POSSIBILITIES
INSIGHTS FOR BUSINESSES & INDIVIDUALS
FEBRUARY 2015
2015 Market Outlook
What a predictable and very unpredictable year
2014 was. Yet, that could be said about every year.
For starters, the U.S. economy picked up steam
throughout 2014, and the S&P 500 Index racked
up another double-digit gain following 2013’s 30
percent advance. Still, who would have forecast
utilities, which are normally a defensive sector,
would lead the way to that double-digit return?
Credit the higher dividends they offer and falling
bond yields.
Finally, few could have predicted the outright
collapse in oil prices.
We began the year near
$100 per barrel and ended just north of $50
per barrel. When and where oil will stabilize
is anyone’s guess, but the decline in crude is
responsible for the 10 percent drop in the S&P
Energy sector. It was the worst performing
of the 10 industry groups that make up the
S&P 500 Index.
There were times when we hit a patch of
volatility, however, the fundamentals quickly reasserted themselves, driving stocks to new highs.
These included:
1.
rowing economic activity, which led a
G
pickup in earnings growth. S&P 500 earnings
improved from a modest increase of 5.6
percent in Q1 to a solid 10.3 percent by Q3,
according to Thomson Reuters.
2. pledge by the Federal Reserve to keep
A
short-term interest rates at rock bottom
levels for a “considerable time.” Low interest
rates provide little in the way of formidable
competition for stocks.
3.
Stock buybacks by corporations continue
to rise. According to S&P Dow Jones
Indices, combined dividend and buyback
expenditures set a new record of $892.66
billion for the 12 months ended September
30, with stock repurchases representing 62
percent of the total. Stock buybacks reflect
confidence as well as real demand for shares.
Looking Ahead
The fundamentals that have fueled equity gains
in recent years remain in place.
Even as the
Federal Reserve ended its controversial bondbuying program last October, the federal funds
rate is expected to remain at historically low
levels through at least the end of 2015 and
possibly beyond.
While strong fundamentals remain in place, risks
never disappear, even in a diversified portfolio.
Risk can be managed but not eliminated. So that
leads to the next question—what are some of the
events that could create volatility in 2015?
Oil and Energy
The year ended with oil near $50 per barrel. The
stock market will continue to adjust based on
the movement of oil prices until the price of oil
finds a place to settle.
There will be winners and
losers at current prices, though the net gain to the
economy should be positive.
Then there has been the sharp selloff in junk
bonds tied to the energy sector. While Treasury
and investment grade yields fell last year,
high-yield debt rose. Some of the rise can be
blamed on expectations the Federal Reserve
will eventually raise interest rates, which could
impact some highly-leveraged borrowers.
But a
big part of the increase can be blamed on default
fears in the energy patch amid a re-pricing of risk
in high-yield energy bonds. If concerns were to
spread into other sectors of the junk bond market,
we could see a spillover into stocks.
Overseas
Slowing growth in China and Europe’s slow
recovery could dampen growth at home.
2015 Market Outlook—continues on page 8
this issue
2
Who’s Going to Buy Your Business?
3
Slimming Down in the New Year:
Expense Reducing Strategies
4
Considerations for Entrepreneurs
Thinking Globally
5
Eide Bailly Expands into Nevada
6
Enterprise Resource Planning:
Connecting the Web of Your Processes
. 2 | POSSIBILITIES
Who’s Going to Buy Your Business?
As you and your business mature, you may be starting to think
about selling or transferring your business within the next few
years. The big question is: who will buy it?
Options to Consider
There are a number of options that may be viable transition
solutions, including the following:
• ale to family members
S
There are some great companies with great stories about
long-term family ownership. We also know many examples,
however, where family ownership has been rife with problems
and where company value has declined when the next
generation has run the business poorly.
• ale to employees
S
This is very appealing to some owners who want to take care
of their people, and there are various strategies to structure
these types of transactions, such as ESOPs. However,
relatively few employee groups have the financial capacity to
pay an owner what the business is worth.
• ale to outside party
S
The majority of sales are actually to competitors, or other
potential buyers.
• ale to a private equity firm
S
Private equity groups (PEGs) are firms that raise funds,
invest in companies and then exit, hopefully at a gain.
Each
group generally has certain types of industries and company
sizes they like to invest in. Their deals might start with
an ownership interest of 70 percent for example, as they
sometimes like to have the owner involved in continuing to
grow the business and business value. This gives both the
PEG and the owner an upside.
Some PEGs are also interested
in minority positions.
• ales to family offices
S
A family office is a private investment firm established for
the purpose of managing a family’s wealth. This type of firm
establishes a new approach for wealthy families to directly
invest their wealth in private companies or other investment
vehicles. Such organizations supposedly date back nearly
a century to the times of John D.
Rockefeller, but more
recently have become a popular structure versus traditional
investment firms. They can come in the form of single-family
or multi-family offices, and typically hire tenured investment
professionals to manage the office and invest their capital.
Next Steps
There are several steps to take if you are thinking about selling
or transitioning your business now, or in the future. First, it is
important to get a realistic expectation of what your business
is worth now and how to increase that value.
In addition, it is
helpful to truly understand what your options are. Talking to a
valuation or transaction specialist can help make this process
smoother. You may face a challenging and highly competitive
market when the time comes to sell your business, and it’s
important you are able to maximize your ability to see a return
on the investment you’ve made through many years of
hard work.
n
C O N TA C T
Amber Ferrie
Partner
Business Valuation
701.239.8608
aferrie@eidebailly.com
. Businesses & Individuals | 3
Slimming Down in the New Year: Expense Reducing Strategies
It seems like every year goes by just a little faster. The busier we get,
the harder it is to plan—but it’s also the most important time to plan.
For many small business owners, the start of a new year is filled with
planning activities with a focus on improving the operating results of
the prior year.
One part of this strategic plan should be to evaluate expenses and
consider alternatives to current processes in order to reduce excess
costs and make operations more efficient. Here are some ideas on a
few common expense areas where savings and benefits can be found.
Telephone/Telecomunications
This expense category includes local and long distance land lines,
Internet access charges and mobile phone plans.
• Technology has come a long way, and many companies likely
haven’t reviewed their systems within the last three to five years.
If you still have a PBX system, it might be time to evaluate this
and look into Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) systems. The
newer technologies are basically run through your computer
system and the Internet.
This provides for cheap rates and much
better functionality and access. A great resource to help you
evaluate this is www.getvoip.com. If you have multiple offices or
need to operate from remote office locations, VOIP can offer many
benefits.
Even if you don’t change phone systems, it’s always a
good idea to contact competing phone service providers and have
them provide you with a quote so you can see how your current
rates compare.
• Internet access rates change on a regular basis. You might
be costing yourself money if you don’t have a fast-enough
connection. Call your Internet provider and let them know you
want your current plan evaluated because you are rate shopping.
Outsourcing
This is an idea to consider if you have any departments or functions
that you may not have the right talent for, or just don’t want to
manage.
The newer technologies in each of the areas listed below
allow for great collaboration, visibility and accountability between
the provider and the business. Many CPA and consulting firms have
substantial resources dedicated to whatever function you may be
interested in outsourcing, including:
• ccounts payable
A
• Billing/collections
• Bookkeeping
• Payroll
• Controller/CFO
• T support
I
Retirement Plan
Are you maximizing the benefits available with your retirement plan?
Retirement plans can provide a very efficient use of cash, reducing
taxes and providing great benefits for employees and owners. Make
sure you review your retirement plan with your financial advisor, and
if you don’t have a retirement plan, you owe it to yourself to learn
about how a well-designed plan can help you achieve some of your
goals in a very efficient manner.
2015 is just beginning, giving you time to execute your strategic
plans.
The areas above are just a few ideas and areas that could
be evaluated. In reality, every aspect of your business should be
evaluated on a regular basis to ensure your business is operating
effectively and efficiently. n
C O N TA C T
Employee Health Care Costs
• With the Health Care Reform laws that were put into place last
year, you’ve probably already visited this area within the last 12-18
months.
If you haven’t, you need to ensure you are compliant by
talking with a knowledgable advisor. The bigger question is that of
improving the health of your staff to reduce the premiums. There
are several companies now that will help you put health wellness
programs in place for your company so that you can start reducing
premiums and have a healthier company.
Cloud Technologies
• Accounting/financial reporting systems can help you streamline
your back-office and information-sharing costs.
If you are not
happy with the timing, level of detail or inflexible reporting
you are currently getting, take a look at what the cloud-based
accounting systems might be able to do for you. A few of the top
players are NetSuite, Intacct and QuickBooks Online.
Victor Puchi
Partner
Accounting Services
602.264.8619
vpuchi@eidebailly.com
. 4 | POSSIBILITIES
Intangible Property
Considerations for Entrepreneurs Thinking Globally
Many entrepreneurs begin their business with a focus on becoming
successful in their current markets and eventually expanding across
state lines. As time goes on, they may test their business concept
across international borders. Many U.S. companies often head first
to Canada and then move on to Europe as a springboard to a global
business.
From a U.S. tax perspective, these companies soon learn that
the profits can either be taxed immediately in the U.S., or taxed when
repatriated, depending on the structure they choose. For those who
prefer deferral, it is often the long-term goal to use earnings generated
internationally to fund growth outside of the U.S.
of the U.S.
to a foreign subsidiary. As a result, the income for the
use of the IP outside of the U.S. will accrue to the subsidiary, going
forward, and not to the U.S.
company. Given that the corporate tax
rate outside of the U.S. is generally lower, this results in increased
cash flow.
This concept is commonly referred to as an IP migration.
The initial transfer of IP is subject to taxation to the extent gain is
recognized, which it often is. If a company is in a start-up phase, the
income may be offset by net operating losses. A net present value
calculation will likely show that the current taxation on the transfer is
less than tax on a payment to the U.S.
for the useful life of the IP.
Intangible Property
Although deferral is allowed, it is not just a matter of incorporating in
another country and replicating there. As an example, let’s assume that
a U.S. company designs and manufactures products.
After creating a
sales office in Europe and having some success, they decide to open
a manufacturing facility in Europe. From a U.S. tax perspective, the
company has likely developed intangible property (IP) by way of
manufacturing and technology know-how or trade secrets.
When this
IP is used outside of the U.S. by a related party, the tax authorities will
require the U.S. company to be compensated.
As you can surmise, the younger the IP, the lower the estimated tax
value, because it may not be proven or otherwise valuable in other
markets.
This presents an opportunity for start-up companies that have
a global vision. The challenge becomes determining when benefits
of an IP migration outweigh the cost of such a structure. The costs
of such a structure include legal, accounting, valuation or transfer
pricing, and having substance in a foreign jurisdiction to manage the
use and development of the IP.
IP can be found in service businesses as well.
For example, when an
entrepreneur develops a process that differentiates them from the
competition or builds a well-known brand, they have created IP. If the
company takes the IP across borders, the U.S. tax authorities (IRS)
will expect compensation for the IP use.
Importance of Advanced Planning
The above examples result in a surprisingly large portion of income
being taxed in the U.S.
prior to the company’s intention. However,
planning can be used to minimize this over the long term. For
example, a U.S.
company can transfer the rights to use the IP outside
If the U.S. and/or the foreign subsidiary continue to develop IP, it is
important for them to enter into an agreement to split the cost and
rights to use the further development of the IP in their respective
jurisdictions. This concept is commonly referred to as “cost sharing”
and prevents new IP from being developed by one jurisdiction and an
additional transfer needed to obtain the desired result.
n
C O N TA C T
Shannon Lemmon
Partner
International Tax Services
303.459.6750
slemmon@eidebailly.com
Eide Bailly Partners Elected to Leadership Positions in HLB
Two Eide Bailly partners have been
elected to leadership positions in
HLB International, one of the leading
global accountancy networks
with presence in 130 countries,
and its affiliate HLB USA.
Dave Stene has been elected as
the chairman of HLB International,
which is a three-year term. He most
recently served as the chairman of
HLB USA. He also has served as
the chair of the Minnesota Society
of CPAs and is a member of the
American Institute of Certified Public
Accountants Governing Council.
Bryan Ross has been elected to the
executive committee of HLB USA.
Bryan has more than 30 years of tax
and consulting experience and has
played an integral role in growing Eide
Bailly’s international tax services area.
Dave Stene
Bryan Ross
.
Businesses & Individuals | 5
Eide Bailly Expands into Nevada
Growth in the western region of the United States is part of Eide Bailly’s strategic
plan, and it added to that goal in a big way in late 2014 with the addition of four
offices in a new state—Nevada.
Two Firms Added
Eide Bailly made its debut in Nevada in November with the addition of Muckel
Anderson CPAs, located in Reno. Then in December, Kafoury, Armstrong & Co.
joined Eide Bailly, adding offices in Las Vegas, Fallon and Elko, as well as an
additional office in Reno, which will integrate with existing staff in that city.
“We are excited to share our small firm/large firm approach to service with more
businesses in Nevada,” said Eide Bailly Managing Partner/CEO Dave Stende.
“As the first regional firm in Nevada, we are a new alternative for clients in the
state and the surrounding regions.”
The Right Timing
Butch Anderson, former CEO of Muckel Anderson, serves as the partner-in-charge
of the Nevada offices.
“Muckel Anderson and Kafoury Armstrong were friendly competitors for years,
and it’s exciting for all of us to have joined forces under the Eide Bailly name,”
Anderson said. “It’s also a great time to enter Nevada. The state continues to
emerge from the recession and strengthen its resources for businesses.”
Eide Bailly’s growth in Nevada gives the firm a total of 26 offices in 12 states
with 1,500 staff and 224 partners.
“It’s an exciting time at Eide Bailly, and we’re happy to be a part of what’s being
built here,” said Anderson.
For more information, visit our newsroom at www.eidebailly.com.
Taking the Mystery Out of
Social Security Benefits
You may not realize it, but the
timing of when you elect to draw
social security is one of many
important decisions you’ll make in
retirement.
It will impact the amount
of income you receive, the amount
of taxes you pay, and how you are
able to utilize your other assets.
Determining the best strategy
for when to draw social security
depends on many factors, and
the choice you make could mean
the difference between gaining
or losing upwards of $100,000
over the course of retirement.
For more information on
Social Security planning, visit
www.eidebailly.com/socialsecurity.
. 6 | POSSIBILITIES
Enterprise Resource Planning:
Connecting the Web of Your Processes
Traditional explanations of Enterprise Resource Planning
(ERP) can become so complex that the value it provides your
organization goes unnoticed amidst the tangle of words. In short,
ERP is simply a methodology for connection. This basic concept
has since been translated into a number of software solutions
available in the marketplace today that integrate the numerous
disparate “back-end office” systems of a business—from
accounting, sales and customer relationship management (CRM)
to manufacturing and distribution—into a single interface for
value-added insights across an organization.
A Tangle of Data
All organizations are comprised of a spider web of processes
and data. At the foundation of every business is interaction,
and each interaction, large or small, contributes to the value
exchange between your company and your customer.
While most
organizations have an established framework for monitoring
and evaluating ongoing interactions, as your business grows and
processes multiply, past methods depreciate and provide less
meaningful insight. Additionally, as we all know too well, teams
are not always the best at communicating across “party lines.” As
a rule, the more people and processes between pockets of data, the
more challenging it becomes to share information that is accurate
and valuable. Key performance indicators can provide helpful
progress reports, but an increase in the number of applications
used to manage these growing processes creates “silos” of this
information, making it less readily accessible for all involved.
A Holistic Approach
ERP joins the dispersed procedures, tasks and accomplishments
throughout a business and makes it possible to manage and
examine the organization as a whole.
Compiling data spanning
departments, processes and interactions provides a holistic,
comprehensive representation of your business; it establishes
accountability and allows your organization to become
progressively reactive to situations that reduce value creation,
while improving your ability to be proactive in the future.
Inventory/Manufacturing
Research & Development
Sales
Staff/HR
Tax/Compliance
ERP weaves together the elements of your business.
Cash Flow
. Businesses & Individuals | 7
Eide Bailly Adds
Technology Resources
The key focus of an ERP solution is to create a dynamic, actionable structure
encompassing all areas of a business to clearly identify relationships and patterns in
the data. This evolving interface allows teams and executive leaders to become agile
and responsive to changing conditions within the business or marketplace they can
—
easily identify what is and isn’t working through defined, easy-to-understand facts and
figures. Connecting your financial systems to your value-producing systems, human
resources and even customer relationship management allows you to track, analyze
and automate workflows and processes across your business. All these touch points
across the business are recorded and later sorted, contextualized and presented in a
useful format from one application.
This will result in customers that are better
served, staff that are more informed and capable, and leadership that is more aware
and responsive.
All organizations are comprised of
a spider web of processes
and data.
The Right Vantage Point
Within a business, it is not always clear which practices are performing well, which
ones suffice, and which desperately need to be altered. Patterns go unseen and
inconsistencies between sales orders, inventory needs and manufacturing remain
unaddressed. Identifying how individual processes are performing in isolation and
against one another allows an organization to discover strategies for real improvement.
By integrating otherwise separate—yet interdependent—data from all aspects of your
business, you gain a complete vantage point of your organization from which you
can make analysis, reporting and compliance needs not only more convenient, but
also more accurate.
Enterprise Resource Planning can be a powerful tool to provide
visibility into the big picture of your business and provide insights to think critically,
identify opportunities to improve and, ultimately, create more value in an increasingly
competitive marketplace. n
C O N TA C T
Bredt Eggleston
Principal
Technology Consulting
970.999.8913
beggleston@eidebailly.com
Eide Bailly has grown its ERP
and CRM services with the
addition of business, accounting
and ERP solution provider
Accounting Systems, Inc. (ASI).
ASI joined Eide Bailly Technology
Consulting in November, adding
10 experienced professionals
to the Firm, including Bredt
Eggleston, former ASI chief
solution officer, who joined Eide
Bailly as a principal.
Bredt has
nearly 25 years of experience in
the accounting software industry;
he founded ASI in 1991 with
his father-in-law, Jerry Reinan.
. ys
4310 17th Ave S
PO Box 2545
Fargo ND 58108-2545
This publication is produced and
published by Eide Bailly and
distributed with the understanding
that the information contained does
not constitute legal, accounting or
other professional advice. It is not
intended to be responsive to any
individual situation or concerns as
the contents of the publication are
intended for general informational
purposes only. Readers are urged
not to act upon the information
contained in this publication without
first consulting competent legal,
accounting or other professional
advice regarding implications
of a particular factual situation.
Questions and information for
publication can be submitted to
your Eide Bailly representative.
To request reprints of this publication,
send a written request to
RequestReprints@eidebailly.com.
© 2015 Eide Bailly LLP.
To view this and previous
issues of POSSIBILITIES, visit
www.eidebailly.com/publications
Managing Editor: Liz Stabenow
Assistant Editor: Clinton Larson
Send comments to:
possibilities@eidebailly.com
An Independent Member Firm
of HLB International
2015 Market Outlook—continued from page 1
Odds are fairly low, however, as the U.S. simply
isn’t dependent on overseas demand to drive its
economy.
So far, U.S. growth has accelerated in
the face of global jitters.
Interest Rates
Will we get volatility around the Federal Reserve’s
first rate hike in nearly a decade? There are no
guarantees when it comes to Federal Reserve
policy, but if U.S. employment and economic
growth continue at the current pace, the Federal
Reserve has signaled rates will start rising in
2015, although it is doing its best to telegraph
its intentions.
Emerging markets
A stronger dollar and a Federal Reserve that is
expected to begin raising rates could pressure
developing countries that have sold bonds in
greenbacks instead of their local currencies,
forcing them to repay loans in more expensive
dollars.
Foreign reserves could minimize any
pressure, but it’s something that bears watching.
Cyber-attacks
North Korea’s alleged attack on Sony quickly
comes to mind. It’s impossible to forecast,
www.eidebailly.com
but the outside chance of a big event can’t be
completely discounted.
Geopolitical Concerns
War or geopolitical instability has historically
caused short-term volatility in the market.
Heightened uncertainty is not a friend of investors.
The Bottom Line
One really does not know what the future holds,
or how the markets will behave. As an investor it
is important to manage and mitigate risk within a
portfolio and to take the time to recalibrate.
Two
things to consider when managing risk within
a portfolio: First, make sure there is a plan in
place and it is followed when making investment
decisions. Second, be sure to rebalance the
portfolio back to the original allocation on a
regular basis. n
C O N TA C T
Brad Kelley
Principal
Financial Services
701.476.8759
bkelley@eidebailly.com
.