MARKET FLASH REPORT
March 2016
KEY TAKEAWAYS
•
Stocks lost a smidgen of ground in February, stabilizing after January's steep declines. Still, the S&P 500 posted its
third down month in a row, the first time that has happened since 2011. Oil prices finally steadied after several
problematic months , but investors remained cautious especially as Chinese markets remain extremely volatile.
•
Despite insistence from the Federal Reserve that rate hikes are still in play for later this year (as the labor market
keeps chugging along and inflation shows signs of life), bond yields continued to move lower. The yield of the
benchmark ten-year Treasury note finished the month at 1.7%, well below its 2.3% level at the end of 2015.
Astoundingly, the note is once again testing generationally low yields and there has even been talk of negative
rates, making finding income a challenge for many investors.
•
While the unusual race for U.S.
Presidential nominations has taken center stage, there is also drama overseas
with the possibility for British secession from the European Union (a “Brexit”). That has raised questions about
the region’s economic stability and has complicated the outlook for Euro-area monetary policy. While the odds
are still low, a U.K.
referendum on EU membership is scheduled for June. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank
is likely to continue its easy rhetoric, citing the Brexit as a threat to Eurozone economic growth.
INDEX PERFORMANCE (as of 02/29/16)
Equity
February
Year-to-Date
One-Year
U.S. Large Cap
-0.1%
-5.1%
-6.2%
U.S.
Small Cap
0.0%
-8.8%
-15.0%
Developed Non-U.S.
-1.8%
-8.9%
-14.8%
Emerging Market
-0.2%
-6.6%
-23.1%
Real Estate
0.9%
-4.2%
-8.3%
Commodities
-1.6%
-3.3%
-26.5%
Natural Resource Equities
0.2%
-4.6%
-28.5%
U.S. High Yield Debt
0.6%
-1.0%
-8.3%
Emerging Market Debt
1.4%
1.8%
-12.5%
U.S. Aggregate Bonds
0.7%
2.1%
1.5%
U.S.
Treasuries
0.9%
3.0%
2.9%
U.S. Municipal Bonds
0.2%
1.3%
3.1%
Real Assets
Fixed Income
Core Plus
The Financial Family Office™
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Core Bonds
Month-End Values/Yields
Current
Prior Month One-Year Ago
CBOE Volatility Index
20.6
20.2
13.3
10-Year Treasury Yield
1.7%
1.9%
2.0%
Sources: Bloomberg, Morningstar
CONVERGENTWEALTH.COM
. DISCLOSURE
Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Performance. Any opinions
expressed are current only as of the time made and are subject to change
without notice. This report may include estimates, projections or other
forward looking statements, however, due to numerous factors, actual
events may differ substantially from those presented. The graphs and tables
making up this report have been based on unaudited, third-party data and
performance information provided to us by one or more commercial
databases.
Additionally, please be aware that past performance is not a
guide to the future performance of any manager or strategy, and that the
performance results and historical information provided displayed herein
may have been adversely or favorably impacted by events and economic
conditions that will not prevail in the future. Therefore, caution must be
used in inferring that these results are indicative of the future performance
of any strategy, index, fund, manager or group of managers. All
performance numbers shown herein are net of actual fees and expenses and
include the reinvestment of dividends and other income, as reported by the
manager and/or by the commercial databases involved.
While we believe
this information to be reliable, Convergent Wealth Advisors bears no
responsibility whatsoever for any errors or omissions. Index benchmarks
contained in this report are provided so that performance can be compared
with the performance of well-known and widely recognized indices. The
volatility of these indices may be materially different from that of the fund.
You cannot invest directly in an index.
Index results assume the reinvestment of all dividends and interest. Moreover, the information
provided is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, investment,
legal or tax advice. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a
recommendation or advice to purchase or sell any security, investment, or
portfolio allocation.
Any investment advice provided by Convergent is
client specific based on each clients' risk tolerance and investment
objectives. This presentation is not meant as a general guide to investing, or
as a source of any specific investment recommendations, and makes no
implied or express recommendations concerning the manner in which any
client's accounts should or would be handled, as appropriate investment
decisions depend upon the client's specific investment objectives.
U.S. Large Cap Equity is represented by the S&P 500 Index, with dividends
reinvested.
U.S. Small Cap Equity is represented by the Russell 2000 Index.
Developed Non-U.S. Equity is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index.
Emerging
Market Equity is represented by the MSCI EM Index. Real Estate is
represented by the S&P Global Property Index. Commodities are
represented by the DJ UBS Commodity Index.
Natural Resource Equities are
represented by the S&P North American Natural Resources Index. U.S. High
Yield Debt is represented by the Barclays U.S.
Corporate High Yield Index.
Emerging Market Debt is represented by the JPM GMI-EM Global Diversified
Index. U.S. Aggregate Bonds is represented by the Barclays U.S.
Aggregate
Bond Index. U.S. Treasuries is represented by the Barclays U.S.
Treasury
Index. U.S. Municipal Bonds is represented by the Barclays Municipal 1-10yr
Index.
Non-deposit investment products are not FDIC insured, are not
deposits or other obligations of Convergent Wealth Advisors, are not
guaranteed by Convergent Wealth Advisors and involve investment
risks, including the possible loss of principal.
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