative 52%, at the median for the group;
ï‚·
84% of these companies (27 of 32) had no disclosed capital-efficiency or balance-sheet
performance metrics from which to measure, monitor, reward executive management
performance in creating positive economic value and return on invested capital for shareholders;
ï‚·
Average longest accountable performance period for named executive officers was three years.
Despite all those factors, when the Say-on-Pay voting results2 for these 32 value-destroying
companies were analyzed:
ï‚·
Voting support for current disclosed performance, performance metrics, pay-for-performance
and incentive design was an average 82% “FOR” from institutional investors
ï‚·
ISS recommended support at 27 of the 32 (84%) companies.
ï‚·
Glass Lewis recommended support at 23 of the 32 (72%) companies.
ï‚·
3 of 32 (9%) companies received a Say-on-Pay support of less than 50%. The average support at
those three companies was 32.7%
1
The financial data for analysis is provided by subscription data feeds and may be subject to error for some companies.
2
In general, voting results for all companies were the 2012 proxy season.
In any situation where the company did not
hold a say-on-pay vote (some companies have bi-annual or tri-annual cycles), the most recent vote was substituted.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 14
. In summary, this group of 32 value destroying companies, while generating a five-year cumulative
$502 billion estimated economic loss; five-year relative TSR of negative 52% at the median; and
failing in 84% of cases to disclose capital efficiency metrics in their LTIP design, still received an 82%
Say-on-Pay approval “FOR” from institutional investors.
The gap between the level of five-year cumulative economic loss, low return on invested capital,
negative relative TSR of these 32 sample companies and their high Say-on-Pay support suggests that
return on invested capital and or economic profit type capital efficiency performance metrics are not
a material part of the current processes for evaluating enterprise performance, business strategy,
economic viability, pay-for-performance alignment as part of Say-on-Pay voting.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 15
. Figure 4: Value quadrant four – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics
VQ Sums
VQ Performance Statistics LTIP & Say-on-Pay Voting
Company
Total
Five yr.
Capital
Economic Five yr.
Efficiency
Profit Cumulative
Five yr.
/Balance
Growth, Ecn Profit Total Median Total
Total
Sheet
yr. Ending (2008Five yr. ROIC% Five yr. Five yr.
Perf
2012,
2012) Revenue with Relative Absolute Metric in
Ticker $millions $millions Growth% Goodwill TSR% TSR%
LTIP
Instnl
Investors
Say-onPay
Average
of
Percent
Support
ISS
REC
SAYONPAY
HESS CORP
HES
($722)
($276)
19%
7%
-27%
-16%
No
82%
Against
For
MANPOWERGROUP
MAN
($180)
($322)
1%
6%
-23%
10%
No
81%
For
Against
HEWLETT-PACKARD CO
HPQ
($10,234)
($718)
15%
12%
-75%
-60%
No
62%
For
Against
BARNES & NOBLE INC
BKS
($381)
($873)
26%
-2%
-73%
-36%
No
73%
Against
For
AVNET INC
AVT
$108
($879)
64%
8%
-48%
-27%
Yes
100%
For
For
INGRAM MICRO INC
IM
$146
($1,007)
8%
6%
-17%
24%
Yes
81%
For
Against
SEALED AIR CORP
SEE
($997)
($1,094)
64%
8%
-6%
9%
No
95%
For
For
JABIL CIRCUIT INC
JBL
$184
($1,273)
40%
5%
-7%
26%
No
94%
For
For
CARNIVAL CORP/PLC (USA)
CCL
($1,401)
($1,619)
18%
7%
-31%
3%
No
90%
For
For
METLIFE INC
MET
($6,240)
($1,680)
29%
16%
-36%
-29%
No
90%
For
For
NABORS INDUSTRIES LTD
NBR
($649)
($1,904)
42%
3%
-58%
-52%
No
10%
TEXTRON INC
TXT
$305
($2,056)
-7%
6%
-53%
-44%
No
93%
For
For
PENNEY (J C) CO
JCP
($2,093)
($2,705)
-35%
6%
-80%
-57%
No
72%
For
Against
NEWFIELD EXPLORATION CO
NFX
($1,451)
($2,805)
44%
-7%
-63%
-58%
No
91%
For
For
FREEPORT-MCMORAN
FCX
($2,144)
($2,807)
6%
20%
-34%
-23%
Yes
53%
ELECTRONIC ARTS INC
EA
VALERO ENERGY CORP
VLO
E TRADE FINANCIAL CORP
ETFC
XEROX CORP
PFIZER INC
Glass
Lewis
REC
SAYONPAY
Against Against
Against Against
($295)
($3,329)
4%
-3%
-68%
-48%
No
45%
For
($2,372)
($3,568)
46%
6%
-10%
2%
No
98%
For
For
$2,230
($3,872)
-2%
-1%
-75%
-72%
No
82%
For
Against
XRX
($8)
($4,270)
30%
5%
-62%
-36%
No
98%
For
For
PFE
($486)
($6,321)
22%
7%
0%
75%
No
96%
For
For
SEARS HOLDINGS CORP
SHLD
($622)
($6,467)
-21%
3%
-72%
-41%
No
97%
For
For
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON
BK
($2,452)
($6,694)
2%
7%
-33%
-26%
No
95%
For
For
DOW CHEMICAL
DOW
($2,928)
($7,328)
6%
5%
-10%
5%
Yes
95%
For
For
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP
AAL
($753)
($7,719)
9%
-5%
-71%
-54%
No
83%
For
For
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES
AMD
$2,060
($8,250)
-10%
-4%
-62%
-57%
No
73%
For
Against
MORGAN STANLEY
MS
($1,195)
($9,535)
-62%
0%
-48%
-44%
Yes
70%
For
Against
DEVON ENERGY CORP
DVN
($2,090)
($9,800)
-16%
5%
-51%
-43%
No
43%
Against
For
ALCOA INC
AA
($2,225)
($10,441)
-23%
3%
-78%
-74%
No
96%
For
For
BANK OF AMERICA CORP
BAC
($23,785)
($60,970)
-16%
3%
-60%
-65%
No
92%
For
For
CITIGROUP INC
C
$4,562
($97,189)
-38%
4%
-74%
-78%
No
92%
For
For
GENERAL ELECTRIC CO
GE
($9,753)
($97,678)
-15%
4%
-45%
-23%
No
93%
For
For
AMERICAN INTNATL GROUP
AIG
$3,649
($137,246)
-40%
-7%
-95%
-94%
No
96%
For
For
SUM
($62,214)
($502,694)
% For
% For
84%
72%
80th
$139
($1,130)
Median
($738)
($3,449)
20th
($2,343)
($9,278)
% No
84%
30%
7%
-24%
6%
5%
-52%
-38%
-1%
-73%
82%
3%
-16%
Average%
For
-57%
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 16
.
3.2 Value Quadrant Two: Value creating performance and Say-on-Pay Voting
The 32 value creating companies in value quadrant two over the last five years (2008-2012) were all
identified as having a positive return on invested capital when compared to their respective industry
sector cost of capital and generated some of the larger five-year cumulative economic profits in the
S&P 500 and 400. They also created significant above median relative TSR. The performance statistics
on these 32 high performance companies includes:
ï‚·
Median return on invested capital of 16% (well above cost of capital) and 4 times greater than
the median of value quadrant 4 companies;
ï‚·
Cumulative five-year economic profit for these 32 companies of over $605 billion;
ï‚·
Economic profit growth of $88 billion from 2008 to 2012; they were generating $88 billion more
economic profit than five years earlier (almost 15% year-on-year improvement);
ï‚·
Five-year relative total TSR of 24%, at the median;
ï‚·
72% of these companies had no disclosed capital-efficiency or balance sheet performance
metrics from which to measure, monitor, and reward executive management performance in
creating positive economic value for shareholders. This group had 28% of companies using
capital efficiency metrics in LTIP design as compared to only 16% in the value destroyer group in
value quadrant 4:
ï‚·
Average longest accountable performance period for named executive officers is 3 years.
However, when the Say-on-Pay voting results for these 32 high performance companies was
analyzed:
ï‚·
The most recent Say-on-Pay voting support for current disclosed performance, performance
metrics, pay-for-performance and incentive design was an average 84% “FOR” from institutional
investors, not materially different from the 82% for the value destroying companies.
ï‚·
Both ISS and Glass Lewis recommended support at 26 of the 32 (81%) companies (though they
differed on some of the specific companies).
ï‚·
6 of 32 (19%) companies received a Say-on-Pay support of less than 50%, though it is worth
noting that the average vote at those six companies was 42.3%, suggesting that a switch of just a
few funds might have flipped the vote to majority support.
In summary, this group of 32 high-performance and value-creating companies generated a $605
billion estimated five-year cumulative economic profit, a five-year relative TSR of 24% at the median,
along with an increased use of capital efficiency metrics in their LTIP design and received close to the
same level of Say-on-Pay approval from institutional investors versus the 32 larger value destroying
companies in value quadrant four (84% and 82%, respectively).
There is no material difference in Say-on-Pay voting support between the groups of high and low
economic performance companies, despite the significant (positive versus negative) performance
contrast between the companies when measured on return on invested capital, cumulative economic
profit and relative total shareholder return over five years.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 17
.
Figure 5: Value quadrant two – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics
VQ Sums
Company
Ticker
VQ Performance Statistics LTIP & Say-on-Pay Voting
Total
Five yr.
Capital
Economic
Five yr.
Efficiency
Profit
Cumulative
Five yr.
/Balance
Growth, Ecn Profit Total Median Total
Total
Sheet
yr. Ending
(2008Five yr. ROIC% Five yr. Five yr.
Perf
2012,
2012) Revenue with Relative Absolute Metric in
$millions $millions Growth% Goodwill TSR% TSR%
LTIP
Instnl
Investors
Say-onPay
Average
of
Percent
Support
ISS
REC
SAYONPAY
Glass
Lewis
REC
SAYONPAY
EXXON MOBIL CORP
XOM
($207)
$129,551
17%
20%
8%
20%
No
45%
Against
For
APPLE INC
AAPL
$40,744
$103,056
552%
101%
204%
171%
No
47%
Against
For
CHEVRON CORP
CVX
$6,060
$66,714
9%
18%
53%
65%
No
94%
For
For
INTL BUSINESS MACHINES
IBM
$9,405
$53,810
6%
22%
28%
103%
No
94%
For
For
WAL-MART STORES INC
WMT
$5,557
$49,511
24%
15%
23%
50%
Yes
94%
For
For
INTEL CORP
INTC
$8,814
$26,164
39%
21%
11%
22%
No
45%
Against
For
AMERICAN EXPRESS CO
AXP
$1,291
$18,989
7%
41%
61%
70%
Yes
78%
For
Against
MCDONALD'S CORP
MCD
$2,511
$17,138
21%
21%
54%
109%
No
96%
For
For
ABBOTT LABORATORIES
ABT
$2,641
$17,079
54%
14%
6%
52%
Yes
79%
For
Against
WELLS FARGO & CO
WFC
$2,666
$16,423
70%
14%
109%
44%
Yes
97%
For
For
QUALCOMM INC
QCOM
$1,639
$12,752
116%
20%
34%
70%
No
89%
For
For
ALTRIA GROUP INC
MO
($756)
$10,141
-54%
15%
23%
112%
No
97%
For
For
COLGATE-PALMOLIVE CO
CL
CATERPILLAR INC
CAT
WELLPOINT INC
UNION PACIFIC CORP
$318
$9,718
24%
29%
22%
72%
No
94%
For
For
$1,061
$8,459
47%
10%
6%
27%
Yes
95%
For
For
WLP
$455
$7,897
1%
17%
8%
56%
No
98%
For
For
UNP
$2,282
$6,886
29%
10%
75%
150%
Yes
95%
For
For
EBAY INC
EBAY
$1,067
$6,488
83%
18%
11%
82%
Yes
38%
DU PONT (E I) DE NEMOURS
DD
$709
$4,999
15%
9%
14%
30%
No
95%
DISCOVER FINANCIAL SVCS INC DFS
Against Against
For
For
For
For
$1,969
$4,445
40%
22%
170%
170%
No
95%
MCKESSON CORP
MCK
$236
$4,385
20%
15%
40%
115%
Yes
43%
DEERE & CO
DE
$418
$4,384
51%
10%
4%
20%
Yes
93%
For
For
GAP INC
GPS
$646
$3,954
-1%
28%
8%
126%
No
96%
For
For
CVS CAREMARK CORP
CVS
($199)
$3,818
61%
8%
7%
44%
Yes
98%
For
For
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS
ITW
($286)
$3,377
11%
13%
21%
46%
Yes
98%
For
For
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION
ROK
$720
$3,229
25%
31%
36%
39%
No
95%
For
For
MOODY'S CORP
MCO
$8
$3,088
21%
-82%
53%
66%
No
98%
For
For
PNC FINANCIAL SVCS GROUP
PNC
($685)
$2,226
65%
12%
48%
14%
Yes
79%
For
Against
INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC
ISRG
$401
$2,082
263%
40%
5%
51%
No
94%
For
For
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC SPG
$607
$2,042
36%
18%
39%
106%
No
36%
ALLERGAN INC
AGN
$756
$860
47%
8%
15%
101%
No
90%
For
For
MARATHON OIL CORP
MRO
($2,531)
$828
-74%
6%
24%
41%
No
95%
For
For
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL
RJF
$33
$175
26%
12%
60%
29%
No
95%
For
For
SUM
$88,350
$604,666
80th
$2,615
$18,619
60%
22%
54%
109%
Median
$715
$6,687
25%
16%
24%
60%
20th
$13
$3,116
9%
10%
8%
32%
% No
72%
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Against Against
Against Against
Average% % For
84%
81%
% For
81%
Page 18
.
3.3 Value Quadrant One: Value creation potential and Say-on-Pay Voting
The 32 sample companies in value quadrant one illustrate companies with an expectation for growth
(positive relative TSR) but with business models that are not currently creating positive economic
value. The performance statistics on these 32 companies are:
ï‚·
Median five-year return on invested capital of 4% (below cost of capital);
ï‚·
Cumulative five-year economic loss for these 32 companies of over $147 billion;
ï‚·
Cumulative economic profit growth of $3 billion from 2008 to 2012 showing signs of positive
value creation trending; the challenge is 12 of 32 companies are generating a greater economic
loss in 2012 than in 2008 even though they had a positive increase in relative and absolute TSR.
For those 12 companies, stock price is up but the underlying economics are still value destroying
and getting worse after five years;
ï‚·
Five year total relative TSR of 31%, at the median for the group;
ï‚·
Incentive Lab database identified that 72% of these companies had no disclosed capital-efficiency
or balance-sheet performance metrics from which to measure, monitor, and reward executive
management performance in creating positive economic value for shareholders;
ï‚·
Average Longest Accountable performance period for named officers is 3 years.
When the Say-on-Pay voting results for these 32 turnaround companies was analyzed:
ï‚·
The most recent Say-on-Pay voting support for current disclosed performance, performance
metrics, pay-for-performance and incentive design was an average 87% “FOR” from institutional
investors;
ï‚·
ISS recommended support at 29 of the 32 (91%) companies;
ï‚·
Glass Lewis recommended support at 24 of the 32 (75%) companies;
ï‚·
3 of 32 companies (10%) received a Say-on-Pay support of less than 50%. The average support at
those three companies was 33%.
In summary, this group of 32 turnaround companies with a $147 billion estimated cumulative
economic loss over five years, five-year positive relative TSR of 31% at the median, and 72% with
no capital-efficiency metrics received a slightly higher Say-on-Pay support than the value-creating
companies in value quadrant two (87% vs. 84%).
Yet, 38% of these companies are destroying more
value (economic loss) in 2012 than in 2008, which suggests their turn-around strategies are not yet
working even though TSR is positive over the same performance period. Companies where economic
profit growth is positive as compared to companies whose economic profit growth is negative, and
getting worse, would not appear to be effectively differentiated in the current pay-for-performance
alignment testing as part of Say-on-Pay proxy voting.
These companies are, however, above median in relative TSR. The high level of Say-on-Pay support
may have been impacted by a dominant use of TSR or relative TSR as key performance metrics used
by institutional investors in their Say-on-Pay voting analysis processes.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 19
.
Figure 6: Value quadrant one – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics
VQ Sums
VQ Perfm Statistics
Company
Total
Five yr.
Economic Five yr.
Profit
Cumulative
Five yr.
Growth, Ecn Profit Total Median Total
Total
yr. Ending (2008Five yr. ROIC% Five yr. Five yr.
2012,
2012) Revenue with Relative Absolute
Ticker $millions $millions Growth% Goodwill TSR% TSR%
ITT CORP
ITT
SLM CORP
SLM
TECH DATA CORP
LTIP & Say-on-Pay Voting
Capital
Efficiency
/Balance
Sheet
Perf
Metric in
LTIP
Instnl
Investors
Say-onPay
Average
of
Percent
Support
ISS
REC
SAYONPAY
Glass
Lewis
REC
SAYONPAY
$27
($116)
-75%
10%
13%
36%
No
100%
For
For
$2,234
($137)
-37%
7%
31%
42%
No
97%
For
For
TECD
$214
($215)
8%
8%
3%
39%
No
95%
For
For
LEGGETT & PLATT INC
LEG
$255
($356)
-14%
7%
55%
186%
No
97%
For
For
GATX CORP
GMT
($76)
($499)
-1%
5%
31%
58%
Yes
100%
For
For
KEMPER CORP/DE
KMPR
($17)
($707)
-15%
5%
11%
17%
Yes
93%
For
For
FAIRCHILD SEMICONDUCTOR INTL FCS
$20
($713)
-16%
0%
4%
19%
No
100%
For
For
OMNICARE INC
OCR
$27
($919)
-1%
4%
60%
131%
No
72%
For
Against
VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC
VRTX
For
Against
$485
($934)
667%
-38%
31%
130%
No
72%
CYPRESS SEMICONDUCTOR CORP CY
$177
($958)
-52%
0%
76%
101%
No
41%
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP
CINF
($18)
($975)
-3%
7%
54%
62%
No
97%
For
For
NISOURCE INC
NI
$336
($1,128)
-37%
4%
65%
123%
No
99%
For
For
INTL PAPER CO
IP
$425
($1,181)
27%
7%
79%
104%
Yes
99%
For
For
UNITED RENTALS INC
URI
$113
($1,182)
10%
1%
143%
192%
No
99%
For
For
SANDISK CORP
SNDK
($71)
($1,285)
30%
10%
64%
144%
No
96%
For
For
CONSTELLATION BRANDS -CL A
STZ
$266
($1,428)
-26%
4%
40%
149%
No
91%
For
For
TENET HEALTHCARE CORP
THC
$1,442
($1,823)
3%
4%
45%
110%
Yes
100%
For
For
CHEMTURA CORP
CHMT
$135
($2,585)
-30%
-8%
158%
198%
No
100%
For
For
MASCO CORP
MAS
($393)
($3,041)
-34%
-1%
1%
22%
Yes
95%
For
For
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
JPM
$878
($3,812)
-8%
11%
79%
23%
No
88%
For
For
MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC
MDLZ
($2,175)
($4,119)
-6%
6%
6%
84%
No
75%
For
Against
HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES
HBAN
($428)
($4,325)
-12%
-1%
0%
-22%
Yes
96%
For
For
$441
($4,441)
16%
1%
8%
25%
No
97%
For
For
For
RESOLUTE FOREST PRODUCTS INC RFP
Against Against
ALLSTATE CORP
ALL
($1,145)
($5,586)
-10%
6%
13%
19%
Yes
98%
For
CIT GROUP INC
CIT
$1,446
($6,011)
-49%
1%
400%
289%
No
97%
For
For
ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP
APC
($1,631)
($6,027)
18%
6%
26%
43%
No
84%
For
Against
COMCAST CORP
CMCSA
$4,888
($6,063)
103%
6%
15%
137%
No
73%
For
Against
XL GROUP PLC
XL
($82)
($6,361)
-19%
-3%
17%
23%
Yes
96%
For
For
COCA-COLA ENTERPRISES INC
CCE
($179)
($9,004)
-61%
-4%
36%
137%
No
92%
For
For
MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS INC
MSI
$293
($16,728)
-76%
-5%
19%
77%
No
45%
Against
For
CBS CORP
CBS
$5,576
($23,503)
0%
-4%
16%
141%
No
13%
Against Against
COP
($10,281)
($31,765)
-66%
3%
12%
26%
$3,185
($147,926)
CONOCOPHILLIPS
SUM
Yes
% No
72%
th
80
$477
($754)
10%
7%
65%
Median
$124
($1,625)
20th
($159)
($6,024)
4%
31%
-1%
11%
87%
Against
% For
91%
81%
-37%
For
140%
-11%
78%
Average% % For
23%
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 20
75%
.
3.4 Value Quadrant Three: Hidden value and Say-on-Pay Voting
The 32 sample companies in value quadrant three illustrate mature growth companies where the
expectation for growth is lower (negative relative TSR) but where the business model generates
significant current value (five-year cumulative positive economic profit and ROIC > WACC). The
performance statistics on these 32 mature companies suggest there is hidden value in these
companies:
ï‚·
Median five-year return on invested capital of 15% (well above cost of capital);
ï‚·
Cumulative five-year economic profit for these 32 companies of over $281 billion;
ï‚·
Cumulative economic profit growth of only $777 million from 2008 to 2012 showing the signs of
mature growth; the challenge is 19 of 32 are generating a smaller economic profit in 2012 than in
2008 although still positive. On the flip side, 13 of 32 companies generated more economic
profit in 2012 than in 2008. Relative TSR is negative over five years for each company.
Nevertheless, the underlying business economics are value creating.
This clearly demonstrates
that TSR and relative TSR are incomplete measures of longer-term performance and value
creation;
ï‚·
Five-year total relative TSR of negative 19%, at the median, which reflects the slowing growth
and value creation relative to their industry peers;
ï‚·
66% of these companies had no disclosed capital-efficiency or balance-sheet performance
metrics from which to measure, monitor, and reward executive management performance in
creating positive economic value for shareholders. The good news is as a mature group of
companies, 44% do use some type of balance sheet performance metric in incentive design. This
is the highest of the four value quadrants reflecting the maturity and sophistication of these
companies;
ï‚·
Average Longest Accountable performance period for named executive officers is 3 years.
When the Say-on-Pay voting results for these 32 mature companies was analyzed:
ï‚·
The most recent Say-on-Pay voting support for current disclosed performance, performance
metrics, pay-for-performance and incentive design was an average 77% “FOR” from institutional
investors;
ï‚·
ISS recommended support at 26 of the 32 (81%) companies;
ï‚·
Glass Lewis recommended support at 21 of the 32 (66%) companies;
ï‚·
6 of 32 (19%) companies received a Say-on-Pay support of less than 50%.
The average vote at
those six companies was 25.2%. However, that includes a zero level of support amongst the
represented funds on the Viacom Say-on-Pay vote. Viacom features multiple classes of stock,
and only “class A” shares are eligible to vote.
In general, “class B” shares are more liquid and held
by more institutions. Only two funds held “class A” shares, which partially explains the zero vote.
The average level of support at the five other companies which received less than 50% (excluding
Viacom) was 30.2%.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 21
. In summary, this group of 32 mature companies with $281 billion in estimated cumulative economic
profit over five years, five-year relative TSR of negative 19% at the median, and 44% with disclosed
capital efficiency performance metrics had Say-on-Pay approval from institutional shareholders
slightly lower than the high performance group of companies in value quadrant two (77% vs. 84%).
59% of these companies are generating a smaller positive economic profit in 2012 than in 2008,
which suggests many are challenged to innovate and grow as mature companies. This economic
profit deceleration may have contributed to the five-year negative relative TSR and thus slightly
lower Say-on-Pay approval compared to value quadrant two.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 22
. Figure 7: Value quadrant three – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics
VQ Sums
VQ Performance Statistics
LTIP & Say-on-Pay Voting
Company
Total
Five yr.
Economic Five yr.
Capital
Profit
Cumulative
Five yr.
Efficiency
Growth, Ecn Profit Total Median Total
Total
/Balance
yr. Ending
(2008Five yr. ROIC% Five yr. Five yr.
Sheet
2012,
2012) Revenue with Relative Absolute Perf Metric
Ticker $millions $millions Growth% Goodwill TSR% TSR%
in LTIP
MICROSOFT CORP
MSFT
$7,793
$82,975
44%
46%
-21%
13%
No
95%
For
For
COCA-COLA CO
KO
$3,577
$31,776
66%
21%
-15%
54%
Yes
44%
Against
For
PEPSICO INC
PEP
($1,018)
$23,463
66%
24%
-31%
27%
No
95%
For
For
PROCTER & GAMBLE CO
PG
($2,103)
$20,605
9%
10%
-24%
14%
No
94%
For
For
SCHLUMBERGER LTD
SLB
($924)
$13,653
81%
16%
-20%
-8%
No
93%
For
For
LILLY (ELI) & CO
LLY
($2,339)
$10,777
21%
11%
-20%
42%
No
97%
For
For
AT&T INC
T
$3,118
$10,268
7%
8%
-12%
28%
Yes
95%
For
For
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
LMT
($51)
$10,209
13%
15%
-3%
17%
Yes
80%
For
Against
RAYTHEON CO
RTN
$1,409
$7,906
15%
17%
-13%
5%
Yes
99%
For
For
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP
INC
GS
($5,458)
$7,672
-53%
13%
-14%
-8%
Yes
76%
For
Against
HALLIBURTON CO
HAL
$728
$7,402
87%
18%
-4%
9%
Yes
91%
For
For
DISNEY (WALT) CO
DIS
$2,199
$7,366
19%
10%
-4%
65%
No
30%
Against
Against
MEDTRONIC INC
MDT
($402)
$6,728
23%
11%
-27%
18%
Yes
80%
For
For
AFLAC INC
AFL
$975
$5,014
65%
21%
-13%
-8%
No
99%
For
For
SCHWAB (CHARLES) CORP
SCHW
$219
$4,513
-11%
25%
-7%
1%
Yes
84%
For
Against
OMNICOM GROUP
OMC
KELLOGG CO
K
COACH INC
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE
INC
Instnl
Investors
Say-onPay
Average of
Percent
Support
ISS
REC
Glass
SAYLewis
ON- REC SAYPAY ON-PAY
$162
$3,822
12%
20%
-30%
48%
No
95%
For
For
($181)
$3,800
21%
16%
-19%
43%
No
94%
For
For
COH
$375
$3,748
82%
73%
-6%
24%
No
79%
For
For
UPS
($4,111)
$3,598
9%
12%
-16%
37%
Yes
86%
For
For
($1,209)
$3,480
102%
12%
-43%
-9%
No
93%
For
For
$1,175
$3,235
3%
11%
-24%
41%
No
0%
Against
For
$260
$3,176
27%
19%
-13%
34%
No
97%
For
For
Against
ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND ADM
VIACOM INC
VIAB
AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES
INC
A
ADOBE SYSTEMS INC
ADBE
($162)
$2,106
39%
14%
-29%
17%
No
76%
For
DUN & BRADSTREET CORP
DNB
($64)
$1,575
4%
48%
-21%
13%
No
97%
For
For
AVON PRODUCTS
AVP
($621)
$1,381
8%
17%
-58%
-38%
No
23%
Against
Against
UDR INC
UDR
$78
$406
44%
20%
-12%
33%
No
97%
For
For
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
NTRS
($321)
$401
-22%
10%
-16%
-8%
Yes
76%
For
Against
SPX CORP
SPW
($527)
$385
6%
12%
-32%
-18%
No
79%
For
Against
NUCOR CORP
NUE
($1,364)
$215
17%
7%
-30%
-19%
Yes
77%
For
Against
SL GREEN REALTY CORP
SLG
($150)
$108
34%
8%
-22%
18%
No
36%
Against
Against
($23)
$103
19%
12%
-5%
45%
No
93%
For
For
($262)
$92
20%
8%
-65%
-27%
No
18%
Against
Against
$777
$281,960
% For
% For
81%
66%
CORRECTIONS CORP AMER CXW
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH
ANF
SUM
% No
66%
80th
$925
$10,256
61%
21%
-12%
($107)
$3,811
20%
15%
-19%
17%
20th
($999)
$601
7%
10%
-30%
77%
40%
Median
Average%
-8%
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 23
.
3.5. Value quadrant analysis – a summary
Figure 8: Value quadrant summary 32 companies – performance, LTIP design, Say-on-Pay voting
Five Year
Capital
Institutional
Economic
Five yr.
Five yr.
Efficiency /
Investors
ISS
Profit
Cumulative Median
Balance
Say-on-Pay REC
Growth
Ecn Profit ROIC% Five yr. Five yr.
Sheet
Average of SAYending (2008- 2012)
with
Relative Absolute Performance
Percent
ON2012
$millions Goodwill TSR
TSR
Metric in LTIP Support
PAY
Glass
Lewis
REC
SAYONPAY
Value Quadrant 1 – 32 companies
SUM
$3,185
($147,926)
% For
91%
75%
Average%
% For
% For
72%
84%
81%
81%
% No
Average%
% For
% For
66%
77%
81%
66%
% No
Average%
% For
% For
84%
31%
% For
87%
% No
4%
Average%
72%
Median
% No
82%
84%
72%
81%
Value Quadrant 2 – 32 companies
SUM
$88,350
$604,666
Median
16%
24%
60%
Value Quadrant 3 – 32 companies
SUM
$777
$281,960
Median
15%
-19%
17%
Value Quadrant 4 – 32 companies
SUM
Median
($62,214)
($502,694)
5%
-52%
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
-38%
Page 24
. Chapter 4: Conclusions
4.1 ROIC, economic profit and Say-on-Pay voting
Economic value creation fundamentals such as ROIC and/or economic profit for performance
measurement either are not used in current processes for Say-on-Pay advisory voting by institutional
shareholders and in the analysis by the major proxy voting agencies, or they are outweighed by other
considerations, such as TSR alignment. If economic value creation factors were primary
considerations, there would be greater differentiation in Say-on-Pay voting results, based on
economic profit performance and return on invested capital.
Do fundamental business strategy and finance using return on invested capital and economic profit as
key performance metrics appear to impact current performance analysis and pay-for-performance
alignment testing and the resulting Say-on-Pay voting results? The simple answer appears to be no.
This conclusion is best illustrated when comparing companies in value quadrant four as compared to
value quadrant two:
ï‚·
Value quadrant four includes 32 value-destroying companies:
ï€ Five year median ROIC of 4% (below cost of capital);
ï€ Generated a cumulative five year economic loss of $502 billion;
ï€ Five year relative total TSR of negative 52%, at the median;
ï€ Received an average 82% Say-on-Pay approval from institutional investors;
Received five negative recommendations from ISS and nine negative
recommendations from Glass Lewis;
ï€ 3 of 32 companies (13%) received a Say on Pay support of less than 50%, with those
companies receiving an average “for” vote of 32.7%.
ï‚·
Value quadrant two include 32 value-creating companies:
ï€ Five year median ROIC of 16% (well above the cost of capital);
ï€ Generated a cumulative five year economic profit of $604 billion;
ï€ Five year relative total TSR of positive 24%, at the median;
ï€ Received an average 84% Say-on-Pay approval from institutional investors;
ï€ Received six negative recommendations from both ISS and Glass Lewis;
ï€ 6 of 32 companies (19%) received a Say-on-Pay support of less than 50% (though
the average “for” vote at those companies was 42.3%).
While a there is a material negative versus positive performance and value creation difference in
relative TSR and economic profit over five years, between the sample companies in each of these two
value quadrants, both groups received similar Say-on-Pay support in the 82% to 84% average range.3
3
For those value-creating companies in value quadrant two that received less than a 50% Say-on-Pay support, one
possible explanation for the lack of support may not be about overall level of performance but the level of premium
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 25
. Say-on-Pay voting results were similar across all four quadrants ranging from 77% to 87% average
support by quadrant, with an average overall support of 82% (see the summary table, Figure 8).
As was outlined in the first IRRCI report, 48% of the S&P 1500 generated a cumulative economic loss
and thus an average ROIC less than their cost of capital (Figure 9). These companies failed to create
economic value over five years or longer and thus may require strategic governance focus including
enhanced performance measurement and LTIP design for named officers. Yet the 128 companies
illustrated by the sample Say-on-Pay analysis do not appear to be differentiated as value creating
versus value destroying based on their level of consistent institutional investor Say-on-Pay support in
the 77% to 87% range.
Figure 9: S&P 1500 five-year cumulative economic profit versus five-year relative TSR (period: 2008 – 2012)
compensation at some companies relative to their peer group. Premium compensation analysis was beyond the scope of
this report, which focused on economic performance.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 26
.
4.2 The opportunity for longer term investors
The use of ROIC and/or economic profit type performance metrics in Say-on-Pay voting would
enhance the longer-term value creation alignment of the Say-on-Pay process for investors. The first
IRRCi report in this series outlined the higher correlation between positive ROIC, economic profit
growth and shareholder returns as compared to just net income or net income growth. The use of
such metrics as ROIC and or economic profit would allow institutional investors enhanced voting
execution aligned to long-term value creation. It would create an ability to go beyond relying on a
sub-optimal use of TSR and or earnings as dominant metrics for performance analysis and pay-forperformance alignment testing.
Institutional investors and proxy advisory firms could consider incorporating key business strategy,
finance and value creation alignment principles into their Say-on-Pay voting processes by:
ï‚·
Applying value-based performance metrics such as ROIC relative to weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) and or economic profit in their Say-on-Pay processes in evaluating business
strategy and business model viability, performance measurement, value creation and pay-forperformance alignment;
ï‚·
Adding future value improvement metrics (innovation, customer loyalty, employee engagement,
environment) to their Say-on-Pay decision process from which to evaluate longer term pay-forperformance and value creation alignment at investee companies;
ï‚·
Giving credit to companies that extend the longest accountable performance-period for named
executive officers beyond 3 years, ideally to the use of five-year rolling performance period as
being advocated by some institutional investors.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 27
.
Appendix
Data providers and sources
Databases and data analytics have been woven together to create integrated insights about:
1. Economic performance and shareholder value
a. Organizational Capital Partners
i. S&P 1500 with data feed from S&P Compustat and Hoovers and calculations for
economic profit, adjusted ROIC and Future Value
b.
Shareholder Value Advisors
i. S&P 1500 with data feed from S&P Compustat and calculations for economic
profit, adjusted ROIC and Future Value
2. Pay-for-performance alignment and long-term incentive plan design
a.
Incentive Lab – with over 1200 companies across the S&P 500, 400 and 600 and their
incentive design details including pay mix, short-term vs. long term, performance based
vs. time based, performance metrics, performance periods for named officers
b.
Shareholders Value Advisors
i. Perfect Pay-for-performance model and analytics using the complete S&P 1500
and a broad range of economic profit and relative TSR performance metrics and
S&P ExecuComp database
ii. Model and analytics for Pay-for-performance Alignment, Pay Leverage and
Excess Pay relative average peer group performance
3.
Proxy voting for Say-on-Pay by institutional shareholders (mutual funds and pension
funds)
a. FundVotes
i. A database covering mutual fund voting for over 100 mutual fund families
representing over $11 trillion in global assets under management.
The top 30
mutual fund groups include $9.4 trillion in global assets under management
and $3.8 trillion in US domestic equities.
ii. This analysis also covers 11 of the larger North American pension funds with
close to $2 trillion in global assets under management
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 28
. Asset Owner and Asset Manager List
The following is a list of 144 mutual and pension funds in the FundVotes database that were analyzed
for Say-On-Pay voting. Their combined assets under management is over $ 13 trillion dollars.
Asset Manager
Asset Owner
ADVISORS
FMI
OAKMARK
AFSCME
AGF
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON
OCEANROCK/MERITAS
AIMCO
ALGER
GABELLI
OPPENHEIMER
BCIMC
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN
GE
PARNASSUS
CALPERS
ALLIANZ
GMO
PAX
CALSTERS
AMERICAN
GOLDMAN SACHS
PH&N
CPPIB
AMERICAN BEACON
GREEN CENTURY
PIMCO
OMERS
AMERICAN CENTURY
GUIDESTONE
PIONEER
OTPP
AMERITAS
HARBOR
PORTFOLIO 21
SBAFLA
ARIEL
HARTFORD
PRIMECAP ODYSSEY
SWIB
ARTISAN
HSBC
PRINCIPAL
TIAA-CREF
ASTON
IA CLARINGTON
PRUDENTIAL
AXA
ING
PUTNAM
BARON
INHANCE
QUAKER
BERKSHIRE
INTEGRITY
RBC
BLACKROCK
INVESCO
ROYCE
BMO
INVESTORS
RS
BNY MELLON
JANUS
RUSSELL
BOSTON COMMON
JOHN HANCOCK
SCHRODER
BOSTON TRUST & WALDEN FUNDS
JP MORGAN
SCHWAB
BRIDGEWAY
LAZARD
SCOTIABANK
CALAMOS
LEGG MASON
SCOUT
CALVERT
LIBERTY
SEI
CAPSTONE
LONGLEAF
STANDARD LIFE
CI
LORD ABBETT
STATE STREET
CIBC
MACKENZIE
STEWARD
COHEN & STEERS
MAINSTAY
SUNAMERICA
COLUMBIA
MANAGERS
T ROWE
CREDIT SUISSE
MANULIFE
TCW
DAVIS
MASSMUTUAL
TD
DELAWARE
MCLEAN BUDDEN
TEMPLETON
DESJARDINS
MD FUNDS
THORNBURG
DIMENSIONAL
METROPOLITAN
THRIVENT
DODGE & COX
MFS
TRANSAMERICA
DOMINI
MMA PRAXIS
TRILLIUM
DREYFUS
MORGAN STANLEY
UBS
DWS
MUNDER
UNITED
DYNAMIC
NATIONWIDE
USAA
EATON VANCE
NATIXIS
VALIC
F&C
NBIM
VANGUARD
FEDERATED
NEI
VICTORY
FIDELITY
NEUBERGER BERMAN
VIRTUS
FIFTH THIRD
NORTHERN
WADDELL & REED
FIRST EAGLE
NUVEEN
WELLS FARGO
WILLIAM BLAIR
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 29
. Glossary – Key terms
Term
Capital charge
Cash flow return on
investment
(CFROI)
Company wealth
index
Current value
(CV)
Discounted Cash flow
valuation
(DCF)
Earnings per share
(EPS)
Economic profit
(EP)
Enterprise value
(EV)
Enterprise value
divided by NOPAT
multiple
Excess cash
Excess shareholder
returns relative to
weighted average
cost of capital
Future value
(FV)
Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles
(GAAP)
Definition
Capital charge in dollars = beginning invested capital times weighted average cost
of capital.
The cash flow return on investment (CFROI) measures a company's cash return on
invested assets. It is calculated as the internal rate of return assuming the
maintenance of the current gross cash flow for the life of the asset base.
Transaction CFROI includes goodwill from acquisitions (Credit Suisse HOLT)
The company wealth index is a cumulative measure of shareholder wealth per
share calculated from monthly total returns.
The sum of invested capital plus the present value of the current economic profit
level. Economic Profit divided WACC plus Invested Capital
Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation is a method of valuing an asset using the time
value of money. DCF value is the present value of expected future cash flows
discounted at the cost of capital.
It can also be expressed as the sum of book
capital plus the present value of expected economic profit.
Net Income available to common shareholders divided by the weighted average
number of shares outstanding.
Economic profit is a non-GAAP measure of true economic profitability and is a
measure of profit after minimum return for both invested equity and debt capital.
NOPAT minus capital charge equals economic profit.
Market value of equity plus the market value of debt minus excess cash. We
assume that the market value of debt is equal to its book value. Enterprise value is
also made up of two components, which are the current value (CV) and the future
value (FV) of the enterprise.
Enterprise value can also be calculated as = present
value of current economic profit plus current invested capital plus present value of
economic profit improvement.
Enterprise value divided by net operating profit after tax. This valuation multiple
includes the total value of the company (debt plus equity minus excess cash) versus
only the market value of equity in a P/E multiple. This multiple provides a
comparison free of capital structure differences of the operating-cash generating
capacity of the company; some investment banks find this multiple has a higher
correlation with TSR than other valuation multiples; a high enterprise value divided
by NOPAT multiple means a high expectation for future growth
Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments beyond 2% of revenues that are
not required to operate the business.
The dollar difference between actual shareholder wealth and shareholder wealth
assuming a cost of capital return.
The excess return can expressed as the sum of
the future value of capitalized excess economic profit improvement and the dollar
change in future value
Enterprise value minus current value equals future value. If the current economic
profit level is fully sustainable, one can show mathematically that future value is
equal to the present value of future economic profit improvement.
Generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) refer to the standard framework
of guidelines for financial accounting used in any given jurisdiction; generally known
as accounting standards or standard accounting practice. These include the
standards, conventions, and rules that accountants follow in recording and
summarizing and in the preparation of financial statements.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 30
.
Term
Invested capital
Net Equity Profit After
Tax
(NEPAT)
Net Operating Profit
After Tax
(NOPAT)
Non-interest-bearing
current liabilities
Performance-based
equity compensation
Performance spread
Price divided by
earnings multiple
(P/E multiple or ratio)
Relative total
shareholder return
Return on equity
(ROE)
Return on invested
capital
(ROIC)
Time-based equity
compensation
Total shareholder
return
(TSR)
Weighted Average
Cost of Capital
(WACC)
Definition
Total asset (including goodwill) minus non-interest bearing current liabilities minus
capitalized special items (including discontinued operations) minus excess cash plus
capitalized R&D. Positive special items (gains) reduce capital, while negative special
items (losses) increase capital
Earnings before taxes on the income statement (EBT), adjusted for special items
and R&D, minus cash taxes paid from the cash flow statement. Special items
(including discontinued operations) and R&D expense are capitalized and amortized
over a five-year period.
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) on the income statement, adjusted for
special items and R&D, minus cash taxes paid from the cash flow statement and
minus the tax savings from interest expense, calculated at the corporate marginal
rate. Special items (including discontinued operations) and R&D expense are
capitalized and amortized over a five-year period.
Non-interest bearing current liabilities including accounts payable and taxes
payable.
Awards with market and/or performance conditions.
Return on invested capital (ROIC) minus the cost of capital (WACC).
A positive
performance spread is where ROIC exceeds WACC and results in value creation for
shareholders. A negative performance spread is where ROIC is lower than WACC
and results in value destruction for shareholders.
Market value of equity divided by the net income for the period. This is usually
calculated on a yearly or trailing twelve-month time period.
This may be converted
to stock price per share divided by earnings per share; the higher the P/E multiple
is, the higher is the investors expectation of future growth and innovation from the
company relative to current earnings. Conversely, a stock with a low P/E multiple
suggests that investors have more modest expectations for its future growth
compared to the market as a whole.
The company’s shareholder return relative to that of a specific comparator group,
i.e., [(1 + TSR)/(1 + peer group TSR)] – 1. For this report, we use each company’s
GICS industry group (four digit GICS) as its peer group.
Net Income divided by beginning shareholders’ equity.
A non-GAAP measure of capital productivity and balance-sheet efficiency measured
as net operating profit after tax divided by beginning invested capital; a measure of
the competitive advantage of a company in creating value for shareholders.
Awards dependent on a defined time period.
The point-to-point measurement of the percentage gain or loss to shareholders,
i.e., (share price end of period minus share price beginning of period) plus dividends
divided by share price beginning of period.
TSR for periods longer than one month
is calculated by compounding monthly TSR.
A calculation of a firm's cost of capital in which each category of capital is
proportionately weighted. All capital sources (i.e. common stock, preferred stock,
bonds and any other long-term debt) are included in a WACC calculation.
The
median WACC for all S&P 1500 companies for the last 5 and 10 years is 8%.
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 31
. List of tables and figures
Figure 1: Value creation life cycle and value quadrant performance metrics........................................................................ 11
Figure 2: Value creation life cycle........................................................................................................................................... 11
Figure 3: Value quadrant performance metrics ..................................................................................................................... 12
Figure 4: Value quadrant four – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics .................................................
16
Figure 5: Value quadrant two – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics ................................................. 18
Figure 6: Value quadrant one – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics ................................................. 20
Figure 7: Value quadrant three – 32 sample companies with detailed performance metrics ...............................................
23
Figure 8: Value quadrant summary 32 companies – performance, LTIP design, Say-on-Pay voting ..................................... 24
Figure 9: S&P 1500 five-year cumulative economic profit versus five-year relative TSR (period: 2008 – 2012) ................... 26
The Alignment Gap Between Say on Pay Voting and Creating Value
Page 32
.