®
The Global
Corporate Advisor
March 2016
The Corporate Finance newsletter of Crowe Horwath International
Welcome to the March 2016 issue of
Global Corporate Advisor.
In this issue, from France we have
an article on valuation methodologies
used for goodwill impairment tests
under IAS 36. The piece examines
relevant concepts such as measuring
recoverable amount and the various
scenarios in which it is pertinent to
account for goodwill impairment.
An article from India reports on the
Ease of Doing Business index and
the country’s improved position on
it. Regulatory changes in processes
related to businesses in various sectors
are listed as well.
In the last of M&A updates from 2015,
we look at Canada where, fueled by
macroeconomic factors conducive to
a positive private equity environment,
transaction values in H1 2015 reached
C$11.4 billion. There is every reason
to believe that some key regions and
sectors are poised for a strong 2016.
Andrew Fressl
Regional Leader, Oceania
+61 2 9619 1669
andrew.fressl@crowehorwath.com.au
Inside This Issue:
Contact Us
The GCA team is here to respond to your needs relating to M&A transaction
support, valuations and advisory services.
If there is a topic you would like us
to cover in future issues of the GCA newsletter, don’t hesitate to contact Peter
Varley, Chairman of GCA, at peter.varley@crowecw.co.uk. Alternatively, please
contact your local GCA team member to discuss your ideas.
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Welcome
1
Goodwill Impairment Tests under
IAS 36: Valuation Methodology 2
Ease of Doing Business in India 6
M&A Update 2015: Canada
9
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Goodwill Impairment Tests Under IAS 36: Valuation Methodology
By Olivier Grivillers and Maxime Hazim, Paris
Several studies have shown that goodwill represents an important part of total
assets of listed companies. In 2014,
companies listed on the French index
CAC40 displayed more than €490
billion of intangible assets (of which
€300 billion was by way of goodwill) i.e.
roughly 59% of equity.
Goodwill can be defined as the result
of the difference between the purchase
price of a company and its net equity
amount. As a consequence, goodwill
only results from external growth, i.e.
the acquisition of another company,
which means that companies growing
organically do not record any goodwill
in their accounts.
The weight of goodwill depends on the
company policy. A high level of goodwill
is synonymous with external growth
and acquisitions.
Goodwill impairment
reflects a poor acquisition since it
points up to a market value inferior to
its acquisition value. It is then important
to know the methodology followed to
review the goodwill value and indirectly
follow-up on the value of the underlying
acquired business.
International accounting standards (IAS
36 - Impairment of Assets) force companies to review goodwill value over
time. Indeed, goodwill can be impaired
but cannot be subject to revaluation.
The European Securities and Markets
Authority (ESMA) provided in a report
dated January 7, 2013 an overview of
accounting practices related to impairment testing of goodwill and other
intangible assets.
The report mentions
that a fall in market capitalization below
the book value of equity is an indication
that impairment may have occurred.
Although a decrease in market capitalization may not lead directly to impairment (relevant factors impacting market
capitalization might include investor uncertainty, risk aversion and low liquidity,
among others), the increased equity/
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Figure 1. Price to Book Ratios by sector (2014) - CAC40 companies
Number of firms
Price to Book ratio
8
2.36
18
2.06
Banking & Insurance
5
0.81
Technology
5
1.84
Energy & Natural resources
4
1.07
Goods & Services to consumers
Industry & Construction
Sources: Mergermarket Group, Bloomberg
market capitalization ratio and relatively
limited impairment losses can call into
question whether the level of impairment reflects the effects of the economic slowdown appropriately. Indeed, as
of December 31, 2014, 23% of the CAC
40 companies showed market capitalization below equity.
Figure 1 shows the average price-tobook ratio calculated for the CAC40
companies based on 2014 book values
and market capitalization.
An asset is considered to be subject to
impairment when its carrying value is
higher that its recoverable value.
According to IFRS, an asset’s recoverable value
is the higher between the asset’s valuein-use (the amount to be recovered
through use of the asset) and its the fair
value less costs-to-sell (the amount to be
recovered through sale of the asset).
To perform the impairment test, it is
necessary to consider the methodology
to carry out the follow up of goodwill
value in companies’ accounts.
Measuring recoverable
amount
The recoverable amount is defined as
the higher of an asset or cash-generating unit’s (CGU) (a) fair value less costs
to sell and (b) its value in use.
It is not always necessary to determine
both values, i.e. an asset’s fair value
less costs to sell and its value in use.
If either of these amounts exceeds the
asset’s carrying amount, the asset is
not impaired and it is not necessary to
estimate the other amount.
The recoverable amount is determined
for an individual asset. If the asset
does not generate cash inflows that
are largely independent of those from
other assets or groups of assets, the
recoverable amount is determined for
the cash-generating unit to which the
asset belongs.
The cash generating
units tested must be consistent with
the operating segments used within the
framework of IFRS 8.
a) Value in use
Value in use is the present value of the
future cash flows expected to be derived
from an asset or cash-generating unit.
The techniques used to estimate future
cash flows and interest rates will vary
depending on the circumstances surrounding the asset in question.
The calculation of the value in use is
usually performed under the discounted
cash (DCF) flow method, which consists of discounting the expected future
cash flows at a discount rate corresponding to the weighted average cost
of capital (WACC).
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Regarding the valuation methodology
used for impairment tests in order to
determine the recoverable amount,
around 82% of the French Index CAC
40 companies used the value in use
(using the DCF method) alone and
18% determined both measures – the
value in use and the fair value.
monly termed as WACC. According to
IAS36, the calculation of WACC should
be performed independently from the
financial structure of the company.
Hence, some estimates such as the
beta and the gearing level should be
retained at the company’s industrial
sector level.
Figure 2. Valuation methods used for
impairment test for the CAC40
Companies in 2014
WACC = (Ke * %E) + (Kd * %D * (1-T))
DCF &
Comparables
Multiples
15%
DCF & Others
3%
Where:
Ke = cost of equity capital
%E proportion of equity capital to
=
total capital (industry average)
Kd = cost of debt capital
%D = proportion of debt capital to total
capital (industry average)
T = income tax rate
Cost of equity is determined with the
help of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM) which is defined as:
Ke = Rf + (Rp x B) + Rs
DCF Only
82%
The discounted cash flow method has
been utilized for 100% of the cases for
the impairment test performed on the
CAC40 companies for December 31,
2014.
Under the DCF method, value is determined by performing a prospective
financial analysis of the subject CGU
to estimate future available cash-flows,
which yield a value that is available to
the invested capital holders.
These cash flows are discounted to
present value at the WACC. If the cash
flow stream is to continue beyond the
projection period, an estimate of the terminal value or residual value of the CGU
is developed.
The sum of the discounted
cash flows and the discounted terminal value provides an indication of the
invested capital value of the business.
The discount rate used within the DCF
method is the rate of return required
to compensate an investor for undertaking investment in a company. It
corresponds to the weighted average of
cost of equity and cost of debt, com-
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Where:
Ke = cost of equity capital
Rf = risk-free rate of return
Rp = common stock risk premium
B = beta (industry average)
Rs = specific risk premium
Determining the cost of equity remains
challenging especially when the com-
pany to be valued has a specific risk
due to its size, its stock illiquidity, its
market location or, its field of activity,
among others factors.
Figure 4 presents an overview of the
discount rates used for different sectors
over the CAC40 companies for the
December 31, 2014 reporting.
Figure 5 presents an overview of the
perpetuity growth rates used by sector
over the CAC40 companies for the
December 31, 2014 reporting.
The high discrepancies noticed in the
discount rates and perpetuity growth
rates retained in the impairment tests
are due to the variety of factors of the
economic environment in which the
tested CGUs operate. Indeed, some
CGUs operate in high inflation environment where interest rates and inflation
rates are high, which implies higher discount rates and higher nominal growth
rates in perpetuity.
b) Fair Value Less Costs to Sell
Fair value less costs to sell is the
amount obtainable from the sale of
an asset or cash-generating unit in
an arm’s length transaction between
knowledgeable, willing parties, less the
costs of disposal.
Figure 3.
Free cash flows are defined as follows:
Free Cash Flow
= Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) - Taxes
+ Depreciation and Amortization - Capital Expenditure
-/+ Change in Working Capital]
Figure 4. Discount rate (WACC) by sector (2014) - CAC40 Companies
Min.
Max.
Goods & Services to consumers
5.9%
20.3%
Industry & Construction
5.2%
20.6%
Banking & Insurance
6.0%
16.9%
Technology
6.5%
17.0%
Energy & Natural resources
4.9%
15.0%
Sources: CAC40 companies’ annual reports 2014
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Figure 5. Perpetuity growth rate by sector (2014) - CAC40 Companies
Min.
Max.
-1.00%
7.70%
Industry & Construction
1.00%
5.00%
Banking & Insurance
2.00%
5.00%
Technology
0.30%
5.50%
Energy & Natural resources
1.60%
after deducting the costs of disposal.
In that case, comparable multiples (the
market approach) can be used.
2.50%
Goods & Services to consumers
It may be possible to determine fair
value less costs to sell, even if an asset
is not traded in an active market.
Figure 6
Price in binding sale
ageement
Current bid price
Price of most recent
transaction
Obtainable amount in an
arm’s length transaction
The best evidence of an asset’s fair value less costs to sell is a price in a binding sale agreement in an arm’s length
transaction, adjusted for incremental
costs that would be directly attributable
to the disposal of the asset.
The market approach is mainly based
on the market comparable companies’ method. The concept behind this
method is that prices of publicly traded
stocks in the same or similar industry
provide objective evidence as to values
at which investors are willing to buy and
sell interests in companies in the given
industry.
If there is no binding sale agreement
but an asset is traded in an active market, fair value less costs to sell is the
asset’s market price less the costs of
disposal. The appropriate market price
is usually the current bid price.
According to this method, the market
price of stocks of corporations engaged
in the same or similar line of business
whose stock is actively traded in a free
and open market must be considered.
Competing companies operating in the
same market are the best comparable,
because their assets are deployed in
the same line of business and are subject to many of the same economic and
financial risks.
In order for the competitive firms to be feasible for comparability, the financial condition and a market
related stock price performance must
be available.
When current bid prices are unavailable, the price of the most recent
transaction may provide a basis for
estimate, provided that there has not
been a significant change in economic
circumstances between the transaction date and the date as at which the
estimate is made.
If there is no binding sale agreement
or active market for an asset, fair value
less costs to sell is based on the best information available to reflect the amount
that an entity could obtain, at the end of
the reporting period, from the disposal of
the asset in an arm’s length transaction
between knowledgeable, willing parties,
Comparable company analysis operates under the assumption that similar
companies will have similar valuations
multiples, such as Enterprise Value/Net
sales, Enterprise Value/EBITDA, Enterprise Value/EBIT or Price Earnings
Ratio (Share Price/Earnings per share).
Figure 7. Comparable multiples used in the impairment tests for the CAC40 companies
Comparable companies
Average multiples
Occurrences
Average
multiples
Number
Sales revenue
1.5
EBITDA
EBIT / Operating Income
PER
Comparable transactions
Occurrences
Percentage
Average
multiples
Number
Percentage
44
23%
1.2
23
12%
6.8
95
50%
7.1
64
34%
9.3
95
52%
9.3
47
25%
13.3
49
26%
14.6
12
6%
Sources: Data from HAF booklet
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Costs of disposal, other than those that
have been recognized as liabilities, are
deducted in determining fair value less
costs to sell. Examples of such costs
are legal costs, stamp duty and similar
transaction taxes, costs of removing the
asset, and direct incremental costs to
bring an asset into condition for its sale.
Conclusion
Goodwill impairment has become an
important issue for companies as they
have to follow-up on the value of their
acquisitions in order to account for any
loss in the value of the goodwill.
From an accounting perspective, when
the carrying value of the goodwill exceeds the recoverable value, which is
the highest value between the value in
use and the fair value less costs to sell,
it is considered to be impaired.
The value in use measured by using
the discounted cash flow method, not
only depends on the future prospects of
the cash generating unit being tested,
but also on assumptions such as the
discount rate and the growth rate used
in the DCF model. The fair value is
market-based and can be approached
with the listed comparable multiples
method and/or comparable transactions
methods.
Learning how to account for goodwill
impairment is a matter of using a relatively simple impairment test compliant
with the international accounting standards. The valuation method used to
measure the recoverable amount has
an impact on the result of the impairment test.
This flexible rule explains that goodwill
valuation remains not impaired in the
financial statements when the market conditions are adverse, since the
company can use a value computed on
the long-term under the DCF method to
justify not impairing the goodwill.
For more information:
Olivier Grivillers is a Partner, HAF Audit & Conseil, Crowe Horwath Paris, France.
He can be contacted at +33(0)141 059 848 or ogrivillers@horwath.fr
Maxime Hazim is a Manager, HAF Audit & Conseil, Crowe Horwath Paris, France.
He can be contacted at +33(0) 141 059 842 mhazim@horwath.fr
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Ease of Doing Business in India
By Nikhil Morsawala, Mumbai
The government’s efforts, among other
things, focus on implementing reforms
relating to starting a business, tax payments and reporting, resolving insolvency, enforcing contracts, and trading
across borders.
domestic market and the export
market; this adds to the GDP and the
foreign exchange wealth of the nation.
“India copes with stress in the way that
its roads cope with the traffic: constant
chaos, surprisingly few casualties.”
British journalist Bruce Anderson, Independent (London), 09.03.2009
Attracting investment means that the
environment for investment must be
friendly.
“When we talk of a “look East” policy, we
must also talk about “link West” policy.
Both need to work simultaneously.”
Growth of business in India requires
concerted action on several fronts –
infrastructure, capital markets, trade
facilitation and skills. In reality, India
must also deal with its regulatory and
bureaucratic challenges, in terms of
becoming an easier place to do business. A disproportionately high regulatory burden is borne by businesses in
India today.
Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi,
2015
A wide range of forecasts indicate that,
by 2020, India will be home to 1.35
billion people, of whom 906 million will
be of working age. These 906 million
will need jobs to sustain India’s growth
and populace, and these jobs can only
be provided by significant and longterm growth of the manufacturing and
service sectors in India.
Initiatives for ease of
doing business
The challenge ahead, therefore,
is to create jobs to employ India’s
rapidly growing youth base, and the
key means of doing so is to increase
private investment in India.
Today’s
investment equals tomorrow’s jobs,
and so the government of India has
embarked on the ambitious ‘Make in
India’ initiative. Make in India not only
creates these jobs, but also serves
a larger economic purpose – added
manufacturing output for the large
India has embarked on an ambitious
agenda to improve its ‘Ease of Doing
Business’ rank to 50 out of 189 countries by 2017 (it is rated at 130 in 2016,
based on factors assessed for 2014
and 2015); however, this effort will only
address a small subset of the regulatory burden on investors. Doing Business reforms will only address central
regulations; the rest of the country must
also improve simultaneously to convert
reforms into results.
Figure 1.
Rankings on Doing Business topics
(Scale: Rank 189 center, Rank 1 outer edge)
Starting a business (73.59)
Dealing with construction
permits (183)
Enforcing contracts (178)
Trading across
borders (133)
Paying taxes (157)
India’s ranking has improved from 142
to 130 out of 189 countries between
2014 and 2015, reflecting government’s efforts and the changes that
it has brought about to hasten the
reform process and reduce the onerous
regulatory processes of doing business
in India.
Figure 2. Distance to frontier scores on Doing Business
topics - India (Scale: Score 0 center, Score 100 outer edge)
Starting a business (155)
Resolving insolvency (136)
While efforts towards improving India’s
ranking in the Doing Business Report
cover some of the regulatory issues
pertaining to state governments, much
more is required to be done at state
governments’ level to achieve the
Prime Minister’s vision of making India
an easy place to do business. A majority of the regulatory burden imposed on
business is due to the plethora of laws,
rules, regulations and procedures enforced by the states.
This gives rise to
a wide number of registrations, licenses
and no objection certificates (NOCs)
that businesses must obtain and file
compliance reports on.
Getting electricity (70)
Protecting minority
investors (8)
Getting credit (42)
Protecting minority investors (8)
Resolving insolvency (32.41)
Enforcing contracts (32.41)
Trading across
borders (56.45)
Paying taxes (56.14)
Dealing with construction
permits (32.47)
Getting electricity (74.56)
Registering property (50.29)
Getting credit (65)
Protecting minority investors (73.33)
Source: World Bank 2016, Doing Business 2016: Measuring Regulatory Quality and Efficiency
Note: The rankings are benchmarked to June 2015 and based on the average of each economy’s distance to frontier (DTF) scores for the 10 topics included in this
year’s aggregate ranking. The distance to frontier score benchmarks economies with respect to regulatory practice, showing the absolute distance to the best performance in each Doing Business indicator. An economy’s distance to frontier score is indicated on a scale from 0 to 100, where 0 represents the worst performance
and 100 the frontier.
For the economies for which the data cover 2 cities, scores are a population-weighted average for the 2 cities.
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Key government
initiatives
Some key initiatives towards improving
the investment, licensing and approval
processes are:
â– Company formation and commercial registrations
1. The Ministry of Corporate Affairs has
introduced an integrated process
for incorporation of a company. Applicants can apply for the Director’s
Identification Number (DIN) and
check the company name availability simultaneous to incorporation
application (Form INC-29). This will
shorten the process of obtaining the
DIN, which in our experience takes
a very long time due to the requirement for foreign persons to obtain
notarizations from Indian missions in
several countries.
2. The Companies (Amendment) Act,
2015 has been passed to remove
requirements of minimum paid-up
capital for companies. It also simplifies a number of other regulatory
requirements particularly relative to
the management of privately owned
companies.
3. Several processes have been made
online.
For example:
â– Process of applying for environmental clearances
â– Payment of income tax and service tax
â– Filing of tax returns – income tax,
service tax, VAT in several states
â– Company compliance filing under
the Companies Act.
â– Payment of employee provident
fund dues
The new Companies Act, 2013,
incorporates several significant
provisions relating to Corporate
Governance which go a long way in
making India’s corporate laws align
with international best practices.
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The Limited Liability Partnership
structure has been strengthened by
permitting FDI in LLP entities. However, a lot of work still needs to be
done, including passing legislation
in line with the US Foreign Corrupt
Practices Act, reducing uncertainties
in transfer pricing etc.
â– Industrial licensing
4. Processes of applying for an Industrial License (IL) and Industrial
Entrepreneur Memorandum (IEM)
has been made online and these
services are now available to entrepreneurs on a 24x7 basis. This had
led to ease of filing applications and
online payment of service charges.
5. A defence products list for industrial
licensing has been issued, whereby
a large number of parts/components,
castings/forgings have been excluded from the purview of industrial licensing.
Further, dual use items, with
military as well as civilian application
(unless classified as defense item)
will also not require an industrial
license from the defense angle; only
an Industrial Entrepreneur Memorandum (IEM) needs to be filed.
6. The initial validity period of an industrial license has been increased
from two years to three years, giving
enough time for licensees to procure
land and obtain necessary clearances/approvals from authorities.
Further, partial commencement
of production is being treated as
commencement of production of all
the items in the license, obviating
the need for getting license extensions for remaining items for which
production has not commenced.
7. Security clearance on industrial license applications are to be granted
within 12 weeks. In matters other
than explosives and cases under
the purview of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB),
security clearances are valid for
three years unless there is a change
in composition of management or
shareholding.
â– Foreign trade
Pursuant to issuance of a notification on 12.03.2015 by the Director
General of Foreign Trade, the number of documents required for export
and import is now limited to three.
8. Twenty services are integrated with
the eBiz portal which will function as
a single window portal for obtaining
clearances from various governments and government agencies.
Foreign trade to and from India has
been considerably facilitated with
the reduction of restricted items
and the implementation of simpler
Central Value Added Tax (CENVAT)
regulations. Further steps are in the
pipeline to make foreign trade more
attractive.
â– Environment
9. An Environment Assessment Report
is required for constructing an industrial shed, school, college, hostel
for education institutions above
20,000sqm up to 150,000 sqm
built-up area.
A unified portal for
registration of units for Labour Identification Number (LIN), reporting of
inspection, submission of returns
and grievance redressal has been
launched by the Ministry of Labour
and Employment.
Environmental clearances have
always required a long complex
process in India. The government
has taken a significant step recently
by decentralizing the environment
clearance process to states.
â– Foreign investments
10. oreign direct investment is now
F
permitted in Limited Liability Partnerships (LLP), mainly to the same
extent as permitted through limited
liability companies. Earlier, foreign
investment in LLPs required approval from the FIPB.
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undertaken without the approval of
the head of the department; and (e)
system of self-certification should
be introduced for all non-risk, nonhazardous businesses.
11. An Investor Facilitation Cell has
been created on the government
portal to guide, assist and handhold
investors during the entire lifecycle
of the business.
12. A checklist with specific timelines
has been developed for processing all applications filed by foreign
investors in cases relating to retail
and export oriented units (EOUs)
foreign investments.
India has been the beneficiary of
significant foreign investments. The
government has announced ambitious infrastructure development
plans which cannot be implemented
without external investments. The
government has therefore taken
quite a few confidence building
measures, including giving an assurance that tax regulations will
henceforth not be amended retrospectively.
â– Compliances
13. Central and state government ministries and departments have been
requested to simplify and rationalize
the regulatory environment by taking
the following measures on priority:
a) All returns should be filed online
through a unified form; b) A checklist of required compliances should
be placed on the department’s web
portal; c) All registers required to be
maintained by the business should
be replaced with a single electronic
register; d) No inspection should be
States have started acting on these
requests though at varied paces.
Maharashtra state has, for example,
reduced approvals and licenses
required for setting up hotels by
about two-thirds of what was earlier
needed.
Initiatives in the pipeline
1. Implementation of the Goods and
Service Tax statute: India currently
has state level VAT regulations and
a central service tax regulation.
Litigations abound across India as
to which blended offerings attract
either or both of these taxes. The
government has introduced legislation in the parliament to implement
a uniform Goods and Services Tax
and to abolish the existing dual
legislation.
2. The implementation of a comprehensive Bankruptcy Law.
Indian
banks have been struggling with
a disproportionately large amount
of bad loans over the last couple
of decades. The government is
contemplating a legislation that will
help identify potential bad loans
at an early stage, which will allow
stressed companies to construct
turnaround strategies.
3. India is yet to make any significant
headway in overhauling its labor
laws to align them to global practices. While several draft legislations
have been discussed, there is yet
to emerge a political consensus on
this socially sensitive issue, which
is extremely necessary to ease the
entry and exit of foreign businesses
in India.
With the backdrop of being a socialist democratic republic,
India’s labor laws have always been
perceived to be labor friendly; while
this in itself is commendable, it
needs to be balanced with business
owners having the flexibility to rightsize their business organizations.
Conclusion
While Ease of Doing Business initiatives are still a work in progress, both
central and state governments have
taken significant steps to reduce regulatory hurdles in setting up and running
businesses in India. With the objective
of moving India to rank 50 in the Ease
of Doing Business Index, the country is
putting its best foot forward to welcome overseas investors in its quest
to achieve GDP growth rates of over 8
per cent.
For more information:
Nikhil Morsawala is Director – International Business Division, Crowe Horwath Advisory Services, India.
He can be reached at +91 9820294504 or nikhil.morsawala@crowehorwath.in
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M&A update 2015
Canada
By Moses Bendayan, Montréal
Fueled by macroeconomic factors
conducive to a burgeoning private
equity (PE) environment, Canadian
transaction values in the first half 2015
have reached unprecedented highs,
totaling C$11.4 billion as of June
30, 20151. Monetary policy in North
America has been highly accommodative exhibited by record periods of low
and stable interest rates coupled with
sustained quantitative easing. While
rates remained low, the Canadian dollar
waned to a record 10-year low, which
has proven to be appealing to foreign
led transactions. A nearly 30% cheaper
Canadian dollar will certainly not drive
transactions of itself; however, it does
stand as a contributing factor encouraging cross-border deal flow.
Additionally, the Bank of Canada has
hinted at pursuing steeper contractionary monetary policy measures in the
event of sustained broad economic
weakness, such as negative overnight
rates.
These factors, alongside a weak
real estate market fueled by record
household debt-to-income levels, will
put additional pressure on an already
deteriorating dollar.
Canada’s newly elected federal Liberal
party’s insistence on deficit spending rather than aiming for a balanced
budget, is, in the short run, an expansionary factor that will most likely lead
to stimulating the broad economy,
and, in turn, result in better performing
potential platform investments.
Consequently, PE companies are
becoming more active in their search
for succession-driven divestitures, the
primary driver in the mid-market, where
baby boomers look first to liquidate
their positions.2
M&A activity: deal size
and deal volume
With cash reserves growing in the past
few years, equities continuing their
strong run, sustained lower borrowing
costs and lower forecasted economic
growth rates, the environment for corporate combinations could never have
been any better. The figures for 2015
support this observation. Deals being
done are focused on the equity range
of between US$5 mn and US$20 mn,
with senior or subordinated debt of up
to US$100 mn.
In the first three quarters of 2015,
Canada exhibited growth in activity (260
deals versus 228 in 2014), yet volume
simmered to C$16.3 bn compared to
2014’s first three quarters of C$19.4 bn.3
At the end of June, six-large cap
transactions sized C$500 mn or greater
captured 63% of all disclosed disburse-
ments, whereas deals sized between
C$100 mn and C$500 mn took the
second largest share at 22%.
Deals
sized less than C$100 mn accounted
for the balance.4
This year’s figures follow suit with
the trends occurring over the past
five years (2009-2014). The steepest
decline in activity has been concentrated at the lowest end of the market
(value under C$5 mn) where there has
been a 64% decline in the number of
transactions, or an annualized decline
of 18% per year. At the high end of the
market (value over C$250 mn), overall
transaction activity has been strong,
increasing by 47%, or an annualized
growth of 8% per year.
Activity in the
C$10 mn to C$100 mn level of the
market has been resilient, with an
overall decline in the number of transactions of only 7%, or an annualized
decline of just 2% per year.5
Figure 1. Top 10 Disclosed Canadian PE Deals
Company
Province
PE Firm(s)
Heritage Royalty Limited Partnership
(HRP)
$ Millions
Alberta
Ontario Teachers'
3,300
KIK Custom Products Inc.
Ontario
Centerbridge Partners
1,871
Brookfield Residential Properties Inc.
Ontario
Brookfield
1,013
Encana Dawson Natural Gas Assets
BC
Veresen Midstream Limited
Partnership - KKR, Veresen
760
Encana Clearwater Assets
Alberta
Brookfield
605
Niobec Inc.
Quebec
CEF Holdings, TemasekHoldings
597
CanEra Inc.
Alberta
NGP Energy Capital, Riverstone
Holdings
465
Prairie Storm Energy Corp.
Alberta
NGP Energy Capital
400
Terrapure Environmental
Alberta
Birch Hill Equity Partners
300
Arcan Resources Ltd.
Alberta
ARC Financial, Ontario Teachers'
299
“Canadian Private Equity Buyout Review: First Half of 2015.” Thomson Reuters. July 20, 2015.
P.3.
“Natural force.” ICAEW Corporate Financier. May 2015. P.30.
3
“Canadian Private Equity Market Overview – First Nine Months of 2015.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association.
Slide 3.
4
“Canadian Private Equity Buyout Review: First Half of 2015”. Thomson Reuters. July 20, 2015.
P.3.
5
“Canadian M&A Activity: Recent Insights & Trends – Part 2. Canadian M&A Perspectives. McCarthy Tétrault.
August 20, 2015.
1
2
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Figure 2. Top five disclosed Canadian PE exits
Selling or backing PEs
Target
Buyer
$ Millions
KERN Partners, Westcap Mgt.
Legacy Oil & Gas Inc.
Crescent Point Energy
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
Cara Operations Limited IPO
Birch Hill Equity Partners
Sleep Country
IPO
638
Caisse de dépôt et placement
du Québec
Quebecor Media Inc.
Quebec Inc.
500
Catalyst Capital Group
Mobilicity
Rogers Communications
Inc.
465
1,530
1,096
Figure 3. PE Fundraising - First 3Q 2015
# funds
# closings
Raised ($ Million)
23
34
6,239
$ Millions
Median ($ Millions, excludes retail funds)
Fund Size
Individual Closing
638
Initial Close (13 funds)
110
110
500
Subsequent Close (7 funds, 8 closings)
252
37
465
All Funds (18 funds)
128
105
1,530
1,096
It is safe to say that 2015 was the
year of the mega-deal where a global
average of about 1.5 deals per week
of US$10 bn or more were being announced; in 2007, the average was one
deal per week.6 In Canada, three deals
broke the C$1 bn barrier, with two Canadian backed PE exits also garnering
a C$1 bn valuation. By global standards, Canada’s last mega-deal valued
at C$13 bn came in the third quarter of
2014 when 3G Capital merged Burger
King and Tim Hortons into the third
largest operator of fast food restaurants
in the world.7
Top Canadian deals included Teachers’ C$3.3 bn acquisition of Heritage
Royalty, Cenovus Energy’s oil & gas
royalty business unit, and Brookfield
Asset Management’s investments in
Brookfield Residential Properties, and
the PE-backed merger of Ainsworth
Lumber with Norbord, for C$1.1 bn and
C$763 mn, respectively.
Sector focus
Through three quarters, M&A activity
was led by the information and communications technology (ICT) sector
(17%), followed by the industrial and
manufacturing sector (13%).
Oil, gas
and energy, alongside mining and resources combined at 24%. M&A volume
in dollar value painted a very different
picture of the Canadian landscape
with the large majority of transactions
stemming from the oil, gas and energy
sector (50%) followed by industrial and
manufacturing (16%) and mining and
resources (8%).8
compares to a total of 48 deals valued
at C$3.7 bn reported in the first half
of 2014. The largest foreign targets of
Canadian buyout firms included CPPIB’s
acquisition of Antares Capital, CDP’s
acquisition of PetSmart, and Borealis’
investment in Swedish electrical company Fortum Distribution.
As in previous periods, investment abroad was
dominated by companies based in the
United States; of all 82 deals done, 67%
were in American companies, and these
deal values totaled C$51.7 bn, or 54%.
Canadian PE firms led or participated
in 19 deals over C$1 bn in the first half
of 2015, substantially exceeding the 15
such deals made by Canadian investors
in the entire 2007 year.11
US inbound M&A
Despite the weak dollar and likely due to
attractive valuations and sounder business fundamentals in recent quarters,
US inbound M&A totaled US$371.5 bn
in 2015, the highest year-to-date total
on record. Interestingly, Canada led
this surge with a YTD record high of
US$85.5 bn (23%), followed by the UK
(20%) and Israel (12%).12
Provincial focus
Canadian inbound M&A
Alberta’s energy intensive economy led
all provinces in dollar value of transactions (46%), followed by Ontario (29%)
and Québec (15%).9 As previously
mentioned, mega-deals dominated the
landscape which would explain why
Alberta represents only 13% of the volume of deals, and Québec and Ontario
represents 36% and 31% respectively.10
Foreign investment plays a very important role in the Canadian M&A landscape. US-based firms have a two-fold
advantage in today’s economic climate.
Stronger purchasing power due to a
weak CAD coupled with more readily
available US-sourced debt will likely
fuel more US sourced transactions.
Moreover, Canada’s secondary market
for private debt issues is still in its
nascent stage, which begs for greater
harmonization across Canada with
respect to our securities commissions
and regulators.13 Current aggressive financing conditions are also more likely
to fuel these transactions in the US
where senior debt financing is available
for up to 6x EBITDA compared with 3x
through Canadian lenders.14
Canadian activity abroad
Canadian buyout firms were substantially more active abroad in the first half
of the year relative to the year before.
As of June 30, 2015, Canadian funds
led or participated in a total of 82 deals
in other countries, and these were
valued at approximately C$95 bn.
This
“Mega Deals awash with cash.” M&A Outlook 2016. Dec. 8, 2015.
#0351. Raconteur.net. p.3
“Canadian M&A Activity: Recent Insights & Trends – Part 1.
Canadian M&A Perspectives. McCarthy Tétrault. August 20, 2015.
“Canadian Private Equity Market Overview – First Nine Months of 2015.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association.
Slide 5-6.
9
“Canadian Private Equity Market Overview – First Nine Months of 2015.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association. Slide 4.
10
“Canadian Private Equity Market Overview – First Nine Months of 2015.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association. Slide 4.
11
“Canadian Private Equity Buyout Review: First Half of 2015”.
Thomson Reuters. July 20, 2015. P.4.
12
“Dealogic – M&A Statshot,” Dec.
1, 2015, by Olga Tarabrina. p.6.
13
“Natural force.” ICAEW Corporate Financier. May 2015.
P.31.
14
“Natural force.” ICAEW Corporate Financier. May 2015. P.31.
6
7
8
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March 2016
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Moderately weakened
fundraising climate
A fundamentally important trend in the
last few years is the fact that money
has been flowing out of, rather than
into, PE. Since 2013, the amount
distributed to investors has exceeded
capital calls and has reached record levels as fund managers have
taken advantage of favorable market
conditions to exit many positions.
This marks the third consecutive year
in a row.15 Canadian dry powder in
terms of funds raised in 2015 is on
pace for C$8.3 bn16 which is C$3.68
bn below the funds raised in 2014.17
Given the current market conditions
and strapped with a healthy supply of
funds to invest, PE firms are much less
interested in financial engineering and
much more interested in finding growing companies to provide smart capital
to by supporting management and
providing highly sought after expertise.18 Similarly, a few years ago, 80%
of the market was PE-backed: now
that number is closer to 45%, which
is a big drop.19 Focusing just on the
first half of 2015, Canadian buyout-PE
fundraising has declined to C$4.4 bn,
a level comparable to 2011 (C$3.8 bn)
and down 70% from 2014. 20
Outlook for 2016
Looking forward, with the dollar maintaining its weak purchasing power and
oil prices trending downwards, the
Canadian M&A market will most likely
experience another stellar year considering fiscal and monetary stimulus
leaning in its favor along with a healthy
supply of dry powder to go along with.
Given Alberta’s economic reliance on
the oil, gas and mining sectors and an
unlikely oil recovery in the short run,
we foresee consolidations in these
industries due to the relative difficulty
of realizing returns on invested capital
greater than the cost of capital.
In terms of activity, Québec and Ontario
should be poised for a strong 2016
given their strong manufacturing and
construction industries and their highly
diversified economies. Likewise, the
demand for smart capital will be essential to be deployed to rapidly growing
firms in healthier sectors of the economy, paving the way for prudent uses of
committed capital.
“Mega Deals awash with cash.” M&A Outlook 2016.
Dec. 8, 2015. #0351.
Raconteur.net. p.7
C$6.239 billion for 3 quarters = C$2.08 billion per quarter. “Canadian Private Equity Market Overview - 2014.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity
Association.
Slide 13.
17
“Canadian Private Equity Market Overview - 2014.” Canadian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association. Slide 9.
18
“Mega Deals awash with cash.” M&A Outlook 2016. Dec.
8, 2015. #0351. Raconteur.net.
p.7
19
“Mid- Market: North American M&A 2016 Outlook.” Firmex. December 2015, p.3.
20
“Canadian Private Equity Buyout Review: First Half of 2015”. Thomson Reuters.
July 20, 2015. P.17.
15
16
For more information:
Moses Bendayan is a CFA, Senior VP and Partner at Crowe BGK Corporate Finance Inc., Montréal, Canada.
He can be reached at 514 231 1577 or M.Bendayan@crowebgk.com
Regional GCA Leadership
China
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antony.lam@horwathcapital.com.cn
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Indian Subcontinent / Middle East
Southeast Asia
East Asia
Latin America
USA / Canada
Mok Yuen Lok
yuenlok.mok@crowehorwath.net
Central and Eastern Europe
Igor Mesenský
igor.mesensky@tpa-horwath.cz
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